QE3 STIMULUS TARGETS MORTGAGES

The Federal Reserve has actually done something at last worthy of note. They indicated that they will provide more stimulus for the faltering economy, taking aim now at driving down mortgage rates. The Fed said it will buy $40 billion of mortgages per month in an attempt to desperately foster a recovery in the real estate market. The purchases will be open-ended, meaning that they will continue until the Fed is satisfied that economic conditions, primarily in unemployment, improve.

Of course, this will also fail if they are buying mortgages from the bankers. They will use this as a means to dump what they have been trying to get rid of all along, while it is not necessarily guaranteed to stimulate employment or housing prices. The Fed should LIMIT this type of purchasing from FannieMae and not from the bankers. That will have a more direct impact rather than providing a dumping ground and golden parachutes for the bankers.

Nevertheless, we should see gold rise a bit more to test the Monthly Bullish Reversals, and it is next week that volatility should rise further. The sharp rally today after this announcement shows the short-term sentiment. However, we MUST achieve a monthly closing above 18100. We have resistance at 17900-18100. We have a Directional Change in October, key turning points ahead are November, January, and then we have a Panic Cycle next July that is lining up with the same position as did the 1987 Crash. So it still appears that things will go nuts next year in early August. That will probably be the rally into 2016. We will be looking at this in detail at the San Diego Conference. We have split this into three Conferences in an effort to keep much smaller audiences to allow more interaction and personal questions.

Anyone Who Thinks It Is Only USA INJUSTICE – THINK AGAIN

This is a huge story of how justice for the people vs a government agency (in this case the police) is served after 23-years and of how the UK police manipulated 164 statements and more.

It all started at a football match that ended when 96 people were crushed. A horrific story that will continue to run. The point of the law is to ensure a level playing field, but it doesn’t always work like that. More than anything one must admire the families that continued to push for justice. It appears that the production of an independent report containing solid evidence of consistent police tampering was the catalyst for the outcome.

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David Cameron said he was “profoundly sorry” for the failures that caused the Hillsborough disaster and the subsequent attempts to shift blame for the tragedy on to supporters after the publication of a damning report on the events 23 years ago that left 96 dead. Speaking in the Commons, the prime minister said the findings in the report were “deeply distressing”, adding: “With the weight of the new evidence in the report it’s right for me today as prime minister to make a proper apology to the families of the 96 … On behalf of the government, and indeed of our country, I am profoundly sorry that this double injustice has been left uncorrected for so long”

 

The report by the Hillsborough Independent Panel, established three years ago and chaired by the Bishop of Liverpool, James Jones, found that there was a failure of authorities to protect people and an attempt to blame fans. The panel concluded that the main cause of the Hillsborough disaster was a “failure in police control” but also revealed “multiple failures” within other organisations that compromised crowd safety. It underlined the “clear operational failure” that led to the disaster and the attempts by South Yorkshire police (SYP) and the ambulance service to cover up their shortcomings. The fact that the ambulance service also altered statements from staff is revealed for the first time. The evidence shows “conclusively” that Liverpool fans “neither caused nor contributed to the deaths” and shows the extent to which attempts, endorsed by the South Yorkshire chief constable Peter Wright, were made to smear them.

 

Documents released to the panel show how high-ranking police sources, the South Yorkshire Police Federation and the Tory MP Irvine Patnick were responsible for feeding the stories to Whites News Agency in Yorkshire. They led to the infamous Sun headline “The Truth” that led to a longstanding boycott of the paper in Liverpool.

 

“The Police Federation, supported informally by the SYP chief constable, sought to develop and publicise a version of events derived in police officers’ allegations of drunkenness, ticketless fans and violence. This extended beyond the media to parliament,” said the panel. “From the mass of documents, television and CCTV coverage disclosed to the panel there is no evidence to support these allegations other than a few isolated examples of aggressive or verbally abusive behaviour clearly reflecting frustration and desperation. The vast majority of fans on the pitch assisted in rescuing and evacuating the dead and injured.”

 

The panel found that 164 police statements were significantly amended and 116 explicitly removed negative comments about the policing operation, including its lack of leadership, a revelation that drew gasps when relayed by Cameron in parliament. Officers carried out police national computer checks on those who had died in an attempt “to impugn the reputations of the deceased” and the coroner took blood alcohol levels from all of the deceased, including children. The panel found that close analysis of the documents demonstrated that the weight placed on blood alcohol levels was inappropriate, fuelling “persistent and unsustainable assertions about drunken fan behaviour not supported by evidence of moderate patterns of drinking unremarkable for a leisure event.”

 

Documents disclosed to the panel also reveal that the original pathologists’ evidence of a single unvarying pattern of death is unsustainable. The assumption was the basis of a coroner’s imposition of a 3.15pm cut-off on evidence to the inquests. It led to the mistaken belief that an effective emergency service intervention could not have saved lives. The panel’s disclosure confirms that in some cases death was not immediate and the outcome depended on events after 3.15pm. Dr Bill Kirkup, from the panel, said at a press conference at the Anglican cathedral in Liverpool that 41 of the victims had “potential to survive”, although he could not say for sure how many could have been saved.

 

Cameron said it would be for the attorney general to decide whether to apply to the high court to quash the original inquest and seek a new one, as the families are demanding. But he added that it was clear “today’s report raises vital questions which must be examined”. The Labour leader, Ed Miliband, made his own apology for his party not doing more to uncover the truth during its 13 years in office from 1997 to 2010. “We on this side also apologise to the families that we didn’t do enough to help,” he said. A succession of MPs called for legal action against those responsible for the failures that led to the tragedy or who were involved in the subsequent cover-up, variously suggesting that proceedings should be brought for defamation, misconduct in public office and perverting the course of justice.

 

More than 23 years after

 

96 men, women and children died in the Leppings Lane end of the ground on 15 April 1989, the families of those who died gave the panel a standing ovation in Liverpool Cathedral as it delivered its findings. “For nearly a quarter of a century the families of the 96 and the survivors of Hillsborough have nursed an open wound waiting for answers to unresolved questions. It has been a frustrating and painful experience adding to their grief. In spite of all the investigations they have sensed that their search for truth and justice has been thwarted and that no one has been held accountable,” said Jones. “The documents disclosed to and analysed by the panel show that the tragedy should never have happened. There were clear operational failures in response to the disaster and in its aftermath there were strenuous attempts to deflect the blame on to the fans. The panel’s detailed report shows how vulnerable victims, survivors and their families are when transparency and accountability are compromised.”

 

Sheila Coleman of the Hillsborough Justice Campaign welcomed Cameron’s apology. She told BBC Radio 4′s World at One that the inquest verdicts “have to be quashed” and that criminal charges should be brought “because all the evidence today shows that South Yorkshire police and people in South Yorkshire police lied and operated a cover-up.”

 

QUOTE

“Quite simply, yes” – Michael Mansfield QC, when asked if this is the biggest cover-up in British history he replied quite simply, yes”

Gold Update 9/12

Gold has taken a pause, but it remains above the key support at 1720. Volatility will start to rise again next week 9/17 and October is a Directional Change. The resistance is still at 17600 followed by Monthly Bullish Reversals that we may yet rise to test. There is still nothing to indicate that the uptrend will begin just yet. For that we need the non-hard asset investors to start to consider shifting that they should at least have some gold on the side. The Draconian increases in taxes on a global scale and the witch hunts that are developing searching for cash will eventually cause this shift toward gold to increase.

Bradley Birkenfeld was released from prison and he collected $104 million bonus for providing the info about Americans with accounts at UBS in Switzerland. He may have been involved in the tax-dodging case since 2009, but with his cooperation, the US government got $780 million in fines, penalties, interest and restitution out of UBS. It has been actions such as this that are causing the world economy to implode sharply eliminating the ability of Americans to even do business overseas forget have secret accounts to hide money.

As long as gold holds above 1720, then we may see one more new high with a sharp increase in volatility next week.

End of Cash

There are so called “Goldbugs” who hate my guts because I disagree with their reasoning why gold will rise and they cannot stand anyone who is a real analyst and ever forecasts that there will be a pause in the trend, I remain deeply concerned that many of these people who hate me so much are really nothing but shills for the bankers who do everything they can to put out misinformation about me. They talk up the Gold Standard and spew out the nonsense about fiat money when all money has been fiat since government started stamping an image on metal and declaring its value to be more than what it cost them to produce it. They cannot explain why did gold go down for 19 years between 1980 and 1999 when that fundamental was still present. If I owned sovereign debt, I would be talking up this nonsense to make people believe a gold standard is the answer and then quickly cash in the bonds and take the gold. We had a gold standard – Bretton Woods. They still printed more money than there was gold to back it and that is why Nixon was forced to close the gold window in 1971. Neither reasoning can be proven to be real – but it fools a lot of people a lot of the time. Gold is simply a tangible asset that is the alternative to cash the same as real estate, stocks, and collectibles. It is movable, which is a plus over real estate, it is liquid for it is the same quality sold around the world unlike oil or wheat, and it cannot be cancelled as is the cash with cash.

Anyone who thinks there will be a willing return to the gold standard just does not understand government. Why give up power as long as you have it? The real trend is toward the elimination of cash and thus government will then be able to collect every penny it desires in taxes. The object is a cashless society. Gold is not the hedge against “inflation” it is the cornerstone of wealth. The common denominator in the “real world” free of political manipulation. This is why governments are now clamping down on the cash gold trade. We are headed into the end of cash and that means the end of anonymity. Government will keep tabs on everything you do. They decide to spend whatever, then they demand you fund it. They have destroyed international trade. An American small businessman can no longer build a company overseas for no bank will deal with an American. And we are trying to create job? The economy is starting to spiral down as the thirst for taxes destroys everything – include cash.

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,2103289,00.html

http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/story/2012/04/13/f-vp-bambury-cash.html

http://www.guardian.co.uk/money/2011/nov/29/is-this-end-of-money

http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/03/as-sweden-goes-so-goes-the-world-the-beginning-of-the-end-of-cash/254713/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2012/08/08/will-squares-starbucks-deal-spark-the-end-of-cash/

http://www.amazon.com/The-End-Money-Counterfeiters-Dreamers/dp/0306818833

Economic Decline

Pessimism is building as 2013 appears on the horizon. We are likely to see in real terms negative growth with the slowdown spreading even to China. Next year wit the drastic rise in taxes and the continued lack of long-term confidence in general, we may see a decline in growth that could even dip into negative territory. The global slowdown is taking its toll on demand.