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Join Us at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida! Nov. 17-19, 2023

2014 War Cyclew 2011 Conference 300x173

Join Us at the 2023 World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida!

? Dates: November 17, 18, and 19 ? Location: Orlando, Florida, USA (or tune in from home with our virtual ticket options)

Are you ready to unlock the future of economics and finance? Prepare for an unforgettable World Economic Conference experience in sunny Orlando, Florida! This premier event is your gateway to insights, networking, and valuable resources that will supercharge your understanding of the global economy.

?️ What’s Included for In-Person Attendees:

  1. Event Admission: Enjoy reserved seating assigned based on the order of ticket sales, ensuring you have a prime view of every presentation.
  2. Presentation Slides: Gain access to the presentation slides from all speakers, allowing you to delve deeper into the topics discussed.
  3. Video Recording: Can’t make it to a session? No worries! You’ll receive access to video recordings of all conference presentations, so you can catch up at your convenience.
  4. WEC Event App: Connect with the conference on a whole new level. Access presentation slides, bonus reports, recordings, and more via the official WEC Event App.
  5. Bonus Conference Materials: Get a package of bonus conference-related materials, including exclusive bonus reports and videos (as provided by Martin Armstrong).
  6. Morning Information Sessions: Don’t miss out on important morning information sessions, screened on-site in the meeting room on Saturday and Sunday.
  7. Networking Opportunities: Exclusive access to the Event App Networking Feature allows you to connect with fellow attendees, both in-person and virtual, fostering valuable professional relationships.
  8. Culinary Delights: Savor delicious breakfast and lunch on Saturday and Sunday, prepared to keep you energized throughout the day.
  9. Cocktail Reception: Kick off the conference in style at our Friday evening cocktail reception. Meet and mingle with fellow attendees while enjoying refreshing drinks.
  10. Swag Bag: As a token of our appreciation, each in-person attendee will receive a swag bag filled with goodies, including an Armstrong Economics notebook, pen, and an event collector’s mug!

Unable to travel? We also have two different ticket options for those wishing to attend virtually! 

Don’t miss this opportunity to be part of a global gathering of economic and financial minds. Secure your spot at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida, and gain the knowledge, connections, and resources you need to thrive in the world of finance and economics.

Space is limited, so act now and reserve your seat! Visit our Events page to register and join us in sunny Orlando this November.

NEW BOOK Now Available : "Mark Antony & Cleopatra"

Mark Antony Cleopatra Cleopatra Proxy War

Now available at all major retailers!

The eBook will be available shortly.

"THE PLOT TO SEIZE RUSSIA - THE UNTOLD HISTORY"

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The second edition of “The Plot to Seize Russia – The Untold History” is now available for purchase in paperback and hardcover on Amazon and Barnes and Noble. The ebook will be available shortly.

Book description:

“Take care of Russia,” Boris Yeltsin said as he departed his presidency in August 1999. These words were directed at current Russian president, Vladimir Putin. Yeltsin specifically picked Putin as his predecessor to prevent the takeover of Russia.

So, who was Yeltsin warning against? Newly declassified documents from the Clinton Administration prove that there was a plot to rig the Russian election of 2000. These never-before-seen documents confirm numerous attempts to implement pro-Western policies using the Russian oligarchy headed by Boris Berezovsky.

On the other side were the communists who desired a return to the glory days of the Soviet Union. As one of the largest international hedge fund managers, author Martin Armstrong found himself in the middle of perhaps the greatest espionage, or attempt at a regime change for Russia, in modern history.

The Plot to Seize Russia pulls back the curtain to expose the most extraordinary attempt to seize power in modern history, but with the pen rather than armies. These declassified documents reveal a plot that has altered our thinking about the relations between the United States and Russia. The thirst for power comes seething through every line of these papers that alter our perception of reality, change the course of history, and now threaten us with World War III.

Conventional Understandings Often Must Give Way

Baby_Elephant_s_Reaction_to_Seeing_Old_Friends_Will_Melt_You_YouTube

Iran Their Proxy War Against USA

WSJ US Supplies Ukraine Targets inside Russia

Russian gives Targets yo Iran

COMMENT: Marty, you should be advising Trump. I am shocked Luna is not taking you by the hand into the White House. She is your representative aftercall. You warned that they would turn this into a proxy war against the USA just as the West is using Ukraine. These Neocons are dangerous and are destroying our country and Western civilization. They are now freaking out that Russia ia providing Iran with intelligence to target US forces and West’s economic sites.  You said this would become their proxy war. Iranians destroyed the U.S. THAAD Radar in Jordan. Israel is getting pummeled.  Satellite images reveal that $500 million system was wiped out in inflicting a major blow to american missile defense. Netanyahu is constantly flying in the air because they targeted his office as they did to the Ayatollah.

While everyone is focuses on the Strait of Hormuz, only you have warned that Iran, already an enemy of most other Middle East states, would target refineries and even ships while still in their ports. For the Strait, take out the refineries and you will then bring the West to its knees. The fact that the Neocons were providing targeting to Ukraine to strike Russian refineries is somehow OK but when Russia does the same for Iran – that’s not fair.

BB

Nerocon Every Administration

ANSWER: Those in Congress are scared to death of the Neocons. I do not know anyone willing to stick their neck out to take me to the White House. They are fulfilling the computer’s forecast. I have heard that the Neocons were pisted off that I was called in to write a peace plan that I thought Putin would accept and have been intimidating some on Capitol Hill not to listen to anything that comes from my firm. I have warned, these people have hijacked our Foreign Policy and have circumvented not just the Constitution and Congress, but they have infiltrated ever Whit House Administration since Clinton that I know of personally.

What these people have done to Russia is coming back to haunt us. They do not care about the country or the people they send to die for their ruthless agenda. They should be dragged out of their offices and charged with treason. But there is NOBODY with the guts to stand up for America or humanity in Washington. All they care about is the next election. I think Trump is being sheltered and they are destroying his legacy just as they did to Bush, Jr. I created a computer that has done more than anybody when it comes to geopolitical forecasting, Because the Neocons want war, they intimidate people not to listen to our model’s forecasts and now they will try to manipulate the oil market to cover up what they have done.

I warned they would go directly for the refineries not single ships in the straight of Hormuz. Iran is NOT an Arabic country. They are ethnically Persian. Persians were  “Caucasian” or “West Eurasian” family. From a very broad anthropological standpoint, both ancient Greeks and Persians belong to the larger grouping of peoples from Europe, the Middle East, and South Asia that are distinct from, say, people from East Asia or Sub-Saharan Africa.

For centuries before the rise of Islam, various Arab tribes lived throughout this vast region—in the harsh interior deserts (like the Najd), along the fertile southern coast of Yemen (ancient kingdoms like Saba and Himyar), and in the northern borderlands bordering the Byzantine and Persian empires (like the Nabataeans with their capital at Petra, and the Ghassanids and Lakhmids who served as client states).

They were a mix of nomadic Bedouins and settled populations in oasis towns and trading centers. The most significant of these trading cities was Mecca, a religious and commercial hub.

The “takeover” of the Middle East happened primarily in the 7th century AD, following the advent of Islam. The Prophet Muhammad began preaching in Mecca around 610AD. By the time of his death in 632AD, he had united most of Arabia under the new religion. This unification was the crucial first step, providing the ideological fervor, political unity, and military momentum for the conquests that followed.

Etruria African

Fromt a historical perspective, it’s crucial to understand that the idea of RACE as we know it today—dividing people into categories like “white,” “black,”  “Red,” and “Yellow,” is a social and political construct that only developed primarily in the 17th-18th centuries, largely to justify colonialism and the transatlantic slave trade. People in the ancient world did not think of themselves or others in these terms. They defined themselves by culture, language, city-state (polis), empire, and ancestry, not by skin color. Here we have a coin showing an African on one side and an elephant on the other. The Africans would train elephants and sell them like war tanks.

Mithridates II Parthia

For example, the Greeks did categorize people, famously dividing the world into “Greeks” and “barbarians” (anyone who didn’t speak Greek). When they some, it sounded like ba, ba, ba. This was a cultural and linguistic distinction, not a racial one based on skin tone. Herodotus, the “Father of History,” whom I have written about before, wrote extensively about the Persians. He noted cultural differences but didn’t describe them as being a different “race” based on color. He did, however, comment on physical characteristics in other contexts, famously noting that the Colchians (from the Black Sea region) had “dark skins and woolly hair,” suggesting they were Egyptian. This shows he was aware of physical differences, but it wasn’t his primary framework. Here is a coin depicting Mithridates II ruler of Parthia (Persia) (124-91BC).

Wolfowitz Doctrine

Their thirst for war to them is just like some video game. They have to win at any cost.This is the Wolfowitz Doctrine and this is their creed – WORLD DOMINATION. It was James Madison who insisted that ONLY Congress has the power to start a war. The Neocons constantly use a loophole that allows the President to respond to a threat for up to 60 days.  Madison’s statement demonstrates how these people have infiltrated the Executive Branch with the full knowledge that they are acting UNCONSTITUTIONALLY in the very manner that the Founding Fathers feared. Madison wrote in a letter to Jefferson on April 2nd, 1798:

…”the Executive branch of power is the most interested in war, and most prone to it.”

They just like to claim they are responding to an immediate threat. In Iraq, it was weapons of mass destruction that was a deliberate lie. This time it is the same lie, Iran will have a nuclear weapon in just weeks, and they will then have a missile that reach the United States. There is absolutely no evidence to support those claims. Here is John McCain in 2008 saying Iran will have a nuke by 2009.

2008

 

Armstrong on Coffee and Mike

 

 

Coffee and Mike 3 6 26 2

Trump vs Ali

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Make Iran Great Again

Make Iran Great Again

Unconditional Surrender

History Repeats Human Natures

COMMENT: Marty, you have shown us that history repeats because human nature never changes. Trump just demanded total surrender from Iran. President Franklin D. Roosevelt,  first publicly demanded the unconditional surrender of Germany on January 24, 1943, at the end of the Casablanca Conference. The Actual Surrender was signed on May 8, 1945 (V-E Day). Over 2 million soldiers died after that demand.

It never fails.

ANSWER: When faced with a similar situation, no matter who ia in power, they will say and do the same thing.

 

Market Talk – March 6, 2026

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 increased 342.78 points or 0.62% to 55,620.84
• Shanghai increased 15.627 points or 0.38% to 4,124.194
• Hang Seng increased 435.95 points or 1.72% to 25,757.29
• ASX 200 decreased 89.30 points or -1.00% to 8,851.00
• SENSEX decreased 1,097.00 points or -1.37% to 78,918.90
• Nifty50 decreased 315.45 points or -1.27% to 24,450.45
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00181 or 0.26% to 0.70259
• NZDUSD increased 0.00066 or 0.11% to 0.59016
• USDJPY increased 0.309 or 0.20% to 157.879
• USDCNY decreased 0.01112 or -0.16% to 6.90668
The above data was collected around 15:09 EST.
Precious Metals:
• Gold increased 74.31 USD/t oz. or 1.46% to 5,158.50
• Silver increased 2.018 USD/t. oz. or 2.45% to 84.290
The above data was collected around 15:09 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a negative day today:
• CAC 40 decreased 52.31 points or -0.65% to 7,993.49
• FTSE 100 decreased 129.19 points or -1.24% to 10,284.75
• DAX 30 decreased 224.72 points or -0.94% to 23,591.03
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00057 or -0.05% to 1.16033
• GBPUSD increased 0.00314 or 0.24% to 1.33903
• USDCHF decreased 0.00377 or -0.48% to 0.77710
The above data was collected around 15:13 EST.
AMERICAS:

US/AMERICAS:

  • Dow declined by 453.19 points (-0.95%) to 47,501.55

  • S&P 500 declined by 90.69 points (-1.33%) to 6,740.02

  • NASDAQ declined by 361.31 points (-1.59%) to 22,387.679

  • Russell 2000 declined by 60.27 points (-2.33%) to 2,525.301

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite declined by 526.25 points (-1.57%) to 33,083.72

  • TSX 60 declined by 30.20 points (-1.55%) to 1,916.03

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined by 1,099.02 points (-0.61%) to 179,364.82

ENERGY:
The oil markets had a green day today:
• Crude Oil increased 9.654 USD/BBL or 11.92% to 90.664
• Brent increased 6.997 USD/BBL or 8.19% to 92.407
• Natural gas increased 0.187 USD/MMBtu or 6.23% to 3.1900
• Gasoline increased 0.1156 USD/GAL or 4.39% to 2.7502
• Heating oil increased 0.0083 USD/GAL or 0.23% to 3.6226
The above data was collected around 15:14 EST.
• Top commodity gainers: Cocoa (5.73%), Crude Oil (11.92%), Brent (8.19%) and Natural Gas (6.23%)
• Top commodity losers: Cheese (-2.03%), Orange Juice (-5.03%), Rubber (-1.62%) and Feeder Cattle (-2.02%)
The above data was collected around 15:20 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 2.1660% (+0.82bp), US 2’s 3.57% (-0.024%), US 10’s 4.1430% (+0.3bps); US 30’s 4.76 (+0.008%), Bunds 2.8610% (+0.75bp), France 3.5117% (+4.26bp), Italy 3.6221% (+5.08bp), Turkey 31.275% (+291.5bp), Greece 3.602% (+11.4bp), Portugal 3.306% (+5.8bp); Spain 3.349% (+4.2bp) and UK Gilts 4.5730% (+9.16bp)
The above data was collected around 15:23 EST.

European Parliament Accelerates DIGITAL EURO

The European Parliament has now thrown its support behind the creation of a digital euro, marking a significant political step toward introducing a central bank digital currency across the eurozone. While the project has been under development for several years at the European Central Bank, this vote signals that lawmakers are increasingly prepared to move the concept from theory toward reality.

Members of Parliament approved amendments endorsing a digital euro that would function both online and offline, effectively aligning with the European Central Bank’s vision for a publicly issued digital form of money. The vote passed with a strong majority, signaling broad political backing for the idea that Europe should create a digital currency controlled by its own monetary institutions rather than relying entirely on private payment networks.

The move reflects growing concern within Europe about the structure of global payment systems. A large portion of digital transactions within the European Union currently run through networks such as Visa and Mastercard, companies headquartered outside the EU. European policymakers have become increasingly uncomfortable with this dependency, arguing that payment infrastructure is no longer just a technical system but a strategic asset tied to economic sovereignty.

euro digital electricImage

Officials have openly framed the digital euro as a way to regain control over the “rails” of Europe’s payment system. If payments are moving steadily away from cash and toward electronic platforms, central banks want to ensure that sovereign currency continues to play a role in that environment rather than being displaced by private payment systems or foreign financial networks.

Under current proposals, the digital euro would complement cash rather than replace it immediately. Citizens would access the currency through digital wallets provided by banks or financial institutions, allowing them to send and receive payments electronically using money issued directly by the central bank. Supporters argue this would preserve public access to central bank money in an economy where physical cash is used less frequently.

Yet the broader implications extend beyond convenience. A digital currency issued by a central bank changes the architecture of the financial system itself. For the first time, individuals could potentially hold digital money backed directly by the central bank rather than commercial bank deposits. That raises complex questions about the relationship between central banks, commercial banks, and the public.

The project remains in its legislative and technical stages. EU governments agreed on a negotiating framework in late 2025, and the European Parliament’s vote now signals that lawmakers are prepared to move forward with the next phase of legislation. If the regulatory framework is finalized in the coming years, the European Central Bank hopes to begin pilot testing around 2027, with a potential public rollout later in the decade.

Lines in the Sand – Iran War

Iran, China and Russia Sign Strategic Pact, Deepening Alignment Against Western Pressure - GV Wire

The conflict now unfolding with Iran is beginning to expose a series of geopolitical lines that had been quietly building for years. What is striking about the current situation is not simply the military confrontation itself, but the reaction of various nations. The world is no longer responding as it did in earlier conflicts where alliances moved almost automatically behind Washington. Instead, governments are drawing their own lines in the sand.

The United States and Israel are presently the two nations directly engaged in military operations against Iran. While Washington has access to bases throughout the Middle East, most of those countries are not actively participating in combat. Gulf states such as Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates host American military infrastructure, but their involvement largely reflects long-standing defense agreements rather than enthusiastic participation in a new regional war. These nations find themselves caught between two competing pressures: their security arrangements with the United States and the geographic reality of living within missile range of Iran.

What has been particularly revealing is the response in Europe. Spain openly refused to allow the United States to use its bases at Rota and Morón for operations against Iran, sparking a diplomatic confrontation with Washington. That decision has highlighted the growing divide inside NATO. During the Cold War and even in the early post-Cold War era, European governments generally aligned themselves with U.S. military policy. Today that unity is no longer automatic. European leaders increasingly calculate their own political and economic risks before committing themselves to American military campaigns.

Who are Iran's allies in a potential conflict with the United States? - ABC  News

The reluctance to join the conflict reflects deeper concerns about escalation. Many European governments are already facing fragile economies, political fragmentation, and rising social tensions. Opening another military front in the Middle East while the war in Ukraine continues would add another layer of uncertainty to an already unstable geopolitical environment. As a result, several governments are publicly urging diplomacy rather than military expansion.

Iran does not stand entirely alone. Its support network is less conventional than traditional state alliances but still significant. Groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, and various militias operating in Iraq form part of a regional structure that Tehran has cultivated over decades. These organizations are not merely political sympathizers; they possess their own military capabilities and can operate across multiple fronts simultaneously. This creates a form of distributed conflict that complicates any direct confrontation with Iran itself.

What we are witnessing is the emergence of a fragmented geopolitical landscape where alliances are no longer rigid. Countries are evaluating their interests in a far more transactional way. Some governments provide logistical support while avoiding direct involvement. Others refuse cooperation altogether. Meanwhile, regional actors pursue their own strategic agendas independent of traditional Western alliances.

When crises arise, the difference between formal alliances and genuine strategic alignment becomes visible. The current situation with Iran is exposing those differences in real time. Nations are making calculations not only about military risk but also about energy markets, economic stability, and domestic political pressures.

The phrase “lines in the sand” has long been associated with the Middle East, yet today it applies equally to the diplomatic landscape surrounding the conflict. Countries are defining the limits of their involvement, sometimes publicly and sometimes quietly behind the scenes. These decisions reveal a world where geopolitical loyalties are becoming far more fluid than they once appeared.

Existing US Home Sales Collapse Despite Falling Mortgage Rates

 

TIME to Buy Time to Sell

Existing home sales just delivered one of the clearest signals yet about the true state of the housing market in 2026, and it is not the rebound narrative the mainstream keeps promoting. The latest data shows that existing-home sales fell 8.4% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of just 3.91 million units, the steepest monthly decline in nearly four years and the slowest pace in over two years. Sales were also down 4.4% compared to the same month last year, and declines occurred across every region of the United States.

The median existing-home price rose to $396,800, marking the 31st consecutive month of year-over-year price increases, indicating that prices remain historically elevated even as transaction volume collapses. Inventory stood at roughly 1.22 million units, representing just a 3.7-month supply. Yet, this is still well below historical norms needed for a healthy market turnover.

What makes this particularly significant is that the drop took place even as mortgage rates eased to their lowest levels since 2022. In a normal liquidity-driven market, lower borrowing costs should stimulate demand. Instead, the opposite occurred. Even though affordability has technically improved for several consecutive months, buyers are not returning in force. That disconnect is critical. When affordability improves, but sales still fall, it means the restraint is psychological and economic, not purely financial.

Regional data reinforces the structural weakness. The West experienced the sharpest decline, down over 10%, while the South and Midwest also fell notably, showing that this is not a localized slowdown but a nationwide contraction in transaction activity. First-time buyers accounted for only about 31% of purchases, far below the historical norm of nearly 40%, indicating that entry-level demand remains severely constrained.

Real estate does not turn on interest rates alone. Real estate factors in confidence, taxation, job stability, and the long-term economic outlook. Existing-home sales have now been stuck near a roughly 4 million annual pace since 2023, well below the historical norm of about 5.2 million, confirming that the housing market has been in a prolonged structural slump rather than a cyclical boom-bust phase.

What we are witnessing is a frozen market, not a crashing one. Homeowners remain locked into ultra-low legacy mortgages and are unwilling to sell, while buyers face high prices, economic uncertainty, and long-term affordability concerns despite slightly lower rates. The result is reduced turnover rather than forced liquidation. The real estate market remains cautious and tied to the broader economic confidence cycle.