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Join Us at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida! Nov. 17-19, 2023

2014 War Cyclew 2011 Conference 300x173

Join Us at the 2023 World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida!

? Dates: November 17, 18, and 19 ? Location: Orlando, Florida, USA (or tune in from home with our virtual ticket options)

Are you ready to unlock the future of economics and finance? Prepare for an unforgettable World Economic Conference experience in sunny Orlando, Florida! This premier event is your gateway to insights, networking, and valuable resources that will supercharge your understanding of the global economy.

?️ What’s Included for In-Person Attendees:

  1. Event Admission: Enjoy reserved seating assigned based on the order of ticket sales, ensuring you have a prime view of every presentation.
  2. Presentation Slides: Gain access to the presentation slides from all speakers, allowing you to delve deeper into the topics discussed.
  3. Video Recording: Can’t make it to a session? No worries! You’ll receive access to video recordings of all conference presentations, so you can catch up at your convenience.
  4. WEC Event App: Connect with the conference on a whole new level. Access presentation slides, bonus reports, recordings, and more via the official WEC Event App.
  5. Bonus Conference Materials: Get a package of bonus conference-related materials, including exclusive bonus reports and videos (as provided by Martin Armstrong).
  6. Morning Information Sessions: Don’t miss out on important morning information sessions, screened on-site in the meeting room on Saturday and Sunday.
  7. Networking Opportunities: Exclusive access to the Event App Networking Feature allows you to connect with fellow attendees, both in-person and virtual, fostering valuable professional relationships.
  8. Culinary Delights: Savor delicious breakfast and lunch on Saturday and Sunday, prepared to keep you energized throughout the day.
  9. Cocktail Reception: Kick off the conference in style at our Friday evening cocktail reception. Meet and mingle with fellow attendees while enjoying refreshing drinks.
  10. Swag Bag: As a token of our appreciation, each in-person attendee will receive a swag bag filled with goodies, including an Armstrong Economics notebook, pen, and an event collector’s mug!

Unable to travel? We also have two different ticket options for those wishing to attend virtually! 

Don’t miss this opportunity to be part of a global gathering of economic and financial minds. Secure your spot at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida, and gain the knowledge, connections, and resources you need to thrive in the world of finance and economics.

Space is limited, so act now and reserve your seat! Visit our Events page to register and join us in sunny Orlando this November.

NEW BOOK Now Available : "Mark Antony & Cleopatra"

Mark Antony Cleopatra Cleopatra Proxy War

Now available at all major retailers!

The eBook will be available shortly.

"THE PLOT TO SEIZE RUSSIA - THE UNTOLD HISTORY"

The Plot to Seize Russia_3Dmockup_2 300x225

The second edition of “The Plot to Seize Russia – The Untold History” is now available for purchase in paperback and hardcover on Amazon and Barnes and Noble. The ebook will be available shortly.

Book description:

“Take care of Russia,” Boris Yeltsin said as he departed his presidency in August 1999. These words were directed at current Russian president, Vladimir Putin. Yeltsin specifically picked Putin as his predecessor to prevent the takeover of Russia.

So, who was Yeltsin warning against? Newly declassified documents from the Clinton Administration prove that there was a plot to rig the Russian election of 2000. These never-before-seen documents confirm numerous attempts to implement pro-Western policies using the Russian oligarchy headed by Boris Berezovsky.

On the other side were the communists who desired a return to the glory days of the Soviet Union. As one of the largest international hedge fund managers, author Martin Armstrong found himself in the middle of perhaps the greatest espionage, or attempt at a regime change for Russia, in modern history.

The Plot to Seize Russia pulls back the curtain to expose the most extraordinary attempt to seize power in modern history, but with the pen rather than armies. These declassified documents reveal a plot that has altered our thinking about the relations between the United States and Russia. The thirst for power comes seething through every line of these papers that alter our perception of reality, change the course of history, and now threaten us with World War III.

Market Talk – July 10, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 174.92 points or -0.44% to 39,646.36
• Shanghai increased 16.63 points or 0.48% to 3,509.68
• Hang Seng increased 136.05 points or 0.57% to 24,028.37
• ASX 200 increased 50.60 points or 0.59% to 8,589.20
• SENSEX decreased 345.80 points or -0.41% to 83,190.28
• Nifty50 decreased 120.85 points or -0.47% to 25,355.25
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00476 or 0.73% to 0.65834
• NZDUSD increased 0.00302 or 0.50% to 0.60290
• USDJPY increased 0.14 or 0.10% to 146.237
• USDCNY decreased 0.00306 or -0.04% to 7.17886
The above data was collected around 14:56 EST.
Precious Metals:
• Gold increased 5.45 USD/t oz. or 0.16% to 3,319.11
• Silver decreased 0.622 USD/t. oz. or 1.71% to 37.002
The above data was collected around 14:48 EST.
.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:
• CAC 40 increased 23.79 points or 0.30% to 7,902.25
• FTSE 100 increased 108.64 points or 1.23% to 8,975.66
• DAX 30 decreased 92.75 points or -0.38% to 24,456.81
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00473 or -0.40% to 1.16906
• GBPUSD decreased 0.00228 or -0.17% to 1.35752
• USDCHF increased 0.00454 or 0.57% to 0.79717
The above data was collected around 15:04 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow advanced 192.34 points or 0.43% to 44,650.64
  • S&P 500 advanced 17.2 points or 0.27% to 6,280.46
  • Nasdaq advanced 19.33 points or 0.09% to 20,630.67
  • Russell 2000 advanced 10.92 points or 0.48% to 2,263.41

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite advanced 109.98 points or 0.41% to 27,082.3
  • TSX 60 advanced 6.66 points or 0.42% to 1,610.42

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined 638.42 points or -0.46% to 136,842.37
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
• Crude Oil decreased 1.532 USD/BBL or -2.24% to 66.848
• Brent decreased 1.321 USD/BBL or -1.88% to 68.869
• Natural gas increased 0.1153 USD/MMBtu or 3.59% to 3.3293
• Gasoline decreased 0.0324 USD/GAL or -1.48% to 2.1568
• Heating oil decreased 0.0134 USD/GAL or -0.56% to 2.3958
The above data was collected around 15:06 EST.
• Top commodity gainers: Natural Gas (3.59%), Platinum (2.64%), Orange Juice (6.03%) and Palladium (6.44%)
• Top commodity losers: Crude Oil (-2.24%), Cocoa (-12.24%), Oat (-8.70%) and Canola (-2.26%)
The above data was collected around 15:11 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.4970% (-0.96bp), US 2’s 3.89% (+0.036%), US 10’s 4.3510% (+1.1bps); US 30’s 4.87% (+0.001%), Bunds 2.6530% (+2.15bp), France 3.399% (+4.2bp), Italy 3.5910% (+4.3bp), Turkey 29.46% (+5bp), Greece 3.405% (+4.5bp), Portugal 3.158% (+4bp); Spain 3.304% (+2.9bp) and UK Gilts 4.6000% (-0.6bp)
The above data was collected around 15:14 EST.

The EU Guarantees Its Own Destruction

Leyen Ursula von der 1

Bulgaria Adopts the Euro and Abandons Economic Sovereignty

Face of Europe

Bulgaria’s adoption of the euro is a major step toward abandoning its remaining sovereignty. The European Union is akin to a drowning person clinging to anything nearby in an attempt to stay afloat. Bulgaria will become the 21st nation to adopt the euro beginning in January 2026.

Protests against the adoption have been ongoing for months. Citizens fear the spike in prices once the euro is adopted with good reason. In a population of 6.4 million, two million receive a pension of €226 a month. Net wages average only €355 a month. Bulgaria has one of the weakest economies in the EU, yet is expected to instantly adopt a currency with an official and fixed rate of 1 euro = 1.95583 lev. The nation’s GDP was 24.1% in 2024, far beneath the EU’s 60% threshold.

Bulgaria’s lev has been pegged to the euro since 1999 under a currency board arrangement. That means the country has already given up most of its monetary tools. But formally joining the euro locks in those losses—permanently. There will be no going back.

Proponents claim that Bulgaria will now have the European Central Bank’s liquidity facilities and bond purchasing programs. They tout that borrowing costs will be lower and joining will raise the nations creditworthiness. But for what? To take on more debt that they will never be able to default on?

Once Bulgaria joins, it will no longer be able to devalue its currency to remain competitive. That’s how small economies adjust in a floating system. But inside the eurozone, you’re stuck. All monetary policy decisions are made by the ECB in Frankfurt, which answers to no elected body. If Bulgaria experiences a downturn, they can’t cut rates or devalue—just like Greece in 2010. They will be told to cut pensions, raise taxes, and accept IMF mandates. That’s not sovereignty.

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The former communist nation has a long history of political instability. In fact, there have been seven national elections in the past four years alone. Citizens have no trust in their government and do not bother with voting, as voter turnout reached only 34.4% in June 2024. The nation is also internally divided when it comes to support for Russia.

Alpha Research conducted a poll in July 2025 that found 46.5% of the population was in favor of euro adoption while 46.8% are in opposition. Eurobarometer conducted a separate poll in March 2025 that found 45% in favor and 53% against. Nationalism was already rising in Bulgaria, but this adoption of the euro will heighten the nation’s political divide as half the population does not want to surrender its identity to Brussels.

Adopting the euro is a politically motivated rather than a strategic economic move. Bulgaria has lost its remaining freedom from the EU and surrendered all economic freedoms.

Former UK Prime Minister Returns to Goldman

Sunak Rishi

The door continues to revolve at Goldman Sachs as former UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced he is returning to the firm as a senior advisor. Goldman Sachs has successfully penetrated governments globally. The revolving door is deep, systemic, and a clear conflict of interest that will never be addressed.

“I am excited to welcome Rishi back to Goldman Sachs in his new capacity as a Senior Advisor,” David Solomon, chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs, said in a statement. “In his role, he will work with leaders across the firm to advise our clients globally on a range of important topics, sharing his unique perspectives and insights on the macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape,” he added. Rishi formerly worked for Goldman before entering the UK parliament in 2015. He then went on to hold numerous positions of power, including acting as the nation’s finance minister. In fact, Rishi is STILL a member of the UK parliament even though he stepped down from his role as the leader of the Conservative Party.

Rishi attempted to return to Goldman this past May but a government watchdog agency insisted he wait a year as his advise could “overlap” with his political obligations and his “appointment could be seen to offer unfair access and influence within the UK government.”

That is how Goldman operates. The Revolving Door Project created an Independent Federal Agencies Leadership Tracker to show how often government employees swing back and forth between their positions at Goldman and the government. This is a global issue that spans across party lines.

GoldmanSachs

There has NEVER been any investigation of former Goldman Sachs people who take strategic government positions and alter policy only to leave. Robert Rubin ushered through the repeal of Glass-Steagall and resigned. Hank Paulson saved AIG, whose default would have taken down Goldman, while he eliminated two top Goldman competitors over who had the authority to bailout Lehman and Bear. There was no authority to bail out an insurance company operating in London, no less, to skirt US regulation. Even the seizure of our former company, Princeton Economics, was run by a court-appointed receiver who was a full-time board member of Goldman Sachs – Alan Cohen.

Yet, the burning question is simple. Is Goldman or its people going just too far? Their “former” people seem to be controlling the world financial system. Why is that so many people come from the same firm? Nobody will investigate because Goldman is simply one of the too big to jail and otherwise known as the Untouchable.

Goldman traded against clients

It would be very nice if someone simply conducted an investigation to see what perks these people collect after they leave government service. But why should anyone do that? Everyone in Washington and the Department of Just Us dreams of getting a job at Goldman. Every charge filed against Goldman has been dropped or paid off. They not only control the politicians but also every regulatory agency.

Again, Goldman has infiltrated every single government. It helped in structuring the euro, for example, and was accused of hiding the debt of Greece to permit it to enter the EU. Luckily Petros Christodoulou worked for the nation’s public debt management agency and led the National Bank of Greece after working for Goldman Sachs.

Mario Draghi, former PM of Italy, President of the European Central Bank, and Governor of the Bank of Italy worked as the Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs International. Former Prime Minister of Italy and EU Commissioner Mario Monti was an international adviser at Goldman. Again, another former Italian Prime Minister, Romando Prodi, worked for Goldman and later became the President of the European Commission.

Revolving Door

Former European Union leader José Manuel Barroso went back and forth from Goldman to politics. Canada’s Mark Carney is a former employee. In the US, you have Robert Rubin, Gary Gohn, Steve Mnuchin, Jon Corzine, Jim Himes, Steve Bannon – the list goes on.

Germany’s Alice Weidel is called far-left and anti-establishment for being the head of the AfD but she too is a former Goldman employee. Malcolm Turnbull, who previously headed Goldman Sachs Australia, later became the Prime Minister of Australia and Minister for the Environment. Montenegro’s PM Milojko Spaijic is Goldman, as is Sweden’s Minister of Finance Erik Asbrink and Nigeria’s Minister of Finance Olusegun Agana. The head of international affairs at Goldman, Robert Zoellick, even went on to become the President of the World Bank and US Trade Representative, Deputy Secretary of State.

The revolving door is never-ending. It seems like it’s only a matter of time before the conspiracy theories finally give up on bashing the Rothschilds and open their eyes to who really has the power to be a mover and shaker.

Jeffrey Epstein Did Not Kill Himself

(Pam Bondi in February 2025)

Jeffrey Epstein carried out the most successful, deeply rooted blackmail operation in modern history. US intelligence agencies suddenly pivoted to say that Jeffrey Epstein never kept a client list, did not blackmail political figures, and was not murdered. Epstein’s case has been deemed a conspiracy by the deep state, but the truth of the matter is that his connection runs so deeply that unveiling the plethora of information he kept could topple governments.

Those familiar with my writings are aware of “The Club,” a group of powerful market manipulators who possess the financial means to create shadow governments. Robert Maxwell is Ghislaine Maxwell’s father with deep ties to Mossad. In an earlier post, I explained in detail Maxwell’s connection to the Club, Goldman Sachs, Lehman, Safra, and other major players. “The Plot to Seize Russia” also details his connections that tie into the deep state intelligence agencies. Epstein Island was far more than a pedophile ring.

Maxwell

I believe Epstein was running one of the largest honeypot schemes in modern history. He likely offered two big services: one being the most detestable crime known to man, and the other being the service of blackmail. He used his money and connections to grow his successful operation and was protected by his powerful clients. The blackmail he compiled on countless elites is now in the hands of the US government.

ClintonEpsteinMaxwellGates Epstein PhotoEpsteinwithTrumpMaxwell

Everyone visited Epstein Island on both sides of the aisle of government. I’d imagine the majority of major public figures would be on the Epstein list to some capacity. The FBI and CIA have been sitting on a mountain of evidence for years. Not a single person, besides Ghislaine Maxwell, has been arrested or prosecuted. Maxwell is serving a 20-year sentence for trafficking children to no one? We know of numerous high-profile members of Epstein’s inner circle already but they have neither been canceled or investigated. The government began deliberately releasing information incrementally to distract the public from bigger issues. These news stories reach every outlet GLOBALLY, but nothing ever comes of it.

EpsteinBinders

The Trump Administration put on quite a show by handing out binders filled with alleged classified information on Epstein. “This material… is never going to be released. Never going to see the light of day,” AG Pam Bondi recently stated. Yet in February 2025, Bondi said that the new administration wanted the public to have transparency regarding the Epstein files. “It’s a new administration and everything is going to come out to the public,” further suggesting imminent disclosure of significant new information related to Epstein’s case. She clearly stated that there was, in fact, a client list that would be released to the public.

The US justice system acknowledged the crime when Maxwell was indicted in 2021:

  1. The charges set forth herein ster fron the role of GHISLAINE MAXWELL, the defendant, in the sexual exploitation and abuse of multiple minor girl’s by Jeffrey Epstein. In particular, fron at least in or about 1994, up to and including at least in or about 2004, MAXWELL assisted, facilitated, and contributed to Jeffrey Epstein’s abuse of minor girls by, among other things, helping Epstein to recruit, groom, and ultimately abuse victims known to MAXWELL and Epstein to be under the age of 18. The victims were as young as 14 years old when they were groomed and abused by MAXWELL and Epstein, both of whom knew that certain victims were in fact under the age of 18.
  2. As a part and in furtherance of their scheme to abuse minor victims, GHISLAINE MAXWELL, the defendant, and Jeffrey Epstein enticed and caused minor victims to travel to Epstein’s residences in different states, which MAXWELL knew and Intended would result in their grooming for and subjection to sexual abuse. Moreover, in an effort to conceal her crimes, MAXWELL repeatedly lied when questioned about her conduct, including in relation to some of the minor victims described herein, when providing testimony and under oath in 2016.

Epstein when will he die

I am the ONLY person who can speak with any authoritative knowledge of 10 South – the “HOLE” where Jeffrey Epstein supposedly killed himself, which is a joke! When they were taking my lawyers away, they did not want them to talk to me. They amazingly put me in 10 South with all the terrorists, which is the MOST SECURE facility in New York City – PERIOD! They later said they had no idea how I got there. This is where the Feds love to torture people. Let me make a fundamental statement that nobody in the media talks about. They have a SPECIAL ROOM for people on suicide watch. Epstein was not in that cell. It has a large concrete bed with perhaps a 1-inch plastic mattress. Your hands and feet are tied, so you cannot harm yourself. I was in the hole there not on criminal charges or anything – but in civil contempt of court, thrown in with the terrorists from the World Trade Center attack – the 1st one. I was not in the suicide cell – you knew that was the ultimate torture chamber.

On July 25th, 2019, I warned that Epstein would NEVER be allowed to go to trial. They tried to kill me, but I survived after being in a coma for several days. This is what they do when they cannot take you to trial. Remember the torture they were doing in Abu Ghraib? The US pays professionals to learn how to torture. Guantanamo Bay would be an empty prison if they were guilty. They would put them on trial publicly and pump up the press and the prosecutors would become famous and then run for political office. Their best case was put on trial, and the jury found him innocent of over 200 charges and guilty of only one count of conspiracy.

VanceEpstein

Epstein would have been able to call everyone to the court as a witness. It would have been the most sensational trial in history. There was no way he would be allowed to go to trial. From inside sources on Capitol Hill, I was told they tried to release Guantanamo Bay prisoners quietly, but they were killed back home, assuming they were converted to CIA spies. They have been completely denied Due Process of law and anything that remotely resembles human rights. The entire video surveillance on Jeffrey Epstein that was released is not only fake, but there is a key minute missing. Then they claim that the two guards supervising the highest profile prisoner were asleep on the job. The guards were not punished because they cooperated.

Jeffrey Epstein DID NOT KILL HIMSELF.

Donald Trump’s sudden pivot on the Epstein case comes at the same time as Netanyahu’s visit–no surprise there. The US government may have seized the files from Epstein Island, but Epstein was working for Mossad, and they, too, have all the information. The ties are absolutely everywhere, and no one in the US government will ever allow the Epstein trial to see the light of day. So now the entire Epstein Island debacle has been classified as a conspiracy to protect the deep state. Confidence in government has been permanently undermined.

Market Talk – July 9, 2025

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 increased 132.47 points or 0.33% to 39,821.28
• Shanghai decreased 4.43 points or -0.13% to 3,493.05
• Hang Seng decreased 255.75 points or -1.06% to 23,892.32
• ASX 200 decreased 52.10 points or -0.61% to 8,538.60
• SENSEX decreased 176.43 points or -0.21% to 83,536.08
• Nifty50 decreased 46.40 points or -0.18% to 25,476.10
The major Asian currency markets had a mixed day today:
• AUDUSD increased 0.00142 or 0.22% to 0.65382
• NZDUSD increased 0.00073 or 0.12% to 0.59992
• USDJPY decreased 0.572 or -0.39% to 146.294
• USDCNY decreased 0.00162 or -0.02% to 7.18405
The above data was collected around 14:58 EST.
Precious Metals:
• Gold increased 10.33 USD/t oz. or 0.31% to 3,311.81
• Silver decreased 0.409 USD/t. oz. or -1.11% to 36.341
The above data was collected around 14:38 EST.
.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a green day today:
• CAC 40 increased 111.75 points or 1.44% to 7,878.46
• FTSE 100 increased 12.84 points or 0.15% to 8,867.02
• DAX 30 increased 342.65 points or 1.42% to 24,549.56
The major Europe currency markets had a mixed day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00093 or -0.08% to 1.17136
• GBPUSD increased 0.00035 or 0.03% to 1.35882
• USDCHF decreased 0.00102 or -0.13% to 0.79490
The above data was collected around 15:06 EST.

US/AMERICAS:

US Market Closings:

  • Dow advanced 217.54 points or 0.49% to 44,458.3
  • S&P 500 advanced 37.74 points or 0.61% to 6,263.26
  • Nasdaq advanced 192.87 points or 0.95% to 20,611.34
  • Russell 2000 advanced 23.75 points or 1.07% to 2,252.49

 

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite advanced 68.75 points or 0.26% to 29,972.32
  • TSX 60 advanced 3.57 points or 0.22% to 1,603.76

 

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined 1,820.44 points or -1.31% to 137,482.41
ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
• Crude Oil increased 0.144 USD/BBL or 0.21% to 68.324
• Brent increased 0.042 USD/BBL or 0.06% to 70.072
• Natural gas decreased 0.1459 USD/MMBtu or -4.36% to 3.2031
• Gasoline increased 0.0065 USD/GAL or 0.30% to 2.1906
• Heating oil decreased 0.028 USD/GAL or -1.15% to 2.4069
The above data was collected around 15:10 EST.
• Top commodity gainers: Lumber (2.09%), Sugar (2.48%), Cocoa (3.06%) and Palladium (2.10%)
• Top commodity losers: Natural Gas (-4.36%), Potatoes (-6.42%), Orange Juice (-6.56%) and Canola (-3.43%)
The above data was collected around 15:16 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 1.5070% (+1.67bp), US 2’s 3.87% (-0.037%), US 10’s 4.3430% (-6.7bps); US 30’s 4.88% (-0.054%), Bunds 2.6160% (-2.6bp), France 3.357% (-0.55bp), Italy 3.5530% (-0.75bp), Turkey 29.46% (+5bp), Greece 3.360% (+0bp), Portugal 3.118% (-0.15bp); Spain 3.275% (-2.55bp) and UK Gilts 4.6060% (-2.99bp)
The above data was collected around 15:17 EST.

The 2025 World Economic Conference – Save the Date!

Save the date

We’re pleased to announce that the next World Economic Conference will be held in:

Orlando, Florida on November 21– 23, 2025

As many of you know, the WEC is not your typical financial conference. It’s where we bring together minds from around the world—investors, analysts, and policymakers—to explore how capital truly moves across borders, markets, and cycles. This is your chance to understand what Socrates sees ahead before the rest of the world catches up.

Tickets go on sale to the public on Tuesday, July 29.

These events typically sell out quickly, and with growing global demand and virtual attendance now available, we recommend acting early. Whether you’re attending in person or online, this year’s WEC promises crucial insight into where we stand on the Economic Confidence Model—and where we’re going.

Stay tuned for more details!

We look forward to seeing you in Orlando.

WEC Conference 2011

PRIVATE BLOG –Trump vs Powell – A Disaster for 2026

PRIVATE BLOG

PRIVATE BLOG –Trump vs Powell – A Disaster for 2026


Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com.

https://ask-socrates.com/

Inflationary Pressures Began After 2015 – Tariffs are a Distraction

ECM 2015 2020 Detailed

The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations foresees inflation returning to “pre-tariff” levels. As I have mentioned, the rising costs were a mere price correction and not a permanent rise in inflation. Tariffs were NEVER the root cause of inflation.

The central bank predicts that inflation will read 3% in 13 months, which would be the same level of inflation—at least by the Fed’s calculations—since Trump entered the White House. The Fed was stating that prices would rise 3.6% back in March and April when the tariffs were announced. They blamed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff for the Great Depression, just like they’re now blaming Trump’s tariffs for inflation. It’s a political narrative.

Central bank members see inflation remaining unchanged over the next three to five years at 3% and 2.6% respectively. However, members see prices increasing in food (5.5%), medical (9.3%), gas (4.2%), rent (9.1%), and college tuition (9.1%). There is a plethora of factors leading to inflation in the aforementioned categories, none of which have any relation to tariffs.

BIG BANG ECM 2015.75

Prices have simply not returned to what they once were before the global economy came to a standstill during COVID. Every nation has been affected. The lockdowns and supply chain cracks were exacerbated by a massive increase of government spending. Then the government doubled down on green policies, causing energy prices to rise, and lit the situation ablaze amid the Ukraine war and Russian sanctions. The world was already amid a sovereign debt crisis before COVID, and in fact, the Economic Confidence Model clearly stated that the landscape would permanently change after the Big Bang target of October 1, 2015 (2015.75)—the peak in government confidence.

2015.75 was the beginning of the decline we are witnessing in sovereign bonds globally. The migrant crisis began in 2015 when former German Chancellor Angela Merkel invited Syrian refugees to Europe, leading other Build Back Better nations to follow suit in the years since. Anti-establishment sentiment was already on the rise when Trump first secured the presidency the following year in 2016.

Trump was not the cause, he was the symptom. The people lost faith in the establishment starting in 2015.75 and this is part of the global shift predicted precisely by the system. The Fed thinks inflation is a monetary issue. We are in a sovereign debt crisis, a confidence crisis, and a geopolitical storm and not a normal business cycle.

Bolsonaro Accused of Attempted Coup

Bolsonaro Brazil

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was once deemed the Donald Trump of his nation. In a similar fashion, the establishment has accused Bolsonaro of orchestrating a coup to retain power after the 2022 presidential election against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

The people independently denied the results of the election and stormed government buildings a week after Lula was inaugurated. The Federal Police uncovered a draft of a coup announcement in former Justice Minister Anderson Torres’s home. After months of detainment, Torres maintained that the document, which he received from a private citizen, was taken out of context and held no legal validity. The plans outlined in the document never occurred, but the establishment maintains that Bolsonaro is a threat to Brazilian democracy.

As our computer warned, there would be intense, politically motivated civil unrest worldwide in November 2022. Ahead of the election, Brazil’s leftist opposition Workers’ Party (PT) Marcelo Arruda was enjoying his birthday celebration in the city of Foz de Iguacu, Parana, when he was shot dead. The vote of 49.1%-50.9% was the closest Brazilian presidential election history since 1985 and marked Bolsonaro’s first political defeat. Bolsonaro supporters held mass protests across the nation to protest Lula’s victory and blocked hundreds of major roadways. Bolsonaro first sided with the protestors, saying they felt “indignation and a sense of injustice.” The intense backlash from across the globe caused Bolsonaro to change course. “I know you are upset… Me too. But we have to keep our heads straight,” Bolsonaro said in a video posted online. “I will make an appeal to you: clear the highways.” Bolsonaro confirmed with Brazil’s Supreme Court that he would willingly hand over power to Lula. “I have always played within the four lines of the constitution,” he said, without declaring defeat. Bolsonaro is already barred from running for office until 2030. The establishment wants to ensure that he is never up for reelection.

This is the precise move that they attempted after January 6 with Donald Trump, who posted on Truth Social: “The only Trial that should be happening is a Trial by the Voters of Brazil – It’s called an Election. LEAVE BOLSONARO ALONE!” Trump has stated that he believes Bolsonaro is “a legal aberration (lawfare), a clear case of political persecution that is now obvious to anyone with common sense.”

As we head into 2032, the United States has shown the world that you can rig elections using criminal law. I reported how Argentina was bringing criminal charges against the opposition simply for saying, do not save pesos because the currency is collapsing. Thus, the government has turned that comment into a crime. In Brazil, the leftist government is desperate to stop former president Jair Bolsonaro, alleging that he was the mentor of “a wilful and premeditated coup attempt,” copying the US on its desperate attempt to imprison Trump on the January 6th nonsense, calling it an insurrection.

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva scaled

Lula was the establishment candidate. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is a member of the World Economic Forum. His policies align with other WEF leaders and stand in stark contrast to Bolsonaro, who was hated by the globalists. Perhaps more importantly, Bolsonaro refused to align himself with the globalist neocons. He attempted to remain neutral in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and offered to host peace talks. Let us not forget Brazil’s strong economic ties to Russia. Also similar to Trump, Bolsonaro was the victim of a failed assassination attempt when he was stabbed in the abdomen during a political rally. Again, the deep state insisted the assailant was crazed and acted alone, bypassing all security measures to reach one of the most controversial political figures in the nation.

Bolsonaro of Brazil

Our models for South America indicate potential civil unrest and even a Panic Cycle in 2025 in Brazil. Our target of 2023 for a Directional Change has appeared on time both in Brazil and in Israel. Brazil is divided like most countries today. The polarization is severe, and the government is desperate to maintain power. This is the total collapse of Republican forms of government as we head into 2032.

Attempting a coup in Brazil is punishable by up to 12 years’ imprisonment. Collectively, the charges against Bolsonaro could result in a prison sentence of up to 40 years, effectively barring him from reentering the political arena. Nations are no longer allowing people to vote for elected officials. It is too much of a risk as confidence in government has collapsed, and the people are increasingly eager to elect anti-establishment candidates who threaten grander plans.