Skip to content

Join Us at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida! Nov. 17-19, 2023

2014 War Cyclew 2011 Conference 300x173

Join Us at the 2023 World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida!

? Dates: November 17, 18, and 19 ? Location: Orlando, Florida, USA (or tune in from home with our virtual ticket options)

Are you ready to unlock the future of economics and finance? Prepare for an unforgettable World Economic Conference experience in sunny Orlando, Florida! This premier event is your gateway to insights, networking, and valuable resources that will supercharge your understanding of the global economy.

?️ What’s Included for In-Person Attendees:

  1. Event Admission: Enjoy reserved seating assigned based on the order of ticket sales, ensuring you have a prime view of every presentation.
  2. Presentation Slides: Gain access to the presentation slides from all speakers, allowing you to delve deeper into the topics discussed.
  3. Video Recording: Can’t make it to a session? No worries! You’ll receive access to video recordings of all conference presentations, so you can catch up at your convenience.
  4. WEC Event App: Connect with the conference on a whole new level. Access presentation slides, bonus reports, recordings, and more via the official WEC Event App.
  5. Bonus Conference Materials: Get a package of bonus conference-related materials, including exclusive bonus reports and videos (as provided by Martin Armstrong).
  6. Morning Information Sessions: Don’t miss out on important morning information sessions, screened on-site in the meeting room on Saturday and Sunday.
  7. Networking Opportunities: Exclusive access to the Event App Networking Feature allows you to connect with fellow attendees, both in-person and virtual, fostering valuable professional relationships.
  8. Culinary Delights: Savor delicious breakfast and lunch on Saturday and Sunday, prepared to keep you energized throughout the day.
  9. Cocktail Reception: Kick off the conference in style at our Friday evening cocktail reception. Meet and mingle with fellow attendees while enjoying refreshing drinks.
  10. Swag Bag: As a token of our appreciation, each in-person attendee will receive a swag bag filled with goodies, including an Armstrong Economics notebook, pen, and an event collector’s mug!

Unable to travel? We also have two different ticket options for those wishing to attend virtually! 

Don’t miss this opportunity to be part of a global gathering of economic and financial minds. Secure your spot at the World Economic Conference in Orlando, Florida, and gain the knowledge, connections, and resources you need to thrive in the world of finance and economics.

Space is limited, so act now and reserve your seat! Visit our Events page to register and join us in sunny Orlando this November.

NEW BOOK Now Available : "Mark Antony & Cleopatra"

Mark Antony Cleopatra Cleopatra Proxy War

Now available at all major retailers!

The eBook will be available shortly.

"THE PLOT TO SEIZE RUSSIA - THE UNTOLD HISTORY"

The Plot to Seize Russia_3Dmockup_2 300x225

The second edition of “The Plot to Seize Russia – The Untold History” is now available for purchase in paperback and hardcover on Amazon and Barnes and Noble. The ebook will be available shortly.

Book description:

“Take care of Russia,” Boris Yeltsin said as he departed his presidency in August 1999. These words were directed at current Russian president, Vladimir Putin. Yeltsin specifically picked Putin as his predecessor to prevent the takeover of Russia.

So, who was Yeltsin warning against? Newly declassified documents from the Clinton Administration prove that there was a plot to rig the Russian election of 2000. These never-before-seen documents confirm numerous attempts to implement pro-Western policies using the Russian oligarchy headed by Boris Berezovsky.

On the other side were the communists who desired a return to the glory days of the Soviet Union. As one of the largest international hedge fund managers, author Martin Armstrong found himself in the middle of perhaps the greatest espionage, or attempt at a regime change for Russia, in modern history.

The Plot to Seize Russia pulls back the curtain to expose the most extraordinary attempt to seize power in modern history, but with the pen rather than armies. These declassified documents reveal a plot that has altered our thinking about the relations between the United States and Russia. The thirst for power comes seething through every line of these papers that alter our perception of reality, change the course of history, and now threaten us with World War III.

Armstrong on Epstein & the World

Interview: Iran War Coming in April to Ignite Gold and Silver Price Surge?

Interview: Crashing Gold and Silver Prices — How Long Will It Last?

What if the economy wasn’t chaotic at all-but followed a hidden code?

The Armstrong Economic Code reveals the powerful cyclical patterns discovered by legendary forecaster Martin A. Armstrong, whose Economic Confidence Model (ECM) has predicted every major boom, bust, and geopolitical shift for more than four decades.

Compiled and expanded by Kerry Lutz, host of the Financial Survival Network and longtime student of Armstrong’s work, this definitive edition connects the dots between history, markets, and the rhythm of human behavior. From the rise and fall of empires to the digital age of algorithmic finance, the Code shows how every crisis-and every recovery-follows a pattern few understand but everyone feels.

Whether you’re an investor, policymaker, or simply trying to navigate a world of chaos, The Armstrong Economic Code gives you the tools to see what’s coming next-and why the future was already written in the past.

Inside you’ll discover:

– The 8.6-year Economic Confidence Model and how it pinpoints global turning points

– How capital flows reveal the next great migration of wealth and power

– Why governments always collapse in predictable cycles of confidence and corruption

– Exclusive post-2020 commentary and charts expanding on The World According to Martin Armstrong

– How to interpret Armstrong’s forecasts to protect and grow your wealth

PRIVATE BLOG – The Metals Correction

PRIVATE BLOG

PRIVATE BLOG – The Metals Correction


Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com.

https://ask-socrates.com/

Why the Shoe is on the Other Foot in War

French_defense_chief_says_Europe_has_until_2030 for War

QUESTION: Marty, when I asked you why we would lose in WWIII, you said the shoe is on the other foot this time. You said that you would do a report on that. Is there any update you can give because these people here in charge are in agreement that war is coming. I flew to Philadelphia in 2011 to see you at that WEC. You laid out the war cycle would turn up in 2014 long before anyone even thought of war. There are many people copying you now pretending it is their research who do not have the contacts behind their charts. I should point out, that they put you on French TV not in America. Your own country will not put you on TV because they are beholding to the Neocons. When the Trump Administration came to write a peace plan, they came to you, not these charlatans. It does seem they are working in some conspiracy for war.

Pierre

Martin Armstrong Paris

ANSWER: Yes, I am working on the 2026 War Report and a number of projects including the long awaited ECM book. China is currently the leading manufacturing country, surpassing the United States in production output. As of 2023, China’s manufacturing value-added reached $4.66 trillion, which is more than the combined output of the next three largest manufacturing economies: the United States, Japan, and Germany. Where the USA accounts for 17.5% of global manufacture, China stands at 27%.

In the war similations that I ran, China will defeat the United States because in an initial confrontation, we can wipe out at least 1/3 of their navy as they do to ours. However, like the US won the WWII became we had the manufacturing based to out produce Germany, that is what I meant that the shoe is on the other foot.

The European Union is collapsing. This is why they are up-in-arms about Visa & Mastercard for they need to control the economy and they are behind closed doors trying to get the UK to rejoin to prop up a failing economic experiment. But they do not care about Europe or the people. This is only about retaining their power. This is no different from NATO. It needs war with Russia just to remain relevant or they money stops and they too lose their jobs.

Russian_Ruble Y Tech 2 13 26

Here is a yearly chart of the Russian ruble. Despite all the press how Russia is weak, it is collapsing, etc., sorry, the ruble is rising not declining. China will come to the aid of Russia because they know they will be next. With a manufacturing base of this vast potential, the shoe is on the other foot this time. But this is about bureaucrats simply trying to hold on to their power. They do not care about you.

EU Bankers Call for Visa and Mastercard Alternatives

Credit Cards

According to ECB data cited by the Financial Times, American firms Visa and Mastercard now account for nearly two-thirds of all card transactions in the eurozone, while 13 EU countries have no national card schemes. Now, EU officials have issued a warning that an alternative medium must be deployed to counter US interference.

As cash usage continues to decline, EU officials are suddenly alarmed that payment systems could be “weaponized” during a geopolitical conflict. This concern was openly voiced by former ECB president Mario Draghi, who warned that interdependence has become “a source of leverage and control.” What Draghi never acknowledges is that it was precisely his era of central planning, negative interest rates, and regulatory micromanagement that drove Europe into this position. European banks were stifled, innovation was discouraged, and capital fled to jurisdictions that offered greater scale and efficiency. Now the same people who engineered Europe’s decline in competitiveness are lecturing the public about strategic autonomy.

shutterstock_495258178

“Deep integration created dependencies that could be abused when not all partners were allies,” Mario Draghi, former ECB president, said in a recent speech. “Interdependence, once seen as a source of mutual restraint, became a source of leverage and control.”

The European Payments Initiative and its Wero system are being presented as a private sector solution. When officials frame payment systems as matters of “sovereignty,” what they are really saying is that governments want leverage over transactions. That is why the discussion inevitably circles back to central bank digital currencies. The European Central Bank continues to promote the digital euro as a way to preserve “autonomy,” yet this has nothing to do with protecting consumers and everything to do with monitoring and directing financial behavior. A CBDC is not a payment innovation. It is a surveillance mechanism layered on top of a failing monetary system.

Even European banks themselves have quietly acknowledged this risk, warning that a digital euro would crowd out private payment systems rather than complement them. That admission alone dismantles the official narrative. If a CBDC were truly about efficiency or convenience, it would not require suppressing private alternatives. History shows that governments only insert themselves directly into transactions when they want enforcement power. Once payments are centralized, capital controls become inevitable, negative rates become unavoidable, and dissent can be punished instantly by restricting access to money.

The irony is that Europe is blaming American payment networks for a dependency created by European policy failures. Draghi’s worldview has always been rooted in the belief that bureaucrats know better than markets. The result has been stagnation and rising public debt. The push for CBDCs is simply the next phase of that experiment, and it will end the same way. When people trust institutions, they do not worry about who processes a transaction.

Britain Faces Weapon Shortage After Oversupplying Ukraine

Britain pledges a century of support for Ukraine. Day 1063 of the war | OSW  Centre for Eastern Studies

Britain, one of the loudest voices pushing continued support for Ukraine, has already transferred enormous quantities of its own weapons and ammunition, and the reality now surfacing is that Western arsenals were never designed for a prolonged conventional conflict.

From the outset of the war, London became one of Kyiv’s largest suppliers. The UK delivered more than 12,000 anti-tank weapons, over 300,000 artillery rounds, air-defense missiles, armored systems, and extensive non-lethal gear from its own stocks. Britain ultimately committed billions in arms support, ranking second only to the United States in total military aid.

This was not simply surplus equipment sitting idle. A significant portion came directly out of British inventories, with about £171.5 million ($225 million) worth of equipment drawn from stockpiles by early phases of the war. Officials later warned that further transfers created “unacceptable risks” to Britain’s own readiness, forcing reductions in donations as the strain became evident.

Heavy systems were also handed over. The UK transferred its AS-90 self-propelled artillery to Ukraine, and by 2025, reports indicated that the entire fleet of 68 vehicles had been donated, effectively retiring the platform from British service. Ammunition followed the same path, including contracts to deliver roughly 120,000 additional 152mm artillery shells through multinational funding mechanisms.

Even as these shipments continued, new pledges kept coming. In February 202,6 London announced another air-defense package worth more than £500 million, including missiles and funding mechanisms to buy U.S. systems for Kyiv. Additional announcements the same week included £540 million in aid and thousands of missiles to reinforce Ukraine’s defenses. A separate £150 million contribution was directed to a NATO-coordinated program designed to keep weapons flowing despite supply pressures.

Retired British Army Colonel Richard Kemp believes that the United Kingdom’s own stockpile could not last more than a week in the event of combat. “Knowledgeable observers have suggested that our munitions stocks – from rifle bullets and artillery shells to long-range missiles and drones – would see out only about a week of intensive fighting,” he wrote. “That’s even taking account of the fact that our Armed Forces are now very small, having been repeatedly hollowed out by successive governments…Even the handful of soldiers and tanks we could put into the field would be out of ammo in a matter of days.”

European initiatives to source shells have already struggled to meet funding targets, raising only about €1.4 billion of a planned €5 billion to secure ammunition supplies. The conflict has exposed what military analysts call the “return of industrial warfare,” where vast quantities of matériel are consumed continuously and must be replaced by manufacturing, not financial engineering.

The UK and all of Europe are now scrambling to rebuild arsenals it assumed it would never need again, while continuing to ship weapons to Ukraine. History shows that once nations enter this cycle of rearmament after disarmament, the economic consequences of debt expansion tend to last far longer than the war that triggered them. Europe remains reliant on the US for protection and has felt emboldened to sell off equipment because the bureaucrats firmly believe the US will rush to their aid in the event of conflict. In reality, politicians have left their populations vulnerable and are risking national security in a serious way.

London Mayor Hell Bent on Reversing Brexit

The Mayor of London’s recent declaration that his “ultimate goal is to reverse Brexit” and rejoin the EU captures the continued strain facing UK politics. When the British people voted to leave the European Union, they did not merely withdraw from a political union, but rather, they withdrew from the world’s most integrated economic bloc. That decision carried long-term consequences that today, six years on, are evident not just in statistics but in the structural reorientation of the British economy.

I was a strong proponent of Brexit because the structure of the EU is inherently unstable. You cannot have a single monetary system, regulatory regime, and political authority imposed on vastly different cultures and economies without creating permanent internal conflict.

The EU does not permit real democracy. When voters in France, the Netherlands, Ireland, or Greece rejected EU policies, they were forced to vote again until they produced the “correct” answer. When Italy or Greece elected governments that challenged Brussels, unelected bureaucrats intervened. Brexit was not an accident, nor was it some irrational emotional outburst by the British public as the press endlessly claims. It was the inevitable consequence of the European Union evolving into a centralized bureaucratic regime that stripped sovereignty from its member states.

BREXIT Crisis

I consistently supported Nigel Farage, who understood that this was not about tariffs or GDP forecasts, but about sovereignty. Those now calling to reverse Brexit argue that Britain has suffered economically. That is a dishonest framing. The entire European continent is in economic decline. Germany is deindustrializing, France is facing civil unrest and debt instability, and southern Europe never recovered from the sovereign debt crisis. To claim that Britain’s challenges stem solely from Brexit ignores the global contraction cycle that began long before the referendum.

Brexit was not a mistake. The real mistake would be pretending that voters did not know what they were doing. Markets will adjust. Capital will flow where it is treated best. What never survives is a system that refuses to listen to its own people.

Market Talk – February 12, 2026

Market Talk 2017

ASIA:
The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today:
• NIKKEI 225 decreased 10.70 points or -0.02% to 57,639.84
• Shanghai increased 2.033 points or 0.05% to 4,134.018
• Hang Seng decreased 233.84 points or -0.86% to 27,032.54
• ASX 200 increased 28.70 points or 0.32% to 9,043.50
• SENSEX decreased 558.72 points or -0.66% to 83,674.92
• Nifty50 decreased 146.65 points or -0.57% to 25,807.20
The major Asian currency markets had a negative day today:
• AUDUSD decreased 0.00456 or -0.64% to 0.70817
• NZDUSD decreased 0.0021 or -0.35% to 0.60280
• USDJPY decreased 0.435 or -0.28% to 152.824
• USDCNY decreased 0.00961 or -0.14% to 6.90027
The above data was collected around 13:20 EST.
Precious Metals:
• Gold increased 164.65 USD/t oz. or -3.24% to 4,920.36
• Silver increased 8.454 USD/t. oz. or -10.03% to 75.839
The above data was collected around 13:24 EST.
EUROPE/EMEA:
The major Europe stock markets had a mixed day today:
• CAC 40 increased 27.32 points or 0.33% to 8,340.56
• FTSE 100 decreased 69.67 points or -0.67% to 10,402.44
• DAX 30 decreased 3.46 points or -0.01% to 24,852.69
The major Europe currency markets had a negative day today:
• EURUSD decreased 0.00114 or -0.10% to 1.18604
• GBPUSD decreased 0.00193 or -0.14% to 1.36082
• USDCHF decreased 0.00213 or -0.28% to 0.76980
The above data was collected around 13:28 EST.
NORTH AMERICA:

US/AMERICAS:

  • DJIA declined by 669.42 points (-1.34%) to 49,451.98

  • S&P 500 declined by 108.71 points (-1.57%) to 6,832.76

  • NASDAQ declined by 469.32 points (-2.04%) to 22,597.148

  • Russell 2000 declined by 53.64 points (-2.01%) to 2,615.830

Canada Market Closings:

  • TSX Composite declined by 788.91 points (-2.37%) to 32,465.28

  • TSX 60 declined by 35.22 points (-1.83%) to 1,887.05

Brazil Market Closing:

  • Bovespa declined by 1,932.70 points (-1.02%) to 187,766.42

ENERGY:
The oil markets had a mixed day today:
• Crude Oil decreased 1.974 USD/BBL or -3.05% to 62.657
• Brent decreased 2.058 USD/BBL or -2.97% to 67.341
• Natural gas increased 0.051 USD/MMBtu or 1.61% to 3.2100
• Gasoline decreased 0.0687 USD/GAL or -3.47% to 1.9094
• Heating oil decreased 0.0602 USD/GAL or -2.47% to 2.3802
The above data was collected around 13:31 EST.
• Top commodity gainers: Lithium (3.26%), Coffee (2.27%), Wheat (2.70%) and Methanol (2.35%)
• Top commodity losers: Potatoes (-18.37%), Orange Juice (-9.41%), Platinum (-5.50%) and Silver (-10.03%)
The above data was collected around 13:37 EST.
BONDS:
Japan 2.2350% (-0.2bp), US 2’s 3.48% (-0.052%), US 10’s 4.110% (-6.7bps); US 30’s 4.74 (-0.071%), Bunds 2.7677% (-2.83bp), France 3.3650% (-1.62bp), Italy 3.400% (-0.69bp), Turkey 30.045% (+188.5bp), Greece 3.389% (-3bp), Portugal 3.152% (-0.5bp); Spain 3.154% (-1.1bp) and UK Gilts 4.455% (-2.64bp)
The above data was collected around 13:50 EST.

PRIVATE BLOG – The Silver/Gold Ratio (Plus Clients)

PRIVATE BLOG

PRIVATE BLOG – The Silver/Gold Ratio (Plus Clients)


Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more, please visit Ask-Socrates.com.

https://ask-socrates.com/