Skip to content

Armstrong Economics 101

Why the Fed Cannot Reduce Rates to Offset Tariffs

President Donald Trump is urging the Fed to cut interest rates to offset the inflation that will be caused by tariffs. “The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING...

Transitory Tariff Inflation?

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he expects inflation to be “transitory,” a word reminiscent of America’s situation three years ago when the Fed repeatedly urged...

PRIVATE BLOG – MAGA version of the Shell Game

PRIVATE BLOG – MAGA version of the Shell Game Private blog posts are exclusively available to Socrates subscribers. To sign-up for Socrates or to learn more,...

Powell – The Fed- Inflation – Recession

Jerome Powell kept rates unchanged as our computer was projecting. However, he did weigh in on the state of the US economy, pointing out that Donald Trump’s...

Happy Pi Day

COMMENT: Marty, Happy Pi Day. I think it was inevitable that you would discover the relationship between Pi and the economy and the markets. I found it to be fate...

Markets Crash On Cue & Trump Refuses to Rule Out Recession

COMMENT: Marty, it looks like Trump is aware of the ECM. The markets crashed right on cue with Socrates, and he refused to rule out a recession. What is most...

Why Some Academics Hate Cycles and Call them Pseudoscience

QUESTION: The criticism of your Economic Confidence Model has been that it oversimplifies complex economies, ignoring variables like policy changes or technological...

Supporting the Deep State by Silence

COMMENT: I find it hypocritical that in the USA, the mainstream media and others who refuse to acknowledge your accomplishments publicly are not trustworthy. Anyone...

Dubai’s annual World Governments Summit – the Davos Sequel

QUESTION: Why are you not at Dubai’s annual World Governments Summit? I have seen you walking out of the central bank in Abu Dabi. Are they just another...

Tariffs vs Sanctions – Myths & Covert Operations

The insanity over the U.S. inflation data illustrates just how braindead analysis has become. The price of eggs grabbed a lot of headlines – up 15%. But supply...