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Armstrong Economics 101

Credit Card Delinquencies Spike Among the “Rich”

  Inflation can be felt at every tax bracket. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari came out this week and said the public “viscerally...

Interest on US National Debt Hits New Record

Government spending has consequences. The US national debt has surpassed $34.6 trillion at the time of this writing and continues to grow every minute. America has...

Fed President Says Americans Would Prefer a Recession to Inflation

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari has advised against anticipating near-term rate cuts. While speaking to the Financial Times, the Fed...

The Economic Decline of Europe With Rising Interest Rates?

I have returned from a two-week tour of Europe covering the UK, Germany, and Italy. Europe is in dire straights. I have stayed on the Via Veneto since my parents...

The Major Fractal Wave of the Economic Confidence Model & 2032.95

Here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end to all the questions about how high up the fractal structure can be defined. We are in the grand Public...

Do You Know How to Trade a Panic?

Knowing how to trade amid a panic is one of the most important skills a trader can master, and those who have done it correctly have profited in recent years. This...

Deflation v Inflation v Stagflation – Misconceptions Clarified

Some people have a very hard time understanding that we are in a massive deflationary spiral; they think that rising prices simply means it is inflation and not...

Bankers & Interest

The history of interest rates is provided on this site. Interest rates in a developed economy reflect the “option” value on the expected decline in purchasing...

What Completes a Phase Transition?

What completes a phase transition? Simple — capital inflow to the United States. For example, when oil was in the $10 range in 1998, we forecast that oil...

Trading ETFs v Mutual Funds

The primary difference between mutual funds and ETFs (exchange-traded funds) is that while an open-end mutual fund is priced once based upon the market closing,...