Investors are smarter than the fund managers on many occasions. They have been bailing out of the municipal bond markets for the last year. This is one of our strongest recommendations for far more cities will be going bankrupt after 2015.75 not just in the USA, but in Europe. Sell while you can and that […]

For all the rantings about hyperinflation and the demise of the dollar as the reserve currency, the fallacy of this constant preaching is quite plain and straight forward. WHERE DOES MONEY GO IN THE ALTERNATIVE? While the gold promoters tell you it is only gold, after the German Hyperinflation the new currency was backed by […]

COMMENT:  Mr. Armstrong, I just wanted to say thank you. I’m basically a nobody except to my 5 children and wife (that’s all that matters to me anyway). I have limited market experience. The majority of experience I have is in business systems analysis, so making sense out of the global market was almost undoable […]

PIMCO lost the mantle of the largest fund as capital withdrawals reached $38 billion this year as money moves to equities. The largest fund is now Vanguard. This is part of the cycle shift. While there is likely coming a near-term correction, everything is still pointing to capital flight from bonds and banks into equities. […]

There is only one country that has bought massive long-term U.S. bonds in July and that was Japan. They bought the incredible amount of long-term bonds totaling $52 billion. Most other foreign governments have reduced their holdings of long-term U.S. bonds by $62.5 billion over the same period with Russia dumping $6 billion in July. This […]

The shift out of bonds is being noticed even in Washington these days. This is perhaps the number one issue concerning questions we have received from political and institutional circles. The rise in the Euro was in part caused by the sell off of long-term bonds. The manipulation of buying in the long-term to help […]

One of the most critical aspects of why it is so important to understand history is because it is both a catalogue of solutions as well as potential threats. At the Sovereign Debt Crisis Conference today we discussed FORCED LOANS. Both the cities of Venice and Florence issued laws FORCING citizens to buy their bonds. This […]

Refunding Certificate 1879 – Was a circulating bond. Due to an act of Congress in 1879 the Refunding Certificate was issued. The goal was to make government securities accessible to the public. The denomination was smallish at $10.00, putting the certificate within reach of most anyone. Refunding Certificates were to accrue interest at 4% per year indefinitely. In 1907 Congress passed a bill […]

Bonds indicate a potential turning point as we move into August. The week beginning July 29th is indicated as a “Panic Cycle” week. Panic cycles suggest the potential for an outside reversal week. If bonds trade down into this timeframe, taking out the previous week’s low, it could indicate some unexpected information will cause bonds […]

LONG TERM TIMING FOR BONDS From the Quarterly Chart of Bonds we see a Bifurcation Turning Point indicated for 3rd Quarter 1998. Next look at the Timing Arrays. Note that the 3rd Quarter, once again, is indicated for DIRECTIONAL CHANGE, PANIC and HIGH VOLATILITY. If you have studied our ” Economic Confidence Model” you will […]