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Major v Minor – What is the Difference

QUESTION: ” But keep in mind that the major event should be later 2015 – not right now.” Could you please explain with more details these important words? ANSWER: The 1987 Crash was just that on the mid-term turning point with the crash unfolding, but that was short-lived and not a sustained change in trend qualifying it as a minor rather than […]

Dow & the Future

The Dow Jones Industrials are approaching the major top of the up uptrend channel. which stands at the 16000 level for the 3rd quarter. We have a turning point in September. The real question is will we breakout and move into a Phase Transition going into 2015.75? This depends entirely how we interact with this […]

More Bernanke Confusion & Turbulence

In the wake of Wednesday’s surprisingly questioning of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, he has unleashed a massive selloff in the US dollar by giving the reverse impression that the Fed may exit from monetary accommodation and easing. Bernanke stated that the Federal Reserve was failing on both of its core mandates, and that inflation was too low and unemployment too high. […]

Fundamentals & Gold & The Euro

Gold tumbled about 3% after positive US jobs data sent the dollar rallying and rekindled worries the Federal Reserve could be tempted to scale back its monetary stimulus later in the year. I have warned that the US economic outlook is bullish into 2015.75. The dollar will rise and that will help turn the US […]

Gold & Euro – Here we Go Again.

One reader writes making a statement that clearly we are so influential and that is why only a fool does not read our work. Some people assume simply because I said Friday was a low in gold and we should get a 3 day reaction rally and it does, that this is all influence. This […]

Gee Wiz! The Euro Crisis is not Over? Who would have guessed?

The Euro has plummeted dropping to 12900 zone. Our Daily Bearish on the spot lies at 12940. Portugal interest rates have jumped to 8% and will move higher. Austria has closed 25% of all the branches of their bank in crisis, and we are waiting for the first crack in German banks. The EU Commission […]

How to Distinguish Among Banks & What Will Be Insured

It is starting to become critical regarding what bank to trust. The Bank War of Andrew Jackson just may be reemerging at last with the target being this time the “club” led by the New York Investment Bankers. The dangerous bankers in NYC and elsewhere are those who are proprietary traders. The NY Investments Bankers […]

India Raises Tariffs on Gold to Try to Stop Dollar Rise

  The Rupee has fallen sharply against the US dollar as volatility rises. The current account deficit jumped largely because India’s gold purchases rose from 90 tons to 300 tons as the price collapsed. But this led to India imposing more tariffs on the importation of gold stopping the buying and contributing to the collapse […]

Dow Jones – To Be or Not to Be

We wrote on June 20th: “The Daily Bearish Reversals are 14670 and 14392 with the Weekly Bearish at 14390 and 14360/ The key support starts with the Monthly Bearish at 13139 and 12940, with the critical support at the Monthly Bearish at 12220.” We elected the minor Daily Bearish on the 24th but that was […]

The Business Cycle

Defining the Business Cycle By Martin Armstrong There are those that adamantly deny the existence of a Business Cycle for one simple reason; if a regular Business Cycle exists, then man and his government, driven by special interests, are incapable of manipulating its outcome. The entire foundation of Marxism was the recognition of the Business […]