QUESTION:  In regards to the “Crash or Collapse” post you just put up, we kind of wonder what you meant when you wrote at the end “This will not be like anything seen in past 200 years” We were wondering, was that in regards to a crashing market or crashing Bond market? I thought you said in […]

QUESTION: You hear the big talk at Davos was the next big crash.  Roubini,..etc all the big economists are calling for one in the next 24 months and say its due for this business cycle to have a crash in bonds and stocks. GB ANSWER: What I see is nothing like the traditional crash. First […]

Of course the Pro-Moscow rebels declared a complete victory in a referendum on self-rule for eastern Ukraine. They now want to join Moscow and the entire propaganda has been that this is just a CIA plot and that is what Russia keeps telling its people. Now the CIA plot caused the fall of the Soviet […]

COMMENT: Your forecast on marijuana was fascinating. I assume it lined up with the Sovereign Debt Crisis starting in 2010 and therefore the economic pressure would cause the change by 2013. Very interesting. GH REPLY: Yes, you are correct. This is why I say ABSOLUTELY EVERYTHING is 100% Connected. The introduction of the Marijuana Tax […]

The Treasury Department saw the weakest demand since August 2011 in a sale of 30-year Treasury bonds today. The demand for long-term bonds that has driven interest rates well below the old benchmark of 8% has been the rise in demand for pensions. As the Baby-Boomers were getting closer to retirement, the bid for “safe” […]

One of our Texan readers reminds us about the Mexican Independence was indeed – a Sovereign Debt Default. “Monday was Cinco de Mayo which Texans celebrate more than Mexicans. Little known fact that the war had its beginnings when the Mexicans declared a moratorium on foreign debt for two years. The British and Spanish negotiated […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I know someone who attended your 1985 Conference in Princeton. He said you illustrated the huge volatility, and forecast there would be the Crash in 1987 and 1989. He said you forecast the G5 would be the source of that volatility, and that there would be a Sovereign Debt Crisis that will […]

  Perhaps it is fate, but Spain was united with the marriage of Ferdinand and Isabella and in 1492, they not merely funded Christopher Columbus, they also began the expulsion of the Jews and Muslims. Christopher Columbus’s diary begins: “In the same month in which their Majesties [Ferdinand and Isabella] issued the edict that all Jews […]

QUESTION: How far in the future does your computer model project? ANSWER: One of the fascinating aspects about modeling the world economy is you rapidly discover that the complexity is enormous, yet the outcome is far more predictable Long-Term than Short-Term. This may seem illogical at first, but once you comprehend the dynamics of the system […]

The backlash against these Marxist Politicians that have dominated Europe will see the first sizable gains when citizens in the 28 European Union countries vote on May 22-25 for 751 members of the bloc’s legislature. The opinion polls currently suggest that they will for the first time elect a sizable group of politicians bent on […]