Skip to content

Market Talk – July 6, 2023

ASIA:   Goldman Sachs has stated that Western countries may need over $25 billion in investments to match China’s supply of rare earths. The concern arises from Beijing’s export restrictions on minor metals, leading to fears that rare earths could be the next target. Currently, China accounts for 90% of global refined output of rare […]

Market Talk – May 26, 2023

ASIA:   Core consumer inflation in Tokyo, Japan’s capital, slowed down in May. However, an important inflation index that excludes the impact of fuel reached a four-decade high, indicating increasing price pressure. This could potentially maintain expectations of a withdrawal from the current loose monetary policy. The Tokyo core consumer price index, which excludes volatile […]

Brenner & Kondratieff Waves v Economic Confidence Model

COMMENT: Marty, I began following you in 1985. That is when everyone was using the Kondratieff Wave and admitted it averaged 45 to 60 years. They were all predicting another Great Depression. You were the only one right back then as well. I remember your advertisement in the Economist saying a new Private Wave was […]

the 1933 Bank Holiday – Can it Happen Again?

QUESTION: Marty there are a lot of people who seem to be trying to create a panic. Some are claiming the stock market will plunge by 50%. Others are saying nothing will survive other than gold. It seems like none of these people have any sense of what is really unfolding. They were saying the […]

The Myth of Fair Value

QUESTION: If the metals are not trading at a fair value relative to everything else, then does that not prove they are manipulated? SN   ANSWER: Your problem is the assumption that everything must be trading at some fair value. That is up there with the theory of random walks.  ALL markets trade for periods […]

The Debt Crisis – What Really Falls to Dust?

QUESTION: The sales pitch seems to be that there is this $2 quadrillion in global debt that overhangs everything. Paper assets, therefore, will all implode!  They seem to be saying that everything has risen due to this debt bubble and it was all created with Zero interest rates. Now that they are going up, the debt […]

Markets & Starlings

COMMENT: Hi Martin, Your blog, “Model & the 1991 Collapse of the USSR” for me was a major thought process change. I believed in the Random Walk down Wallstreet, not any more. The chaos model example of the Dow Jones reminds me of the migration of the starlings – link attached. I had a pet […]

Market Talk – February 3, 2023

ASIA:   Singapore and Malaysia have agreed to strengthen bilateral cooperation and jointly seize opportunities in the digital economy and green economy, and to work closely on data protection and cyber security. Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim witnessed the signing of three agreements covering these fields on Monday, during […]

What investment would have produced 4,414% Gain since 1932?

Imagine if you could have bought a loaf of bread in 1932 for 7 cents. That 7 cents would be $3.09 today would be a gain of 4,414%. Of course, you could not even freeze it that long. That is also the problem with many who sell investments. Gold was $20.67 in 1932 so that […]

Dutch Farming Crisis

This is one of those unbelievable stories of how Climate Change is being taken to such an extreme, we will unleash a serious wave of deaths from both starvation and coming freezing temperatures without fuel. The Dutch government actually is planning to buy out and close as many as 3,000 farms in the country, which […]