The Federal Open Market Committee unsurprisingly voted to maintain rates at 5.25% to 5.5%. The numerous cuts others were anticipating are completely off the table, as the central bank said there might be one reduction for the year compared with their optimistic forecast made in March of three rate reductions in 2024. “In recent months, […]

COMMENT: Marty, I attended your Toronto Institutional session when the Bank of Canada had a table of 10 people. People would ask you what the central banks were looking at, and you would respond. Everyone then turned to see if they flinched. They were the best of times, as they say. For us long-timers, it […]

The history of interest rates is provided on this site. Interest rates in a developed economy reflect the “option” value on the expected decline in purchasing power of money. If I expect it to decline by 5%, then I expect a profit, and say want 8%. You in turn will pay the 8% only if […]

  Can Socrates predict the lottery? We ran tests on that probably 30 years ago, and the results were interesting. No matter what it is, there is always a cycle. You cannot predict the lottery number as a whole, for the possible variables are tremendous. In the past few years, we have seen continual advertisements […]

My January 2020 interview with Andrew McCreath from BNN Bloomberg came up in recent conversation, and I was asked how I knew then that we’d be where we were at now. My answer is the same — I just follow the models. Some unfamiliar with my work merely looked at the headline “DOW 40,000” and dismissed my forecast as […]

Many government officials around the world look at our political forecasts, which are done by our computer and are not influenced by personal opinion or bias. These were our projections for the 2016 election. As you can easily see, this is all data-driven. The computer has a political database from around the world; all correlated […]

Biden has been escalating tensions in the Middle East since he entered politics. In 2013, then-Vice President Biden used his favorite line: “If there were not an Israel, we would have to invent one to make sure our interests were preserved.” Now, our models noted that the beginning of the global conflict we are facing […]

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COMMENT #1: Hello Mr. Armstrong,   I just did some homework: Between August 3rd and this morning, I received only 44% of your New Post blog e-mails. Out of the 48 posts, only 21 ended up in my inbox!   The censoring covers politics, Woke, war, corruption, tyranny, climate change, even humor (Aug 4th Trudeau’s […]

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