This is clearly political. The numbers just do not support this panic they are less than the annual flu. Granted, they are rising now, but that is because of the massive fraud going on thanks to the American Medical Association. You would think the death rate is 50% like the Black Plague. Every news […]

COMMENT #1 [From Germany]: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I owe you an apology. For a long time I was of the opinion that the measures (lockdown, social distancing, flattening the curve) were fully justified. I had also clearly expressed this in my e-mails to you. I must admit that I was wrong. I am a learning […]

There are two schools of thought running around. One blames China for experimenting with Bat Viruses and insist that this was not intentional, but a leak from the Wuhan Lab because of a lack of security. There are some who want to file lawsuits against China in the USA, Britain, and India for damages. Xi […]

Market Talk will resume on Monday, April 13. We would like to wish our readers who celebrate a happy Easter weekend. ASIA: India’s factory output rose to a seven-month high of 4.5% in February, before the government imposed a nationwide lockdown in March that crippled normal economic activity. Mining and manufacturing grew at 10% and […]

QUESTION:  Hi Martin – I have followed your blog for a long-time now. I enjoy reading a different viewpoint and somebody pointing out problems that don’t have a motive to take advantage of the “problems”. I find it deeply troubling that the US does not have a valid large news outlet anymore – no matter […]

  QUESTION: Your explanation of why increasing the quantity of money has failed seems to be the only explanation that is viable. Do you see the same outcome this time around? PA ANSWER: The academics assume we are morons. There is no comprehension of how human nature responds. Hoards of debased coins are found from […]

  ASIA: The former governor of the Reserve Bank of India Raghuram Rajan has said that India can beat the virus with the right resolve and priorities by focusing on immediate needs and delaying less important expenditures. He also said that it will be hard to lockdown the country entirely for much longer periods as […]

QUESTION #1: Dear Martin, Could you offer a comment on how these increases in deaths can affect the latest predictions that you and Socrates offered? Will we still have the sling effect? Even with reduced liquidity, with millions unemployed, with the economy in a state of war, is the Dow Jones able to react and […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, your forecast for Iran back in 2012 has been correct. It picked 2016 which in January the International economic sanctions on Iran were lifted after UN said it was satisfied with progress on fulfilling the nuclear agreement. President Rouhani then embarked on the first European state visit of an Iranian president for […]

ASIA: India’s policy makers are preparing a plan to carefully analyze a tough trade-off. They are considering a continued lockdown post-April 14, 2020, at the cost of longer-term economic devastation, or a rational “unlocking,” allowing India to return to work. Based on pre-COVID-19 projections of India’s GDP, the average daily GDP value for FY2021 was […]