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Antarctica Use to Have no Ice?

  Research is surfacing that shows Antarctica may have been without ice during the Medieval Warming Period some refer to as the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) which took place between 1000–1200 AD. Mapping the MCA across the Antarctic region based on the analysis of published palaeotemperature proxy data from 60 sites has revealed something which defies […]

Market Talk – July 31, 2019

ASIA: China and US trade talks stalled this week although described as “frank, efficient and constructive” by the White House. Talks are due to resume early September in Washington DC. “The two sides discussed topics such as forced technology transfer, intellectual property rights, services, non-tariff barriers, and agriculture,” the White House said. It said China […]

Is France Moving Closer to Revolution?

After studying how revolutions unfold, the critical factor is when the police/army turn against the political power. The Russian Revolution was bloodless for when Yeltsin stood on the tank and asked the troops not to kill their own people, they stood down and the government fell. Likewise, in China, that memorable photo of a lone […]

Middle East Chaos

The Middle East has been in turmoil and Trump has stood his ground against the neo-cons. The UAE is trying to avoid involving its nation in the conflict with Iran and certainly sees no upside to turning its country into a battlefield between the US and Iran. Iran promised to talk to the Yemeni officials […]

Why Hedge Funds Have Missed the Moves

COMMENT: Well, Ray Dalio was short the market, missed the rally, and lost almost 5% for the first half of the year. Obviously, they don’t use Socrates – lol. LB REPLY: I do not advise Bridgewater and I have no idea if they even subscribe to Socrates. But what you have to realize is that […]

Singapore Economy Turns Down & China Exports Decline

They are calling it an unexpected contraction in Singapore’s economy which is in line with our Economic Confidence Model which bottoms in January 2020. In addition, China’s exports have also declined by 1.3% during June. Gross domestic product in export-reliant Singapore declined by a shocking 3.4% in the second quarter from the previous three months. […]

It’s the Volatility – not the Temperature!

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, in relating your comments on weather and how the winters will spike to record cold and then the summers will spike to record highs, is this the same as a panic cycle in markets? HC ANSWER: Yes. Our computer looks at the weather the same as it does with the price in […]

The Sum of All our Economic Fears

A lot of people have written in about my comments concerning how the world is completely in a state of global chaos which is why this year I will be providing a continued video update for the 2019 WEC attendees. Those looking at the arrays of many markets are also starting to notice how global […]

Agricultural Loans Declining Right on Target

One of the most fascinating observations I have made over my career has been that the banks always lend at the top and contract lending at the bottom in every market. Going into 1980, banks were calling me to ask if I wanted to borrow money. Recently, I got a phone call from my bank […]

WEC 2019 Orlando – Knockin’ On Heaven’s Door or the Big Fake Out?

We'd like to thank everyone who was able to join us at the World Economic Conference!

If you were not able to join, a video of the event will be available shortly.