Princeton Economics International, Ltd. Edinburgh Transcript April 29, 1997     I would like to begin today with a brief overview as to how we at Princeton look at markets. For those of you who attended last year’s conference I will try to be as brief as possible.   Effectively, our models are based […]

For the first time the position of the dollar as world reserve currency in the United States has come under criticism by Obama’s former chief economist, Jared Bernstein (2009-2011). Bernstein argues that the accumulation of dollar reserves abroad make the US currency too strong. This destroys jobs in the United States and weakens the economy. Retaining […]

Anyone who questions when I began warning that interest rates would go negative, well that day has arrived. Investors are now paying Germany to park their money. At the first auction of six-month German Treasury bills after the recent ECB rate cut, investors had to make do with a negative yield of 0.0934 percent on […]

The entire problem we face going ahead stems from the very idea of Karl Marx that government is capable of managing the economy either through communism or autocratic-socialism where the state dictates to the economy under the pretense of caring for the people, that has truly become a derivative of fascism where the state comes […]

Europe will move to Eurobonds for now Brussels gets it – if the euro fails, they lose their jobs in Brussels. Individual government bond issues have prevented the Euro from becoming a major currency and it now trails even the Chinese Yuan in trade. Nonetheless, some are trying to argue such as the German bank co-chief […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; The fact that you gave us all warning of the turn in the Cycle of War coming in 2014 back at the 1998 conference and at 2011 conference, was truly amazing to watch how this has all worked out. But the stunning realization that you pinpoint Ukraine as the flash point and […]

    Everything is setting up for 2032 and while the Economic Confidence Model is a global model, how individual markets are performing with it is a guide to the future. Gold rallied into 1979 rising from $100 to $400. Then the Phase Transition hit into 1980 taking it from $400 to $875. Interest rates […]

The debate over the pending crash in the stock market seems endless. Whether or not margin debt as reported by the NYSE has relevance any more is an interesting question in a world in which the retail investor has abandoned investing (decline in liquidity). The real marginal buyers are hedge funds and some banks while […]

Mario Draghi, head of European Central Bank (ECB), emerges from Jackson Hole urging what some see as a surprising departure from the economical state imposed by Germany. The flood of money the ECB had not shown, together with the recent austerity measures have not had the desired economic effect. Draghi is now advocating state growth programs and […]

Global central bankers led by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen gathered in Jackson Hole for their annual Marxist Festival. Of course, those in government are just way too dangerous because whatever they see never involves them as a cause of any problem. It is impossible to see how to engage the economy when you eliminate […]