Last week, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bill fell below that of the 3-month note for the first time since 2007. This is what everyone calls an Inverted Yield Curve, and is seen as an early indicator of a recession. In that regard, it is conforming to the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) which has […]

Asia: China Beige Book, the only large-scale independent data provider on the Chinese economy, released a report this Wednesday indicating a first-quarter recovery. After polling 3300 Chinese businesses, the firm found that private borrowing outweighed that of state-owned enterprises. However, the cost of borrowing has risen substantially. Bank loan rates currently average 6.9%, while the […]

Asia: Still more bumps in the road, were the words used by the former treasury secretary Jack Lew regarding the US-China trade deal. Still, if no agreement is reached soon, the US has warned it will up the tariffs from 10% to 20% on the 200 Billion dollars’ worth of trade.  A hit to US […]

While the Democrats and Trump haters were desperately counting on Mueller’s report, anyone with a shred of common sense would have known there would not be any such connection between Trump and Putin to win the election. The entire theory that Putin hacked the Democrats to release emails on Hillary to ensure Trump would win […]

With the significance of everything taking place in Europe, we are extremely pleased to announce that Nigel Farage will address the audience at our World Economic Conference on May 3rd in Rome. With the turmoil between BREXIT and the chaos going on in Brussels behind the curtain, there is nobody better to tell it like […]

Special thanks to Nigel Farage for speaking at the Rome WEC, or in his words, "The alternative to Davos."

  After months of political deadlock, the House of Commons voted by 413-202 last week to ask the EU to delay Britain’s exit. Prime Minister May has simply refused to listen to advice and keeps hoping that Parliament will surrender to her. Normally, after such a defeat, Prime Ministers would resign. But May withstood a […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, it is becoming very obvious that we are headed into a recession here in Europe. I have never felt how ominous things seem as they do right now. Will you be covering Scandinavia at the WEC in Rome? ANSWER: Yes. We will be focusing on the political & economic crisis that is unfolding. […]

Asia: At the conclusion of the annual National People’s Congress meeting, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said that Beijing is prepared to support a slowing economy by cutting reserve requirements and interest rates if needed. Followed by the good news, the Shanghai Composite index increased 31.07 points (+1.04%) to 3,022 this Friday. The rest of the […]

Asia: The much-anticipated trade deal between China and the U.S. may be pushed back once again, according to a new Bloomberg report. Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump were expected to meet in Mar-a-Lago, Florida, later this month to discuss terms. However, reports are that the meeting may not take place until […]