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Market Talk March 2nd, 2016

Asian cash markets followed their positive futures run from US trading session was met with strong openings across the board. The PBOC set the Yuan exchange rate at 6.5490 and even a ratings down-grade of China could not stop a 4.2% higher close. The Nikkei was also up over 4% but we did see weakness from […]

Former UK Prime Minister Says Politics Has Changed

U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair has recognized something that those in office either do not see or refuse to admit. Blair said at the Abu Dhabi conference that Donald Trump’s wins in the U.S. primary elections are disturbing for they illustrate that there is a rising popularity of insurgent political movements around the world. The mismanagement of decades […]

Moody’s Warns of 30% Rise in Commodity Based Company Bankruptcies in 2016

The commodity industry is bracing for a high year of bankruptcy and default filings that will impact mining and metals along with oil and gas. Moody’s has also warned of global speculative-grade corporate defaults that will increase by more than 30% in 2016, reaching the highest level since 2009. Those interested in mining shares should […]

Moody’s Lowers Credit Rating of China to Negative from Stable

Moody’s lowered its outlook on China’s credit rating stable to negative. We have been warning that our models on China indicate that the bottom in the economy does not appear likely until 2020. This should be a 13-year contraction. So far, that forecast appears to be on target.

Australia Joins Crowd Advocating Electronic Money

The Central Bank of Australia, known as the Reserve Ban, has come out bluntly and stated that it is entirely possible that Australia will end physical notes and coins and move to digital currency. The Reserve Bank is joining a growing crowd of governments advocating electronic money to really increase tax collection.

The Unfolding Pension Crisis

Part of the collapse in confidence we are experiencing with government stems directly from the fact that politicians engage in far more criminal behavior than anyone in the corporate world. While bankers may manipulate markets to trade against clients, politicians just lie to keep their jobs. The fact that they are incapable of managing the […]

Super Tuesday Results – Looks Like Trump v Hillary

The results from Super Tuesday. Is it too early to rule out the possibility of a third-party candidate?

Super Tuesday & the Peak in Government 2015.75

On the Republican side, the ENTIRE establishment is against Trump. They do not want him in, regardless of the people’s vote. So while they pretend this is a Democracy, it is all about maintaining the status quo in Washington. The voters in all but Texas and Vermont in exit polls said they were mostly looking […]

Market Talk – March 1st, 2016

There were some big smiles across the faces of many equity traders today as we have seen some of the strongest markets gains in a while. The Nikkei closed +0.4% but could not match the performance of the Shanghai or Hang Seng Indices when they closed up at almost 2% on the day. We saw […]

Dow Update for Month-End Closing of February 2016

We did not elect any bullish reversals. March remains our Directional Change target and the Dow could not close above 16934 for February. Looking ahead, we see the weeks of 03/14 and 03/23 (array posted on the private blog for the Investor level). We have also not elected any Weekly Bullish Reversals. The 17000 level […]