Skip to content

Who Will Raise Rates? The Market or the Fed?

Some people are confused by what I mean when I say that rates will rise as we move into the sovereign debt crisis, which will pick up steam in 2017 moving into 2020. We are NOT talking about central banks raising rates; we are looking at the FREE MARKET. As people realize that government debt […]

Gold Looking into February 11

Gold closed higher today, suggesting that we should probably press higher into Friday. Our opening pivot point was 1207.57, which is still well above the closing and warns that the upside is still in play. A closing beneath that number warns that even a new high on Friday may be followed by a lower closing. Technically, […]

Market Talk — February 10, 2016

The Nikkei was again under pressure with the Index closing down 2.4% with financial leading the pack. Shares in Mitsui, SMFG and Mitsubishi UFJ were all down between 4 and 7% on the day. Investors and the street all voicing concerns about the potential profitability given the BOJ’s vision of negative interest rates and the surge […]

Iran Tries to Kill Petro-Dollars But They Know Not What They Do

Iran has begun to sell oil, but in euros. They think this is some sort of blow to the USA, but in fact, they are taking on the currency risk of the euro. This could be interesting for when the euro resumes its decline they will actually be undercutting everyone else who is pricing in […]

2017: The Year of Alignment?

QUESTION: Dear Marty, 2011 was the intraday high in gold, but 2012 was the highest yearly closing. Add the 5 units of time bear market, that would potentially bring us with a low in 2017. Likewise the Dow’s highest yearly closing was 2014. With a 3 units of time correction we end up with a […]

The Real Implications of Forecasting Are More Profound Than you Think

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I attended the Berlin Conference and I must say, you told us to expect a move between the Benchmarks in gold, and that the first quarter looked to be a countertrend move. You seem to be able to map out the direction of markets all the time. I am still working out […]

Rising Systemic Risk for All Markets

We are on the precipice of what can only be described as a rising systemic risk for all markets. The Fed is now hinting that banks should prepare for NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES. This insanity of following the crowd is undermining the entire world economy. The increasingly unstable footing that we find ourselves standing on is reflected in widening credit […]

Real Estate in Real Terms

QUESTION: Dear Marty, When talking about negative interest rates and a shift of cash from banks to the stock market from 2017, would that not mean that cash may also shift to property and other assets? Yet I thought that we have seen the high in the property market already? Thanks for your useful insights […]

European Banking Crisis

European banks are in a real crisis. They have been decimated by fines and trading after they tried to mimic their New York competition without the same expertise. Then they had to use euro debt of member states as reserves. Next came the rising taxes and the push to enforce taxation which has seriously harmed […]

Opening Pivot Points for Tomorrow

Our opening pivot point tomorrow in gold will be 1217.30. This came down slightly from 1220, but it still reflects where the resistance would stand. In the Dow, it is still lower at 15909.28. In the S&P 500 cash, it lies slightly lower at 1832.39. In the euro, we have a sharply higher number as […]