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The Cycle of Political Change

The Cycle of Political Change Republicans will Sweep Capital Hill in 1994 © Martin A. Armstrong Far too many analysts constantly compare every downturn in the stock market and economy to the Great Depression. The majority of stock market analysts have been looking for a major top and a big crash ever since they missed calling […]

A Crisis in Democracy

A Crisis in Democracy The Price of Intervention © Martin A. Armstrong Arthur William Edgar O’Shaughnessy once wrote in his classic Ode back in the 19th century… “We are the music-makers, And we are the dreamers of dreams, Wandering by lone sea breakers, And sitting by desolate streams; World-losers and world-forsakers, On whom the pale […]

Rise & Fall of the CPI

The Rise & Fall of the Consumer Price Index © Martin A. Armstrong It is often said that beauty lies in the eye of the beholder. Oddly enough, the same can be said of inflation. You will undoubtedly read headlines which state that inflation is under control. You will also read of analysts who continue to […]

Trading the Reverse Pyramid

Trading the Reverse Pyramid © Martin A. Armstrong If you had to reduce the movements of all market and economic activity down into a single solitary influential explanation, the one single word which I would chose to describe such a force would obviously be CONFIDENCE! At first, you might be moved to take exception to this […]

The Reversal System

The Reversal System: A 20-Year Case Study Theory-Design-Implementation © Martin A. Armstrong Perhaps the most important discovery made here at Princeton was the simple fact that market price and economic movement is anything but random. This is a very powerful statement because you will be hard pressed to find many who would agree with us on […]

Judgmental Forecasting and Fundamental Analysis

Judgmental Forecasting and Fundamental Analysis © Martin A. Armstrong Each year I personally meet with more than 1,000 corporations and I lecture before another 5,000 to 6,000 at various business gatherings. With the exception of our long standing clients, better than 90% regard technical models for forecasting as not quite on par with good old fundamental […]

Delphi Technique

The Delphi Technique © Martin A. Armstrong There are many forms of analysis and even more forms of mathematical forecasting equations — all determined to predict the future course of mankind. As discussed in the previous edition, judgmental forecasting still remains the dominant form of analysis employed not only by the financial community, but also throughout […]

Happy Tax Day

Copyright Martin Armstrong All Rights Reserved April 17th, 2012 Happy Tax Day Welcome To America – The Land not of the Free – but of Economic Slaves I have been warning that as we approach 2016, government are so desperate for cash, they will destroy everything we once cherished about Democracy and Freedom. There is […]

The Communist Manifesto

The Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx and Frederik Engels Translated by Samuel Moore A spectre is haunting Europe- the spectre of Communism. All the powers of old Europe have entered into a holy alliance to exorcise this spectre: Pope and Czar, Metternich and Guizot, French Radicals and German police spies. Where is the party in […]

Böhm-Bawerk, Eugen von

Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk 1851-1914 Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk was an Austrian economist and Professor of Economics at Vienna. His most important contribution to economic theory was his analysis of capital and interest in which he argued that people were prepared to pay interest in order to borrow, because they expected to be better off in the future and put […]