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Euro & the Carry Trade

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, the rally in the euro and the failure to see a similar move in gold certainly makes this appear to be just a short cover rally. Correct? ANSWER: Yes. This illustrates just how big the short euro position was on the carry trade. The underlying “fundamentals” did not change, in fact they got […]

Euro Knee Jerk Reaction of Sell the Rumor Buy the News?

Mario Draghi at the European Central Bank (ECB) has moved as expected to try to force the Euroland into an economic recovery by cutting a key interest rate on the overnight deposit rate was cut from -0.2% to -0.3%, to compel banks to lend instead of parking money at the ECB. He also extended his ECB […]

Why the Euro Is A Dead Currency

  I have been warning that government can do whatever it likes and declare anything to be be a criminal act. In the USA, not paying taxes is NOT a crime, failing to file your income tax is the crime. The EU has imposed the first outright total asset reporting requirement for cash, jewelry, and anything […]

Turkey Denies Russian Ships Access via Bosporus

What is becoming clear is that Turkey has most likely NOT acted alone against Russia. They have more likely than not fired the first shot in what may become World War III. Turkey has been buying the oil from ISIS and thus funding them. Yet at the same time, they are part of NATO and […]

Thai Baht Preparing to Collapse?

The Thai government has taken steps toward the elimination of cash moving forward. Thailand is abandoning its ‘safe haven’ image. This is yet another step to drive capital to the dollar. (Note: this chart shows the Baht against the dollar so a rise reflects the rise in the dollar decline in the Baht)

Market Talk December 2nd, 2015

Rumors between dealers that Chinese authorities could be about to introduce new incentives to boost property prices saw the Shanghai Index rally 2.3% in today’s trading. The Hang Seng closed marginally firmer also (+0.5%) but only a smidgeon in comparison. The Nikkei did not benefit from a weekly close above the 20k level and so […]

The Institutional Conference

Yes the Institutional Conference next Spring will be priced at $10,000 per entity and will include a 2 week trial to that level of service.

Politicians & the Denial of Order

COMMENT:   Dear Martin, This conference was an eye-opener for me, in various respects. I am a really hard-nosed evidentialist by education and a well-tought chartist in various theoretical constructs for more than 30 years. But I never came across your sort of thinking and applying these thoughts to the markets. I am truly impressed and […]

The FED v Bias & Prejudice

COMMENT: If the Fed is so smart and understands the problem with low/negative interest rates, then why didn’t it hike rates in September?  Better yet, why didn’t they raise rates YEARS ago?  The Fed has kept rates near zero for seven years but now suddenly realizes that this is a problem? I am surprised that you […]

China's Renminbi Reserve Status

While the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is expected to give the renminbi (yuan) a political victory by including the Chinese currency in the list of reserve currencies, few in the West even understand what this means. Including the renminbi in the SDR economically means nothing for it will not dethrone the dollar any more than […]