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December 7, 2017
A refreshing bounce for both the Hang Seng and the Nikkei were most welcome despite the continued low volume. Admittedly, the HSI only saw a small improvement but the Japanese index recovered 1.5%. Financials helped todays bounce with technology managing to hold yesterdays declines. There is still an air of optimism coming from global events […]
December 6, 2017
We saw another weak day for Asia with two key exchanges losing over 2%. The Japanese Nikkei and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng both lost ground as technology, financials and energy companies continue to give back the years gains. Confidence was already waning but was not helped after Australian growth missed expectation which […]
December 4, 2017
Asian markets were unsure how to respond to the weekend news of the US tax move. Whilst it was assumed the move was positive news for US futures markets, it is not necessarily good news for its competitors. The realisation that cash is now being beckoned by US markets, others realise they will be […]
December 2, 2017
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You mentioned that your chart on wheat was back to 1259 excluding ancient data. Is it really possible to collect data on commodity prices in ancient times? Thank you GD ANSWER: Oh yes. We have commodity prices extending back even into Sumerian times. All sorts of legal contracts and invoices for trade were […]
December 1, 2017
Although Asian indices opened well on the back of a strong US session, they unfortunately could not hold the levels. Part of the reasoning was the tax Bill would be delayed and having seen the DOW blast through the psychological 24k level many were concerned this delay could threaten Thursday gains. The Nikkei was up […]
November 30, 2017
The tech sector took the label of responsibility overnight in Asia for the reason given for most declines. The Hang Seng suffered the most falling near 1.5% following Wednesday price action in the NASDAQ. Even Shanghai lost 0.6% which was a surprise given the promising PMI print (51.8% against a consensus of 51.4%). Energy and […]
November 29, 2017
Asia performed well overnight following on from a strong US session. The Nikkei opened strong and remained well bid into the close. The Yen fell towards the high 111’s a loss of around +0.3% on the day. The North Korean missile test with it apparently falling into Japanese waters, was quickly ignored even given the […]
November 28, 2017
Asia responded to an uncertain US session with its own uncertainty! The Nikkei was almost unchanged despite the move back into the Yen. The currency traded back toward the 111 level but stopped shy by only a few Sen. The Hang Seng alos closed almost unchanged but we saw a small positive move back for […]
November 28, 2017
The Great San Francisco Earthquake struck on April 18th, 1906 (1906.295). Based upon our model that monitors also earthquakes due to their impact on the economy (1906 quake led to the Panic of 1907 and the formation to create the Federal Reserve in 1913). The risk for a major earthquake turns up in 2018. Why? […]
November 27, 2017
It was the strength of the Yen that took top discussion point today in Asia, or alternatively, the US Dollars weakness. Having shown early gains, the Nikkei tended to drift and was probably influenced by a much weaker China market. The Shanghai index finished near 1% lower as concerns start to grow following the sell-off […]