ASIA: China’s foreign exchange regulator issued guidelines on foreign exchange trading on Friday, targeting market manipulation, fraud, and abuses. The guidelines would help regulate foreign exchange market trading and promote “honest, fair, orderly, and efficient” market operations, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange said. According to the guidelines, market participants would be barred from manipulating […]

ASIA: China’s property downturn is expected to continue into the first half of 2022, with home prices and sales falling as tight credit policies and a looming property tax dampen demand, a Reuters poll showed. Home prices are expected to drop 1.0% in H1 2022 and Property investment in H1 2022 is expected to slump […]

ASIA: Japan’s economy contracted much faster than expected in the third quarter as global supply disruptions and fresh COVID-19 cases hit business and consumer spending, raising challenges for the new government’s growth plans. The economy shrank an annualized 3.0% in July-September after a revised 1.5% gain in the first quarter, preliminary gross domestic product (GDP) […]

ASIA: China’s factory activity unexpectedly picked up in November, growing for the first time in three months as the crippling surge in raw material prices and power rationing eased, taking some pressure off the manufacturing sector. The official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 50.1 in November from 49.2 in October, data from the […]

ASIA: Japan’s retail sales rose for the first time in three months in October, though less than expected, and the underlying private consumption trend pointed to persistent strains on a fragile economic recovery despite an easing of COVID-19 curbs. Retail sales rose 0.9% in October from a year earlier, government data showed on Monday, versus […]

QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong, Thanks for all you do and all your hard work! I have a question I was hoping you would comment on. I have been trying to wrap my head around the hows (not the whys) of the absurd consequences of this plandemic.  What it reminds me of is the fight between the Federalists […]

With all the hype about inflation and those who keep pressing for hyperinflation, it is sad to say that they neither understand history nor even what is hyperinflation. While people point to Germany or Zimbabwe as examples and harp on the central banks creating money, they then conclude the other dollar will turn to dust and the only survivor will be gold. In truth, never has the core economy has gone into hyperinflation and all peripheral economies survive. For the dollar to turn to dust, the entire rest of the world must go first. The US has the largest single debt, but it also has the largest economy. Even COVID has shown the difference whereas the head of state can just close down the entire country but in the United States, the president does not have that same power. The political difference is huge and the superficial analysis of inflation is really a joke. Most of these theories date back to the time when money was simply a coin. If one nation debased and others did not, the exchange rates were based solely on the metal content. Those days are long gone and the backing of a currency today is based entirely on its economic power which is its people. You can have all the resources in the world, but if corruption is so great as in Russia, then that has no bearing on its currency. Both Japan and Germany rose from the ashes of WWII without any gold reserves but they had their people who were highly productive. Updating the reality of hyperinflation and what we truly face is long overdue.

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ASIA: In its latest report, Moody’s Investors Service has projected that the economic growth in India will rebound strongly. It has pegged GDP growth for the nation at 9.3% and 7.9% in FY22 and FY23, respectively. The Reserve Bank of India has ensured that interest rates in India have remained at record lows and has also […]

ASIA: Shares of China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Ltd rose 11.1% to HK$3.92 on Monday, after the company said it planned to raise around $347 million in a share placement. Embattled property developer China Evergrande’s electric vehicle (EV) unit said it would issue about 900 million shares, or 8.3% of the enlarged capital, at […]

  ASIA: Liu Shijin, an adviser to the People’s Bank of China and member of the monetary policy committee said China’s economy could enter a period of relatively slow growth and excessively high producer-price inflation. Speaking online at the China Macroeconomy Forum over the weekend Liu said the “quasi-stagflation” is “very likely” if demand remains weak, PPI stays high, […]