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Socrates & the IPO – a Lot of E-mails Are Coming In

A lot of e-mails are coming in from people who are asking to join in for the IPO of Socrates. A few companies have now offered to buy in and pay for an accelerated mainframe and staff. We greatly appreciate the support. We will try to launch next year. I do believe that is the […]

Krugman: Debt is Good & No Bubble in Bonds

Back in May of 2013, Paul Krugman said there was no bubble in bonds. Now he is back saying that debt is good and there is not enough of it. So just what is going on in his head? Of course, the hyperinflationists will point to all sorts of things and predict the end of society is near because of debt. We obviously […]

The Markets From Asia & the Prospects for the Dow

Asian shares are still struggling on Wednesday as it begins to dawn on investors that the Chinese economy really is slowing. The implication for that is more deflation in commodities as they have accounted for nearly 50% of the purchases of commodities these past few years. As with respect to world total GDP, China has […]

Dow on the Close

The closing of the Dow at 15666.44 was below support at 15824.73. Additional support lies at 15176.26 and a closing beneath that level will warn of a break down to the 14334 area. We do have four Monthly Bearish Reversals under 15000 with a gap thereafter down to the 13650 area, and the long-term support […]

There is More At Stake Than Just China

Dennis Lockhart, President of Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, stuck to his guns late Monday by stating that he still expects the Fed to raise short-term interest rates in the next few months. I have been warning that without higher rates, the Fed is facing a pension crisis because rates have been kept way too low […]

Thank You – The Future

COMMENT:  I carefully read through all your missives you had sent over the weekend, highlighting the importance of Monday for the Dow, and the levels given. You even said “Pay attention now Monday could be the intraday low. The open will be crucial”. And the low so far indeed did occur in the opening few […]

Western Share Markets Rebound – Decoupling from China

The Asian contagion that began in Shanghai has now decoupled, leaving Monday the 24th as the low in Europe; it is expected to be the same in the States. A three-day bounce is now possible into Thursday, but there will be another retest of the lows just to make sure traders do not think it […]

China Cuts Interest Rate & Lowers Reserve Requirements

I keep telling people that the central bank of China is far more professional than any other central bank. When I was invited there during the Asian Crisis, I was stunned to be invited over some academic. When I got there, I found that everyone had experience. They had worked on dealing desks around the world and […]

The Markets Opening August 25, 2015

The world share markets remain volatile yet should begin to stabilize now showing tentative signs that the panic of Monday is starting to subside. The reported epicenter of Shanghai for the rout, however, has suffered another big sell-off. The mayhem in China’s equity markets showed no signs of abating on Tuesday, as the Shanghai Composite index […]

Dow Update

In the Dow, we can see that Energy bottomed out so we have a counter-trend at work right now. We do have a pair of Daily Bearish Reversals at 14769. We continue to see the prospects that today will perhaps remain as the lowest closing. Nonetheless, a new intraday low is possible given that we […]