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China Cuts Interest Rate & Lowers Reserve Requirements

I keep telling people that the central bank of China is far more professional than any other central bank. When I was invited there during the Asian Crisis, I was stunned to be invited over some academic. When I got there, I found that everyone had experience. They had worked on dealing desks around the world and […]

The Markets Opening August 25, 2015

The world share markets remain volatile yet should begin to stabilize now showing tentative signs that the panic of Monday is starting to subside. The reported epicenter of Shanghai for the rout, however, has suffered another big sell-off. The mayhem in China’s equity markets showed no signs of abating on Tuesday, as the Shanghai Composite index […]

Dow Update

In the Dow, we can see that Energy bottomed out so we have a counter-trend at work right now. We do have a pair of Daily Bearish Reversals at 14769. We continue to see the prospects that today will perhaps remain as the lowest closing. Nonetheless, a new intraday low is possible given that we […]

Shanghai Share Market Outlook

Despite the fact that the rally in Shanghai was by no means a real bull market, regardless of the percentage move back up, keep in mind that what goes up big also goes down in a hurry. This market can make new lows in today’s session, taking a hint from the USA and Europe. Our […]

Dow in Euros

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; In Munich, you said the US share market had peaked in euros and the low looked to be in August. Is that view still on track? WG ANSWER: Yes. When you plot the Dow in euros, the high was March, not May, as it was in dollars. This suggested that August would […]

Forecasting Against the Wind

  The leading story for the sell-off has been Wall Street’s shock by the mounting worries over instability in China and emerging markets. The tumultuous decline has sent investors clamoring to race into safe-haven assets amid the confusion. Why anyone missed this is really befuddling since China’s share market peaked in 2007 and the rally […]

Market Talk – August 24, 2015

“Wild” is an understatement to describe today’s equity market moves. Some say the Chinese are at fault for their unexpected move in currency, but whatever the reason for the increased volatility, you can be sure they will increase margin requirements, which will add to the volatility and further the decline in liquidity. All Asian equity […]

Understanding How the Market Trades

We will update later on tonight after 9pm. But today’s close was WEAK, which was very good because many people were hoping for a strong bounce and the weakness undermines the confidence to hold. This is very similar to 1987. The day after the panic, the market still made a new low intraday but then […]

Dow Daily Bearish Reversal 15300.30

  The 16258.10 is a BULLISH REVERSAL, not  BEARISH. The underlying Daily Bearish are 15340.00 and 15300.30, followed by 15095.00. Technical closing support lies at 16041.78. A closing back above this technical support will help stabilize the market. The broader support lies at 14769 to 14587. A closing below 15961.79 today would warn that we could […]

S&P 500 Typo

It’s 190600, not 1980600. Hey, I never took typing is high school.