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Pound v Euro – Should Britain Just Leave? Is the Euro a Doomed Currency?

The European Union will hit Britain with punitive fines of £90 million next year if David Cameron refuses to pay a £1.7 billion bill from Brussels. If Cameron has any guts, he will lead Britain out of the EU before it is too late – that’s what Maggie Thatcher would do. Maggie warned that the danger of […]

The ECM and a 1,000 different flavors

  QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, based on your work on capital flows I assume there excist different ECM’s for different regions. How detailed do you calculate this models, have you got one for every continent, region or even country? I have never seen the ECM for Europe on your blog but I assume its already […]

Dow – Actual v Theorectical

QUESTION: Marty, Could you please Clarify? On Oct 31, based on stock charts, the DOW closed at 17390.52, ABOVE the September high of 17297 and intraday high of 17350. But you said Sept high was 17042.90? On Nov 1 you said we did not exceed the September high and did not close above it. BUT […]

Republican Sweeping Victory Taking Senate – A Prelude to 2016?

Republicans rode a growing wave of voter discontent during the midterm election winning the control of the Senate literally punishing the Democrats for even electing what is glowingly becoming apparent that Obama is a repeat of Bush Jr, just worse. This will now clip the wings of the Democrats and the social agenda of Obama […]

The Fall of Rome was Preceded by the Collapse in the Rule of Law – Pattern Recognition

I have gotten a lot of emails about my comment on how intelligence is really created by the ability to comprehend pattern recognition. If you want to understand something, you have to reduce it to its seed. How do we even have the idea of future without grasping the existence of a present and past? […]

Draghi – Negative Interest Rates pass-on by German Banks

Those in government maintain a completely delusional view of the world which is the central part of the crisis that we face. Everyone else pays the price for it and this is no longer just brilliantly entertaining. This modern-day monetary delusion persists both inside central banks as well as within the halls of the elected representative […]

Political Forecasts 2014 Senate Race

Because we are providing that forecast to paid clients we cannot provide that info at this time. What we can show is that the projections indicated the Republicans should not lose any seats for the minimum projection was 45 seats. The first target resistance stood at 54 seats.

Judges are Free to Take Your Liberty For Anything – Didn’t Cut your Lawn – Jail Time!

It is just amazing how there is no respect for human rights and the sanctity of LIBERTY in the United States any more. There just has to be a serious overhaul of the rule of law in the USA for there are more people in prison in the USA than Europe, China, and Russia COMBINED. […]

Crude Oil – Gasoline falls BELOW $3

  Crude oil has fallen to the $80 area and a monthly closing below $78 will signal a sharp drop into the $60 zone is likely. The long-term support actually begins at $57 and the major support which held previously is still there at the $32-31 zone. While we have the intraday high in 2008, […]

Gold – Still on Track

No. I have not forgotten about gold. Yes we are making new lows in Nearest Futures. Gee – it is declining with oil that the same crowd swore the numbers on oil production were manipulated to make people think there was a glut. Then they said prices were declining for the elections. Excuses piled upon […]