Armstrong Economics Forecasting the World Hello Everyone! Thank you for your interest in Armstrong Economics. We have many interesting projects in the works… Subscription Service We have had many inquires about Martin’s forecasting services. He is currently working on being able to provide these to a broader audience; this is what we will be calling our […]

Glossary Abscissa – the horizontal base line of a chart, x-axis. Ad Valorem Tax – A tax levied as a fixed percentage of the value of a particular item. Aggregate Demand – Total planned or desired spending in the economy as a whole in a given period. It is determined by the aggregate price level […]

8.6-Year Review As a brief introduction to the 8.6-year frequency within the Princeton Economic-Confidence Model, let us follow its course beginning with the last major panic that took place in October 1929 from the US perspective. Factoring in the month of October as .75 to represent a decimal portion of the calendar year, the calculations […]

CRUDE OIL Weekly Timing Arrays for Nymex Futures (see below) suggest that the week of August 5th as a target for Directional Change and High Volatility, and the week of September 23rd for Panic. The potential for significant turning points during the weeks of August 5th and September 23rd (signalled by the vertical lines on […]

Introduction This trading manual is NOT another technical analysis guide on how to use RSI, Stochastic, MACD or any other technical indicator you may have read about in the past. This is NOT another text on how to measure momentum, money flow analysis, or construct an advance/decline line. Moreover, we do not teach pattern recognition […]

Global Model Since the dawn of time, man has tried desperately to predict the future. Man has gazed upon the stars, summoned soothsayers and astrologers and sought guidance in the patterns of tea leaves and chicken entrails. He has studied the movements of planets, comets, and even the flight of an owl. However, no matter […]

Forecasting markets has always been a nightmare to say the least. Just when you think that you have everything figured out, the trend suddenly emerges in the opposite direction. The science of forecasting itself has encountered a rather shabby reputation largely due to the number of people in the field who think they have everything […]

The Debt Crisis The Ultimate Defining Issue of American Politics There has been a lot of talk about bringing the deficit down. Clinton argued that issue in support of his massive $245 billion tax increase. While it is true that the deficit declined over the last two years, it is NOT true that this was […]

Solutions For The Debt Crisis © Martin A. Armstrong The general perception of interest rates and debt within the financial community is about as far from reality and common sense as one might be in this day and age. With government deficits still a major problem and no solutions from the political arena in sight, one […]

A Continued Era of Deflation or A Premature Expectation of Inflation? © Martin A. Armstrong Economists and analysts argue that double-digit inflation is something of the past – a freak of nature that took place during the Carter years of the mid-70s. On April 19th, 1993, Alan Greenspan (Chairman of the Federal Reserve) made a statement […]