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Thank You for the Pictures

  Thank you for sending copies of all the photos people took after “The Forecaster” premiere. They are greatly appreciated. I always like to retain the photos of the people I pose with.

Market Talk – August 4, 2015

None of the core Asian Equity Indices managed to trade in positive territory today: Nikkei (down 0.19%), Shanghai (-1.12%), and HSI (-0.92%). We saw weakness again in Asian currencies, and this mood worked its way in Europe as well. The first trading day in the Greek stock market after its official closure saw a 17% […]

Gold & the Commodity DEFLATIONARY Wave

Gold remains extremely weak. We need a daily closing above 1108 to say the low is temporarily in place and a bounce back up is possible. The 1080 level is critical support on a daily closing basis, and it remains possible that gold can break to the downside moving into September if the July low […]

The ECM Date October 1 = Fiscal Year-End

Congress kicked the can down the road to precisely the ECM target date. This is when the government will go into shutdown mode. There is a greater than 50/50 chance that there will be no deal to extend the debt ceiling, which never ends. This merely reflects that there is no control over fiscal spending, […]

NSA: A Tax & Economics Espionage Agency

Anyone who thinks this is about terrorism is pathetically naive. The NSA is a top-notch Tax & Economic Espionage (TEE) organization; with terrorism so low on the agenda, it is laughable. You do not collect every phone call worldwide of billions of people to sort out even 100 terrorists. They store all that data and can input your name and […]

Oil & BIG BANG – the Government Funding Crisis on a Global Scale

Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.564 million barrels per day in June, showing that as prices decline, a record level of production is unfolding. Governments in the Middle East have budgets that are now in serious trouble. As oil prices decline, output is increasing beyond OPEC quotas because they need money to make up for lost revenue […]

Merkel to Run Again in 2017

Reuters is reporting that Merkel has decided to run for election once again in 2017. The longstanding joke in Germany is that either she will have to die while in office, or someone will have to drag her out. She would not know what to do if she was not in control of Germany, and thus […]

“The Forecaster” U.S. Debut on August 1, 2015 in Cherry Hill, NJ

I want to thank everyone who came to “The Forecaster” screening at the AMC Theater in Cherry Hill, NJ. It was also a special night for my family to be able to attend. I was shocked that people flew in from Texas, Ohio, Boston, and even from the South. We are all in this together. […]

The View on Gold and Silver

QUESTION: Thanks for the latest posts.I have 3 queries if you care to consider them. Some years ago you used to say $5000 and $12000 when contemplating gold’s upside.Now the latter seems out of reach.Can you indicate what caused you to change your mind? Secondly, regarding a possible Republican Presidential victory, does this correlate with a […]

Gold – What Now?

Gold elected the Monthly Bearish at 1155 and we did so well below that level, holding the 1084 number both weekly and monthly. Our energy models are turning positive, so it does not appear that we will have major follow-through at this time. When you elect a Bearish Reversal that far from the number, you […]