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$40 Million Lawsuit Filed in Ferguson

Missouri police have been sued for $40 million over actions in Ferguson protests by several people alleging civil rights violations through arrests and police assaults with rubber bullets and tear gas adopting “militaristic displays of force and weaponry,” and engaged U.S. citizens “as if they were war combatants.” It will be interesting to say the least for […]

Ferguson – Missing the Point

A few people have sent emails justifying the killing of Brown saying they will prove he was dangerous and on drugs. It really is irrelevant. Aside from the fact there is the little Commandment that says thou shalt not kill with no exception if you have a badge, the only justifiable reason to kill someone […]

Cycle Inversion & Staging Ground for 2032

    Everything is setting up for 2032 and while the Economic Confidence Model is a global model, how individual markets are performing with it is a guide to the future. Gold rallied into 1979 rising from $100 to $400. Then the Phase Transition hit into 1980 taking it from $400 to $875. Interest rates […]

Donetsk & the Prisoner Parade

The political manipulations in Ukraine are fascinating and cruel. We have seen a very shameful display of politics in Donetsk with the “parade” of prisoners which was intended to make Ukraine so angry they would want Donetsk to leave for no Ukrainian would want to live with such hatred. The aim is to stir up hatred towards […]

Phase Transition – Cycle Inversion

QUESTION: Marty, you have said that the turning points are just that, turning points. So if we get a high or double top the first week of September, will the market still rally thereafter? Are we looking at a cycle inversion here, where the ECM begins to rise while the market declines sharply? If not, then […]

Margin Debt & Trends

The debate over the pending crash in the stock market seems endless. Whether or not margin debt as reported by the NYSE has relevance any more is an interesting question in a world in which the retail investor has abandoned investing (decline in liquidity). The real marginal buyers are hedge funds and some banks while […]

Ukraine Dividing in Two?

Behind the curtain there is a growing opinion that Ukraine should just be split in two and hand the East to Russia and call it a day. This is starting to come down the pipeline and we may see this develop into open debate soon. Not everyone in the East speaks Russian. Donetsk is by far […]

French New Government – Same Direction – Death of Europe?

François Hollande’s new government only stifled voices of dissent from the left wing of his Socialist Party. These marginal changes simply mean that France is headed down the dark path to meet its destiny and as the second largest economy after Germany, France will take Europe as a whole with it. Hollande’s already unbelievable weak political standing […]

Economic Confidence Model Rules?

  The vast majority of those who attempt to use cyclical analysis to forecast create flat models and as such they cannot always see the forest staring at a single tree. There are countless trends and counter-trends all moving at the same time making cyclical analysis often bewildering. A cycle will appear to work for […]

Children Are Taxed on Medals Given Their Father in War

The Telegraph has reported how the British government desperate for money, is taxing even medals given to soldiers for their bravery in war. The story in the Telegraph reports – “I was told to pay death duty on Dad’s medals”. There is nothing sensitive about these people in government. When I say we are in […]