QUESTION: Greetings Mr Armstrong and thank you for your excellent blog! I have recently started reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s The Misbehaviour of Markets in which he states that stock prices probably isn’t predictable in any useful sense of the term (p. 6). I recall that you have stated that stock prices can be predicted but not […]

I have warned that 2017 will be the political year from hell. What I am illustrating here is the link between a sovereign debt crisis and the Revolutionary Cycle. In 1933, Roosevelt came to power in the USA and turned the country toward socialism. That same year, 1933, brought Hitler and Mao to power. So 1934 […]

QUESTION:  Hi Martin…can you explain more what you meant but what you said below? Does this mean a long correction that will last thru out this year or longer? or will it just be thru march ..then bottom and head back up thru 2017..? Confused here…what is the …extension mean exactly? Is that an uptrend […]

The closing for the euro at 10869 provided the long-term Yearly Bearish Reversal that we have cited throughout the year: “We have Yearly Bearish Reversals at 11645 and 10365. So the 116 level will remain as reactionary resistance this year and the 10365 level is key support just below the current low of 10460.” The […]

We had THREE Yearly Bearish Reversals in crude: the first was $41, the next $35 and $32, but then there was also $25. We achieved the first one but not $35. This warns of lower lows here in 2016, but it does not imply $12. Typically, when you trade BELOW a Yearly Bearish like $35 and […]

QUESTION: Marty, Thank you for the WEC. The more I reflect on my notes the more I begin to understand you really opened my eyes to see the world much differently. So you said we would go down first and then flip. You also warned that it was not yet conclusive between the Sling Shot […]

The goldbugs spun the tail that China was going to save them by making gold $50,000-$100,000 an ounce because money, in their minds, has to be tangible. However, China’s $3 trillion-plus in foreign currency reserves was the biggest stockpile in the world, They had no such intention of swapping it all for gold. As a […]

Back on November 13, 2015, we reported: “The Dow is pulling back on schedule. We do not see a breakout to the upside. This should tread water for a bit, waiting for everything to align. A closing today below 17785 will signal that this is not ready to breakout and a retest of support is […]

Why has China become so important? Largely because global investors are in this transition mode and do not understand how or why the foundation of everything is changing beneath them. The market turmoil in China spread around the world on Thursday as global investors took their lead from China as a contagion unfolded with no real understanding. […]

COMMENT: Hi Martin, regarding your recent blog post about dengue fever, a similar pattern is apparently seen also in the African trypanosomiasis or “sleeping sickness”. Looking to Wikipedia’s sources, several newer studies were published in recent years, some of them alarming of new outbreaks while another period of publications seems to be more than 50 […]