QUESTION: Dear Martin: Thanks for all the work, one thing I admire is that you are providing insight in to how the world works by making us think. Honestly, when I read your blog post “Wine industry confirms same trend in Energy” I thought this guy is nuts… then I went back and read your […]

  China’s economy has surpassed the United States and is the new number one in the world. We forecast for more than a decade that China would become the new Financial Capital of the World by 2032. That entails more than just its GDP and purchasing power. To accomplish that goal requires a safe place […]

In the United States, there was approximately $1.29 trillion in circulation as of October 1, 2014, of which $1.25 trillion was in Federal Reserve notes. Interesting enough, this was nearly matched now by the Euro. According to the European Central Bank , which publishes its balance sheet every week, circulating euro banknotes has just crossed the […]

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QUESTION: 2014 should not have happened, but it did. There’s no way to sugarcoat it: the gold bugs were wrong, Austrian economics was wrong, and the Keynesians were right. And now the sound money community is left trying to figure out what it missed and, crucially, whether the problem was merely one of timing or of […]

  The A$ also shows a decline against the greenback, although not as pronounced as that of the Euro. The key turning points here will be 2016 and 2018, where we should see aggressive volatility. The key resistance will stand at the 14260 level. Resistance forms initially at the 13525 level and support will be […]

  A closing today for the C$ above the 10660 level will keep this currency weak against the US$. Resistance stands at the 11860 followed by 12102 with support at 11570 level. The Yearly Bullish Reversal stands up at 12426. Everything appears to be on track for a serious US dollar rally no matter what […]

The dollar has been rising against the Swiss thanks to its peg to the Euro. Of course the Swiss would love to have a lower currency for that will help their exports. The Swiss is currently trading at 9934 and a merely year-end closing above 9785 will signal that indeed the 2011 low for the […]

  A 2014 year-end closing for Wheat between 6770 and 5770 will keep the market poised in a neutral position. We require a monthly closing beneath 4470 to signal a real break to the downside. It still appears that we will have food problems in the years ahead forming after 2015.75. Wheat did fall in […]

The year 2014 has been a year which has made all our long-term forecasts amazingly on target. The War Cycle pinpointed the sudden and dramatic rise is both civil unrest and the return of the cold war that has been turning red hot. More soldiers died in 2014 than before and the number of civilian […]