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The Fool’s Game

COMMENT: Marty, I believe I understand what you are saying about belief. There is no right or wrong, it is just the market. I can see you are correct. Markets move on anticipation as the euro is collapsing ahead of the anticipated Greek elections. Trying to argue with the markets being wrong is a fool’s […]

Treading Water

We see the potential here for a 5 months CONSOLIDATION (treading water) – not a 5 months collapse. That means no sustainable breakout just yet – just base building. The key support begins at the 16300 on the Dow. We need to see the capital concentrate in bonds to create a major bond bubble like […]

Bear Market or Treading Water? Getting All the Ducks in a Row

  A number of questions have come in since year-end asking what would happen since the Dow did not reach the 18500 level. We also warned that the support was really down at the 16978 level and we need a daily closing beneath this level to signal a sustainable decline for now. The main bank […]

Can The Dow Correct for up to 5 Months?

  A weekly closing in the Dow Jones Industrials below 17722 will confirm that the January correction where we have had that Panic Cycle due in the middle of the month is in play. This will open the door to a retest of the 16300 area. Keep in mind that we did NOT achieve the […]

The Bond Bubble – Confirmed

The BUBBLE for 2015,75 should be the bond market – not stocks. The capital flows should move into the typical flight to quality mode and drive rates even lower. This will set the stage for BIG BANG. To accomplish that, we should see the stock markets tread water, but not necessarily drive off the cliff. […]

Cybersecurity – Is Anything Safe?

The NSA has been able to break encryption even to internal VPN networks. There is nothing safe any more. The irony is that “terrorism” is the excuse to break-in to anything, but real terrorists use pigeon-post. They do not use Facebook and they stay as far away from Google and Microsoft as possible. The NSA’s […]

Goodbye Inflation – Hello Deflation

I have been warning that the analysis portraying we were headed into hyperinflation was really nonsense. That entire idea was constructed only on the hyperinflation of Germany with old-school ideas of money. Much of those theories were antiquated in 1971 when we moved to the floating exchange rate system, yet the overwhelming majority failed to […]

Commodity Contagion

Equity markets around the globe have tumbled on Monday, led by commodity-linked shares as oil prices fell to 5-1/2-year lows and investors fled to the safety of government bonds. The so-called “smart money” is running into bonds and this is what we need to complete the bubble in bonds that will burst for BIG BANG. […]

Anyone Who Think NSA is OK Because They Have Nothing To Hide – Well You are Just Nuts

As always, you have to pay very close attention on holidays. Why? Because this is when the do the dirty dealings because the know the press is too busy partying and the public attention span drops from 60 seconds to -5. They stuffed the repeal of Dodd-Frank reform in the last bill of the year […]

Socrates Progress Report

  We have made a lot of progress porting over the programs to function via the Internet. The voice will be operating and we are putting the finishing touches on the trading systems. You will be able to see the hypothetical system trading record  on anything with the current position and its objectives with its […]