DAY ONE We will be covering the global trends that will drive the capital flows. We will be looking ahead beyond 2015.75 and into the next two waves culminating in 2032.95. We will cover capital flows, the shifting tide in investment, and how to strategically position yourself for the turmoil ahead. We will be looking […]

The Vermont Republic was, in fact, a separate government that existed from 1777 to 1791. We are now starting to hear rumblings of a separatist movement beginning in Vermont that is right on schedule, according to the 224-Year Cycle of Political Change. Vermont did issue its own coinage and was not one of the 13 colonies. There was […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I read this time its different by Rogoff. While it is interesting about sovereign defaults, he clearly does not go back into ancient times or more than a few hundred years. If anyone would know when the first such default took place it must be you. Any idea? ANSWER: Yes. The first such […]

Throughout history, there has NEVER been a market manipulated TO ALTER its long-term trend – PERIOD. If this were remotely true, then communism would not have collapsed since that was the attempt to eliminate the business cycle. The Swiss peg would not have collapsed, nor would Bretton Woods have collapsed, or anything else in history […]

COMMENT: Hi Marty, I’m another Englishman who is an avid reader of your blog and am very much looking forward to your ECM conference material later this year. As a European pouring thorough the continental news we are definitely seeing a reinforcing cycle of breakdown in government over the past few weeks and months. It […]

What is fascinating is that the Russian bombing in Syria began precisely on the day of the ECM. The Iraqi government authorized Russia to target Daesh convoys coming from Syria. The authorization for Russia to target Daesh inside Iraq comes amid security coordination between Iraq, Russia, Iran, and Syria. Because of the exact day of these […]

QUESTION: Hello Mr Armstrong, I see that you’re about to launch Socrates, which seems to be a lifetime achievement. Congratulations. I have a question : it seems that, for now, it will deal with economic trends and cycles. Do you plan to extend Socrates to geopolitical and domestic social and political affairs ? Even on […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, it seems many people are starting to pretend they have artificial intelligence systems and neural nets. It seems that they are using these terms very loosely. Can you explain the real difference? Everyone I have spoken to says you are the father of AI in finance. Thank you for all you contribute […]

The IMF has come out and warned that Saudi Arabia may go bankrupt within the next five years if the government maintains its current spending habits. Some emails are asking if the IMF is now copying our projections for they have the same timing. Who knows. I would assume the economic numbers are the numbers, but they […]

Freeman Dyson, one of the top theoretical physicists who was a contemporary of Einstein at Princeton, has come out to blast the global warming crowd, stating bluntly that this is simply what he describes as an “agenda-driven” perspective on global warming. ANYONE who has any integrity whatsoever knows that the laws of thermal dynamics dictate that there MUST be a cycle. […]