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Real Estate – Collapse or Liquidity Crisis 2015.75-2020.05

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for all the information you provide on your blog. Looking at a chart you posted on the real estate cycle shows the peak in 2007 then a drop and a bit of a rebound into 2015, followed by a huge drop afterwards.  Am I correct in believing we will see real […]

Land of Confusion – Negative Rates May Cause the Phase Transition in Equites

QUESTION:  Marty, Are not negative rates THE trigger for leveraged investments in stocks etc. ?! I mean, if to start with they just go 300 – 400 bp negative (for the savers) this means real zero or already also negative rates for debtors. So, perfect for a leveraged boom into any markets, but of course most […]

Gold can still be Fiat

COMMENT: You just wrote in your definition of Hyperinflation “They debased coinage routinely, which is why Jean Baptiste Say (1767-1832)  argued money has never been “tangible” or a store of value. So simply making money out of gold or silver does NOT prevent the very evils the gold promoters attribute to fiat.” Thank you so […]

Why is Timing Consistent Throughout the Ages?

QUESTION:  Dear Mr Armstrong, Thank you for kindly answering my question on data. No doubt you are aware of Ray Kurzweil and the Singularity Theory. The deflationary impact of technological change, nanotechnology, quantum computers, etc etc seems to be accelerating exponentially. This must be causing a crushing impact on historical cycles. Can your model realistically […]

Gold Stashed in Airplane Toilets

The Globe and Mail Published Wednesday, Nov. 20 2013, 7:16 AM EST It’s funny to think of someone leaving 24 gold bars in the toilet of a plane. But that $1.2-million (U.S.) in bullion highlights one of India’s big economic irritants.   According to reports today, the bars were found in the lavatories of a […]

Private People are Better Care-Takers than Academics or Government.

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong- First, thank you for all the research you provide the investment community. I have been duly cautious thanks to your web site — note  I first learned of you through …  web site & and article in The New Yorker. If there has been any lesson to date over the past […]

Global Market Watch Nov 21

The Global Market Watch has been posted for the close of November 21, 2013. https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/market-watch/

Gold The Market Update

In gold we have a Daily Bearish Reversal at 1250 followed by 1206, and 1179. But the next big area after 1206 will be 1088. The 1206 number is also a Weekly Bearish Reversal. At this point, gold has to close ABOVE 12816 on Friday just to stabilize. A weekly closing BELOW 12613 will warn […]

War on Gold

  The Battle Between the Gold and Silver Standards of the 19th Century QUESTION:  Mr. Armstrong, You recently said in your Bitcoin article quoted below:  “This is why they have been waging war on gold”, can you please explain who they are and how one would wage war on gold? ANSWER: The war is not […]

Negative Interest Rates – Coming Soon to a Bank Near You

The ECB (European Central Bank) has announced it is now considering moving interest rates to negative. So those who wanted to know did Larry Summers’ speech have any impact – the answer was yes. This has been floated around behind the curtain. I have been asked about this increasingly over the last 6 months all […]