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GMW v Market Forecasting & ECM

 There are three complete different core models that we are employing that are absolutely totally unique and the interesting thing is when they CONVERGE – not that they have anything in common otherwise. The Economic Confidence Model is a business cycle and that has been tested back to at least 600BC. It shows the rise […]

Why Does Deflation Cause the Currency to Rise?

It has often been a paradox that the worse an economy turns down, the higher the currency rises. Cheer up – it is a bell curve. If the currency goes TOO FAR and the economy has no hope of survival, then it reverses and collapses into dust through the process of a Phase Transition. This […]

Brokers v Market Makers

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You previously mentioned you cannot trust the big firms in New York. Does this apply to their branch offices outside NYC? Thank you; JT ANSWER: That comment referred to MARKET MAKING where they keep track of who buys what. That is totally different from having a broker at a major firm where […]

Socialism at its Best – How to Destroy the Wealth of a Nation

COMMENT:  Marty, You know there is tax competition amongst states and cities in Switzerland which lead to great results once in terms of efficiency and therefore attracting people to take their families and move to states with lower taxation. Often quite outside of the metropoles so also helping to populate remote parts of the country. […]

Global Market Watch April 10th, 2014

The Global Market Watch has been posted for the close of April 10th, 2014. Global Market Watch

China Exports Fall for 2nd Month in a Row

The numbers are in for March and China’s, the world’s second-largest economy, showing exports and imports fell dramatically adding to the declining emerging market sector. This merely confirms what we have been forecasting that the bear market in emerging markets began in 2007 and will not bottom until 2020 on as 13 year decline and the […]

Cold War 2 – Setting Up for the Fall – Putin Staring into the Eyes of a Dead Corpse?

The Cold War Part 2 with Russia, as always, demonstrates why we should banish lawyers from politics because they are incapable of understanding international capital flows that diminish their power. In studying law, I can tell you it is very black and white. You write a law to prevent a specific thing without any comprehension […]

Economist asks – Police or Soldiers?

US Police are acting like military rather than local police. The smallest towns in New Jersey have swat teams at taxpayer expense. The whole argument against standing armies was that they promoted war or they were a waste of funds. I have seen the police call in numerous squad cars to chase a teenage boy […]

Australia’s Attorney General – NSA Lover

  George Brandis, the 36th Attorney General for Australia, penned an article that Snowden is a Traitor and the more leaks he reads the more nut-job conservative he becomes. I should point out these VERY SAME arguments were once used several decades ago by another politician who envisioned himself as defender of his nation. He […]

Putin & Nostradamus

A king will come with blood floods, fly high, but fall abruptly into his greed and evilness. He will waste his kingdom and the common people will hate him. His head will roll off his shoulders. This is the latest circulating around Ukraine.