The economic prospects for Europe are impossible to return to any real recovery. We are looking at a long-depression for Europe that will not bottom for 23-26 years from the 2007 peak making this turn only with the end of the current Private Wave in 2032.95. German politicians cannot grasp that imposing austerity that has […]

Understanding that there is no grand conspiracy to systemically suppress gold is actually vital as is to understand the true nature of money. If you do not grasp these points, you cannot move forward. Sun Tzu and his Art of War applies to all confrontations. “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need […]

Investment inside Europe has been shifting in very interesting ways. The pension funds have shifted their sovereign debt holdings to predominantly Germany, which now makes up about 71% of government debt holdings. We are also seeing a shift to private assets and as we illustrated at the Berlin conference, private assets in Greece looked like […]

This latest scandal that the Justice Department in fact secretly collected two months of telephone records for reporters and editors at the Associated Press, illustrates that there is just no rule of law. Attorney General Eric Holder has to recuse himself because he is part of the act.   People forget, but Holder was in […]

The biggest fund in the world was the Japanese Postal Savings Fund in 1989. When we were called in to create a hedging program about 6 months before the high, it was Japanese Ministry of Finance who picked up the phone and asked that they did not do that for if they sold, they would […]

QUESTION: If gold is a hedge against government, then that would explain why gold rose from 2007.15 to 2011.45, a period which your model shows lower confidence. If confidence in government is now rising, as predicted by your model, regardless of the inflation, people have confidence in QE, etc so will feel less need to […]

With the dramatic increase in the money supply as illustrated here with the St. Louis Fed Chart, 99% of the people are simply baffled saying – It’s got to be inflationary! But this is like the old TV commercials when Burger King used the little old lady who would look at a competitor’s burger and […]

The negative economic growth in Europe has also spread to Russia. The internal problems within Russia also reflect this growing trend of STAGFLATION. Putin has been trying to blame the World Economy while failing to address reforms that would help Russia reverse course. It will be the rise in the dollar that causes the US […]

We are in one of the most complex conundrums in financial history. On the one hand we have vast amounts of cash that creates tremendous liquidity with interest rates at virtually zero, G7 finance ministers at least alarmed about the high level of liquidity yet it is becoming obvious even to them that monetary policy can not […]

Here is the US Public Debt from 1870-2009. There is no such correlation that a rising debt results in higher gold prices. That is simply FALSE. This is a delicate balance of all aspects of the economy interacting with each other. Welcome to the NEW ECONOMY – it is really GLOBAL. The idea of creating […]