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Socrates & the General Public

QUESTION: Hello, I am one of the little people surviving on the minimum wage in the UK whilst raising my children to be responsible human beings and hopefully contribute to a better world. Thank you for your blog and your valuable insights, you have quite a following from those who have no financial interests and […]

Socrates to Launch by End of September

We are on schedule for launching Socrates by the end of September. We are setting up the design right now and the dashboard for markets, so you will see the trend at a glance. This requires merging many different models, including the Global Market Watch, which defines the pattern recognition for each time level. Users […]

China Cuts Interest Rate & Lowers Reserve Requirements

I keep telling people that the central bank of China is far more professional than any other central bank. When I was invited there during the Asian Crisis, I was stunned to be invited over some academic. When I got there, I found that everyone had experience. They had worked on dealing desks around the world and […]

Socrates Examples of Questions

HELP: Questions must be in proper English form. For example, “WHERE IS”, “WHAT ARE”, “PLEASE LIST”, “DO YOU SEE ANY PATTERNS”, etc. You must also specify the level as daily, weekly, out to yearly. In addition, please specify the market, such as Gold or the Australian 10-year bonds. You may inquire as to DOWNTREND, UPTREND, full […]

Putin’s Speech – Tax Free Corporates for 4 Years

COMMENT: Well it looks like Putin is doing more than reviewing your film to approve its release in Russia. He is reading your  blog. His speech today is offering tax free status for corporations exactly for your 4 year period into 2020. He only talks about the Silk Road joining with China. BW REPLY: Yes, […]

End of Bonds Rise in Rates – A New Type of Inflation

QUESTION: Dear Martin, First I would like to congratulate you on your excellent analysis and market views. I am a bond portfolio manager for 25 years and I can only be shocked by current interest rates, specially in Europe. I have recently cut my long exposure to Bunds and everyone says it’s crazy to be […]

An Interesting Idea

COMMENT: Remember the musical Cats or Les Miserables; the 60’s songs “Ruby, don’t take your love to town” & “Billy don’t be a hero”; Ralph Nader’s “Only the Super Rich Can Save Us”; Bob Geldorf’s “BandAid”; Earth Hour or New Years? If only your work were similarly processed, your message would go viral globally. Imagine a […]

Interest Expenditures Will Exceed Defense by 2020

  “However, that will flip the other way for interest expenditures will exceed defense by 2020 and with a uptick in interest rates, then you will see inflation.” My statement as a matter of fact seem to have picked up a lot of interest. Inflation will return ONLY when interest rates rise. I know this is opposite what […]

Impact of Higher Rates

QUESTION: It seems much of the growth in private companies is being fueled by debt. What is the affect after the Big Bang on these companies that are relying on borrowing to grow and expand? Thanks Bill ANSWER: We have been advising corporates to borrow as much as they can now and lock it in for […]

The Fed – Rates – Objectives

  U.S. stocks rallied on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve suggested a less aggressive timeline for raising interest rates even as it opened the door for the first hike in almost a decade. The Fed has come under lobbying from other countries not to raise rates. The Fed will comply for now, but when the […]