When you actually conduct studies of relationships that people ASSUME exist, you find that they rarely actually exist. Investigating stochastic behavior of the prices and volatility of of the leading commodity markets and comparing them to the debt and equity markets, produces a very interesting result. We observe a substantial degree of uniformity in the behavior […]

In research, 99% of all mistakes are caused by ASSUMING something from the outset. The ONLY way to conduct research is to follow the breadcrumbs. Whatever you may have thought would be the outcome, is typically wrong. This is why I created a computer model to do research on its own without any predetermine rules. It […]

Fischer Black and Myron Scholes won the Nobel Prize for Economics. Scholes was  involved with Long-Term Capital Management that blew up on that formula. The fund, which started operations with $1 billion of investor capital, was extremely successful in the first years, with annualized returns of over 40%. However, following the 1997 East Asian financial […]

It is interesting how people are married to a single idea and from that position they attack anything that negates that belief. The object of research is to DISCOVER causes and effects – to not support a predetermined outcome. Anyone can do that by selecting isolated data points. For centuries people assumed that all disease […]

Copyright January 7th, 2013 All Rights Reserved       By There was a discovery made in 1772 near Vilui, Siberia of an intact frozen woolly rhinoceros. Here we had a prehistoric animal intact. This was followed by the more famous discovery of a frozen mammoth in 1787. You may be shocked, but these discoveries […]

  The story of Giordano Bruno (1548–1600) is rarely told. I believe he is a figure from the past that is in need of rescue because he basically is perhaps the first person to envision a dynamic universe building upon Copernicus’ work. His essential theory saw the universe with many worlds and suns basically as we […]

Copyright January 7th, 2013 All Rights Reserved The climate of the earth is anything but regular with every year a repeat of the last. The White Earth Effect is the realization that what would happen if the earth was entirely covered in snow and ice. The bottom line – the Earth would then reflect the […]

The view of the American Justice System is so bad outside the United States that young lawyers take these jobs to make a name for themselves so they can get those big paying jobs. The bad ones get hired like lobbyists at law firms to try to have inside contacts because they have been there […]

Comments have already poured in regarding hyperinflation. A new report on Japan the Tipping Point will deal with the worse fiat monetary system in history. That should be ready shortly. Everything follows a bell curve. Some regulation is necessary to establish rules of conduct to provide the reason to come together to form society. But […]

Mary Jo White is from NYC. There will be no change at the SEC. She was a prosecutor for US Department of Justice in Southern District of New York and is familiar with the practice there of changing transcripts of what takes place in court, see US v Zicetello, She never prosecuted the bankers. The […]