Can the World Really Abandon the Dollar As A Reserve Currency? By Martin Armstrong Throughout history there has always been a dominant currency. As each empire became the new financial capital of the world, their currency became the most prized and tended to circulate around the globe into even the fringe economies that they may […]

Phil Collins was perhaps 25 years ahead of his time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zU9lv_WqK6k

There are two distinct trends that we have to divide and conquer to fully understand what we are dealing with (1) Parking capital and (2) Investing Capital The motives behind each are totally different and this goes in part to also the question of the “reserve” status of the dollar. There is the dollar as […]

The U.S. economy shrank from October through December for the first time since the recession ended.We are looking at the net effect of Obama’s Voodo-Economics. Yes, the US economy was hit by the biggest cut in defense spending in 40 years, fewer exports and sluggish growth in company stockpiles. The decline occurred despite faster growth […]

Just to make it absolutely clear, within every wave, like in a bull market, there are always counter trends or corrections. There MUST be two sides in all trends be it bullish or bearish. The overall character of the present wave is a PRIVATE WAVE meaning that in such waves markets advance more rapidly and […]

In response to many former clients who have asked to join the International Think Tank operation under construction in Switzerland, we will be establishing an international advisory board for those who would like to contribute their expertise. The key will be to accept no grants so we remain entirely independent and not bought and paid […]

When you actually conduct studies of relationships that people ASSUME exist, you find that they rarely actually exist. Investigating stochastic behavior of the prices and volatility of of the leading commodity markets and comparing them to the debt and equity markets, produces a very interesting result. We observe a substantial degree of uniformity in the behavior […]

In research, 99% of all mistakes are caused by ASSUMING something from the outset. The ONLY way to conduct research is to follow the breadcrumbs. Whatever you may have thought would be the outcome, is typically wrong. This is why I created a computer model to do research on its own without any predetermine rules. It […]

Fischer Black and Myron Scholes won the Nobel Prize for Economics. Scholes was  involved with Long-Term Capital Management that blew up on that formula. The fund, which started operations with $1 billion of investor capital, was extremely successful in the first years, with annualized returns of over 40%. However, following the 1997 East Asian financial […]

It is interesting how people are married to a single idea and from that position they attack anything that negates that belief. The object of research is to DISCOVER causes and effects – to not support a predetermined outcome. Anyone can do that by selecting isolated data points. For centuries people assumed that all disease […]