Forecasting markets has always been a nightmare to say the least. Just when you think that you have everything figured out, the trend suddenly emerges in the opposite direction. The science of forecasting itself has encountered a rather shabby reputation largely due to the number of people in the field who think they have everything […]

This guide offers a detailed look at some of the research models we have developed over the past years. Capital Flows Introduction Global Model Artificial Intelligence* Timing Nature of How to Use Timing and Volatility Models Forecast Arrays Sample Arrays* Long-Term Cycles Business, Economic-Confidence 8.6 Year Review Reversals System How to Use Hedging vs. Speculative […]

Interest Expense on the Public Debt Outstanding The monthly Interest Cost represents the interest expense on thePublic Debt Outstanding as of each month end. The interest expense on the Public Debt includes interest for Treasury notes and bonds; foreign and domestic series certificates of indebtedness, notes and bonds; Savings Bonds; as well asGovernment Account Series […]

World Capital Market Review Issue #5 May 1996 Copyright Princeton Economic Institute all rights reserved Clintonomics: Just Another Arkansas Financing Scheme Clintonomics Why Republicans Are Doomed Doomed Sir James Goldsmith, The Ross Perot of Britain? Britain Russia Discovers Polls, Yeltsin as the “Come-Back Kid?” Russia The View From Germany Germany Hong Kong Update HongKong World […]

US National Debt Outstanding 1791-Date The following information lists the Public Debt Outstanding from 1791 to 1984. This information came from the Annual Report of the Secretary of the Treasury, the Daily Statements of the United States and the Monthly Statement of the Public Debt. Public Debt Outstanding Date Amount ---------- ------------- 01/01/1791 75,463,476.52 01/01/1792 […]

The Public Debt of the United States Current Month Amount ------ -------------------------------------- 08/01/1996  $5,183,636,383,503.29 Prior Months--------------------------------------------- 07/31/1996 $5,188,888,625,925.87 06/28/1996 $5,161,075,688,140.93 05/31/1996 $5,128,508,504,892.80 04/30/1996 $5,102,048,827,234.22 03/29/1996 $5,117,786,366,014.56 02/29/1996 $5,017,040,703,255. 02 01/31/1996 $4,987,436,358,165.20 12/29/1995 $4,988,664,979,014.54 11/30/1995 $4,989,329,926,644.31 10/31/1995 $4,985,262,110,021.06 09/29/1995 $4,973,982,900,709.39 08/31/1995 $4,970,755, 679,060.21 Prior Years---------------------------- ----------------- 12/30/1994 $4,800,149,946,143.75 12/31/1993 $4,535,687,054,406.14 12/31/1992 $4,177,009,244,468.77 12/31/1991 $3,801,698,272,862.02 12/31/1990 $3,364,820,230,276.86 […]

The Debt Crisis The Ultimate Defining Issue of American Politics There has been a lot of talk about bringing the deficit down. Clinton argued that issue in support of his massive $245 billion tax increase. While it is true that the deficit declined over the last two years, it is NOT true that this was […]

Solutions For The Debt Crisis © Martin A. Armstrong The general perception of interest rates and debt within the financial community is about as far from reality and common sense as one might be in this day and age. With government deficits still a major problem and no solutions from the political arena in sight, one […]

The Worldwide Debt Crisis The following is a listing of white paper reports outlining the debt crisis which we face coming beyond the year 2000. Most of this serious problem stems from huge unfunded liabilities promised by socialism without regard for economic viability. Debt Forecast & Solution – published November 1988 Debt Crisis – A […]

A Continued Era of Deflation or A Premature Expectation of Inflation? © Martin A. Armstrong Economists and analysts argue that double-digit inflation is something of the past – a freak of nature that took place during the Carter years of the mid-70s. On April 19th, 1993, Alan Greenspan (Chairman of the Federal Reserve) made a statement […]