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Thank you for visiting the Armstrong Economics Private Blog membership homepage. Understanding the difference in our blogs: AE Open Blog – this is the original AE-branded blog open and available to any and all website visitors. The goal of this blog is to share general news, views and information that our team determines may be […]

Market Talk – October 12, 2021

ASIA: The Indian economy is poised to achieve 10.25 per cent GDP growth in FY 2021-22 on the back of effective government policies, Reserve Bank’s accommodative policy stance and improved business sentiments, industry body PHDCCI said on Monday. Last week, the Reserve Bank retained the GDP (gross domestic product) forecast for the current financial year at 9.5 […]

Market Talk – October 11, 2021

ASIA: Goldman Sachs has cut China’s growth forecast to 7.8 percent this year from the previously estimated 8.2 percent as the world’s second largest economy faces “yet another growth shock” in the form of constraints on energy consumption. The country is already battling to save Evergrande amid fears that Chinese property behemoth could turn out […]

Market Talk – October 5, 2021

ASIA: Japan’s services sector activity shrank for a 20th straight month in September as the coronavirus pandemic continued to weigh on sentiment, though the pace of decline eased from the sharp contraction seen in August. The government last week ended state of emergency curbs it had imposed to get the health crisis under control, as […]

Market Talk – September 30, 2021

ASIA: Goldman Sachs cut China’s growth forecast to 7.8 percent this year from the previously estimated 8.2 percent, as the world’s second largest economy faces “yet another growth shock” in the form of constraints on energy consumption. The country is already battling to save Evergrande amid fears that Chinese property behemoth could turn out into […]

The Fourth Industrial Revolution & Forecasting

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I attended the WEC last year for the first time. Everything you laid out came true. You were saying the Euro would peak by February and we were looking at a dark period into September to October. What I am amazed at is that your computer gets the timing correct and […]

Market Talk – September 24, 2021

ASIA: Evergrande’s debt crisis will slow down China’s economic growth, but will likely have minimal spillover on the country’s financial system, Li Daokui, a former advisor to the People’s Bank of China said in an interview to CNBC. He added that a default by Evergrande will have minimal effect on the Chinese financial system because […]

La Palma Volcano & 6th Wave

QUESTION: Marty, if I understood your forecasts on volcanos, you said this would increase post-2020 but the big one was not until after 2032. Is this all hype about La Palma Volcano? GV REPLY: There is normally a rise in volcanic activity with solar minimum. There is a plain correlation with that. I have written […]

Market Talk – September 17, 2021

ASIA: The People’s Bank of China added 90 billion yuan ($14 billion) of funds on a net basis through seven-day and 14-day reverse repurchase agreements on Friday, the most since February. Today was the first time this month it added more than 10-billion-yuan short-term liquidity into the banking system on a single day. The move […]

Conspiracy Theories Coming True

COMMENT: Marty, your forecasts have been amazingly correct years in advance and then we get to watch other analysts coming in at the last minute to pretend they called it. You have always been in the mix and actually know all the people in all of these events since Long Term Capital Management. I have […]