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World View v Domestic & Why It Has Been Always Wrong

COMMENT: Mr Armstrong, I want to thank you for I listened to the forecasts of analysts who said Europe and Emerging Markets were the best places to invest because the US was overpriced and would crash. I was introduced to you by a friend. I listened. I cut my losses and switched to the domestic […]

Market Talk – May 20, 2019

ASIA / AUSTRALIA: Chinese telecommunications manufacturer Huawei has been banned from the recent updates from Google’s Android system. Currently, Huawei is the second largest manufacturer of smartphones. They will, however, be allowed on the latest released version of Google’s Android operating system which is open sourced. The CEO of Huawei previously stated that the company […]

Market Talk – May 7, 2019

ASIA: US trade representative Robert Lighthizer has accused China of backtracking on agreement within trade talks but has insisted a deal with China is still possible. Vice Premier Liu will be visiting Washington this week. More in US section below. In other news, China will not take part in three-way nuclear talks with the US […]

Market Talk – April 26, 2019

ASIA: Japanese PM Abe has been in advanced talks since the beginning of the week with European Leaders, discussions about protectionism and free trade agreements were at the forefront of the conversation. Due to current trade agreements savings in excess of 1.1billion Euros for European businesses exporting to Japan. The backdrop of the conversation was […]

Still Snowing in the Heart of America – The Longer Winter & Shorter Summer Cycle

COMMENT: Well you said this winter would be long and the summer shorter. It is still snowing here in the heart of America. It looks like your computer is correct again. Instead of funding research for billion dollars to pretend there is global warming, they should just subscribe to Socrates. Would save a heap of […]

The Student Suicide Rate Has Been Rising – the new Lost Generation

There have been studies on the riskiest jobs where stress causes higher rates of suicides. The medical profession seems to be at the top of the list, which now amounts to some 11 million people. However, there is also a growing list of students committing suicides over student loans, which is the number one debt […]

Market Talk – April 17, 2019

Asia: China’s GDP rose 6.4% in the first quarter, outperforming many of analysts’ expectations. Some see this as a promising sign for China as last year the GDP decelerated every quarter. Prime Minister Mahathir of Malaysia has approved a “mega link” project that connects both sides of Malaysia, spanning up toward Thailand, as part of […]

Turkey & the Real Risk of a Debt Crisis

The Treasury and Finance Ministry of Turkey announced that the country’s net external debt stock totaled $286.2 billion going into the end of the 3rd quarter of 2018. The country’s net external debt stock to its gross domestic product (GDP) ratio was 34.4% at the end of the third quarter of 2018. However, Turkey’s gross external […]

Market Talk – April 10, 2019

Asia: The EU has pledged to improve trade relationships with China, as well as improving the climate for foreign investors in the mainland. The signed declaration allowed for broader and non-discriminatory market access to the Chinese economy. Also mentioned was IP rights, which was an issue with the U.S.-China trade deal. Lastly, efforts were made […]

Hard Landing

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I have a question that might interest not just me but also other blog Readers: In your blog Posts you write that you expect that we will have a hard landing going into 2020. My question is: What does that mean for the Dow? Do you expect the dow to correct into […]