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India Angers China with Neutrality on Taiwan

India has made an attempt to remain neutral throughout this massive world conflict. They are in BRICS, conduct business with the West, and abstained from voting for ceasefire between Israel and Palestine. Yet it is not possible to remain neutral amid such intense tensions between nations. India recently angered China by accepting a congratulatory message […]

European Elections Promise a Chaotic Summer

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, you were right again, or your computer was, that the June elections would be a major upset. The far right has gained in France, Germany, and the Netherlands. You said in London that Le Pen should win in the 30% range. It looks like she has 31.5%. Well done! HH REPLY: This […]

Fed vs Treasury – Hillary vs Obama

COMMENT: A friend watched your interview on USAWatchdog, and his response was that you were wrong that the FED doesn’t need anyone to buy the debt. The FED can print as much money as Congress cares to spend. I was stunned that he did not comprehend that the FED is not the issuer of the […]

Central Bankers & Politicians – Its Time for a Change

COMMENT: It was great seeing you here in Europe. It was even more interesting to see how the central banks are starting to use the ECM rather than wait six to nine months before acting. Back in 2007, your model turned in February, but the Fed Funds Rate did not drop to 3% until one […]

Bank of Canada 1st Among G7 to Cut Rates

COMMENT: Marty, I attended your Toronto Institutional session when the Bank of Canada had a table of 10 people. People would ask you what the central banks were looking at, and you would respond. Everyone then turned to see if they flinched. They were the best of times, as they say. For us long-timers, it […]

The Economic Decline of Europe With Rising Interest Rates?

I have returned from a two-week tour of Europe covering the UK, Germany, and Italy. Europe is in dire straights. I have stayed on the Via Veneto since my parents took me back in 1964/65. It was the 5th Avenues of Rome. The street was lined with sidewalk cafes. Out of probably 30, only three […]

The Major Fractal Wave of the Economic Confidence Model & 2032.95

Here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end to all the questions about how high up the fractal structure can be defined. We are in the grand Public Wave overall that peaks in 2032.85. This is the equivalent of the wave that picked the Peak of Rome in 175 AD. So here, […]

What Completes a Phase Transition?

What completes a phase transition? Simple — capital inflow to the United States. For example, when oil was in the $10 range in 1998, we forecast that oil would rise to $100 by 2007.15. In court, the Department of Energy wanted us to develop a model, but Alan Cohen of Goldman Sachs blocked that project. […]

My Forecast from 10 Years Ago

In an interview on May 11, 2014, I explained on USAWatchdog that confidence always outweighs reality. “It’s basically what you believe. There have been all sorts of studies on fundamentals that say if interest rates go up, stocks go down.  It is simply not true.  The stock market has never peaked with interest rates twice in history.  […]

Taiwan’s New President Speaks Out Against One China Policy

Taiwan President Lai Ching-te is beginning his reign by condemning the One China policy and calling upon Beijing to allow the nation to be an independent democracy. A “glorious era of Taiwan’s democracy has arrived,” the president stated in his inaugural address, adding that Taiwan is an “important link [in a] global chain of democracies.” […]