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Growing Shortage of US Dollars & Capital Flows

There have been a some unusual capital flow developments involving Egypt that illustrate a shortage of dollars caused by the decline in oil prices. However, this may also, in part, signal someone is trying to get money out of Egypt. This decline in oil has resulted in a decline in subsidies for Egypt from other […]

The Dow for the Close of May 20, 2016

The first Minor Weekly Bearish Reversal in the Dow lies at 17434. A closing beneath this for the week will confirm what already appears to be in motion after electing three Daily Bearish Reversals. The next critical area is 17120, which happens to be a Daily and Weekly Bearish Reversal. This is the primary support. […]

Market Talk — May 18, 2016

Japan’s GDP showing today finally provided signs of life when the expected number of 0.1% was put to shame with a 0.4% print. However, it was only enough to rescue the Nikkei from the selling but did help to provide the days highs. By close of business the index had drifted back only to close […]

Market Talk — May 17, 2016

Things all looked good in Asia with the Nikkei closing up a little over 1%, Hang Seng following its lead gaining 1.2% and so it was only Shanghai that returned a small negative on the day. All was good following the strong US session and so we were lead mostly by energy and miners (BHP on the […]

Market Talk – Close of Week May 13, 2016

A disappointing end of the week for core Asian equity markets. The Nikkei opened firmer but by mid-morning had started to crumble as profit-taking and a firmer JPY weighed on prices. We eventually closed the day down 1.4% with Hang Seng not far behind (-1%. The Shanghai index tried desperately to hold on to gains […]

Market Talk — May 12, 2016

With the US markets having provided the momentum for the opening it was not surprising that Asian equity markets opened with a reluctant bid. Earlier in the day we had heard from the IEA regarding oil supplies and although this was still a discussion point in Tokyo it needed additional enthuses to lift markets higher. This was eventually found in the JPY […]

Trouble in Saudi Arabia

Political instability is rising in Saudi Arabia. The Saudi king has fired his longtime Secretary of Energy and the head of the central bank has been replaced. The royal family is now fighting to sustain power. The fall in the price of oil is having a political impact within the power structure of Saudi Arabia. Eventually, […]

Market Talk — May 10, 2016

It was a solid day all around the globe which was a little surprising given most markets backed away from yesterday’s gains late in the day. China’s data was marginal given what had been expected, but the positive momentum, strong oil, and a reviving commodity sector made everything feels sunny again. The Nikkei has recovered […]

Market Talk — May 9, 2016

China’s trade balance (released overnight) was not great (Est. $40bn but the actual release was $45.56bn and exports contracted 1.8% in April) and had a negative effect on equities from the open. The Nikkei and Hang Seng were heavily influenced by oil’s rally given the very sad news of the Alberta fire incident. Japan and […]

Market Talk — May 6, 2016

A couple of rumors and some nerves ahead of the all important US Non-Farms Payrolls. In mainland China there were rumors that local regulators may want to delay mainland listings of mainland US listed Chinese companies. We will follow-up on this rumor when we hear more information. Shanghai index closed down 2.8% and the Shenzhen B closed down 3.6%. Europe traded sub-par […]