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Has Draghi Just Lost It?

QUESTION: Why are long-term yields on risky European debt below that of US Treasuries? Is this the European bubble madness? HN, Frankfurt ANSWER: This is unquestionably a bubble, but the buyer has been the ECB (European Central Bank). Yields on risky European bonds have been driven below the yields of long-dated US securities. The financial system […]

Market Talk- May 8th, 2018

Although we await US President Trump’s Iran Nuclear address later this afternoon, Asian markets still closed better bid across the boards. Most of this was associated to the regional currency declines, but we did see some markets that performed. In Hong Kong the Hang Seng opened over 1% higher and continued to make progress for […]

Has the Dollar Turned?

QUESTION: You models called for a rally in the pound sterling into April and it seems like that is spot on. We did bounce off of the 144 level.  In your year-end report, you said the resistance in the pound for 2018 was at the 14500-14600 level throughout 2018. Living here in Britain, I really […]

Can US Russian Sanctions Start A Financial Crisis?

The US sanctions against Russia are pointless and are placing the West at risk the politicians are too stupid to even comprehend. Already, some Russian companies have asked the government for liquidity injections of up to $2 billion. Even the world’s second-largest aluminum producer Rusal has asked for help. Nevertheless, the impact of sanctions goes […]

Is the Vertical Market Over or Just Beginning?

QUESTION: Thanks for the update. So it looks like the Vertical Market in the Dow will extend into the end of this cycle 2032 as you warned it could do. Correct? EK ANSWER: It appears to be shaping up that way. The consolidation has been shallow and nothing to get excited about. If the January […]

The Dollar is Not Dead After All?

  CLICK ON CHART It is amazing how people have simply declared that the dollar is in a perpetual bear market as if the USA is the only nation with a debt. They judge the entire future by a few weeks of price action. That is what is so dangerous – emotional trading. I have […]

Influence – Meetings & Conspiracies As Always

COMMENT: I saw you in front of the Bank of England. Then within a matter of days, the pound crashes. You may not be a household name but you are in the circles that matter. So did you orchestrate the reverse trend in the pound? OD REPLY: No! The pound crashed simply because it was on […]

Argentina Raises Interest Rates to Support Currency

  Argentina has just raised interest rates to 40% trying to support the currency. I have explained many times that interest rates follow a BELL-CURVE and by no means are they linear. This is one of the huge problems behind attempts by central banks to manipulate the economy by impacting demand-side economics. Raising interest rates […]

UAE Drops VAT on Gold

The UAE government came under tremendous pressure by the dealers that the VAT was killing their business. The government has responded dropping the VAT (Sales Tax) on gold, diamonds, and precious metals for investors. Taxing such products is, in reality, taxing money the same as if it bought bonds or stocks. Not everyone buys stocks […]

Market Talk- May 3,2018

Obviously the focus of attention was always going to be on the US/China trade talks and so most of Asia closed mixed. Japan is still on holidays and not expected to reopen until Monday. Fears were certainly evident in Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng lost 1.3% today with losses from Energy, property, trade and […]