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Japan Free at Last to Wage War

Abe clears the way for Japan to now engage in war by reinterpreting the constitution rather than altering it. The War Cycle is just amazing how it just takes time and economics to turns and everything is suddenly undone.

Gold & The Private Wave

QUESTION: Hi Martin Given the cycle work that you do, it appears that Gold had a 12 year Bull Market Cycle from 1968 to 1980 followed by a 19 year (one metonic cycle) bear market, followed by a 12 year Bull Market from 1999 to 2011. Does that mean we have entered another 19 year Bear […]

Sunni-Shiite Civil War

QUESTION: Marty; Your model correctly forecast the birth of the Arab Spring in 2010 that was 31.4 years from the Shiite Revolution in Iran back in 1979. You also said that the subsequent 8.6 to 13 years would bring rising civil unrest that would emerge into civil war when the War Cycle turned up in […]

Bull Market in Taxes

You can rent mansions in France now really cheap for anyone who had money seems to have left the country. The Labour Party in Britain is proposing a 2% property tax. There is no property tax in Britain or France. This is already starting to slow the trend in property prices in London itself and […]

Gold the Rally

The target for the June low seems to have been correct and this week was a Panic Cycle target. We saw the gold closing above 1295 and the first weekly closing above 1307, but the key resistance remains a weekly closing above 1355. The bounce is really seasonal, yet it is being explained as everything […]

Public v Private

QUESTION: Hello Martin Could you please explain the difference between the 8.6 year peaks in the ECM cycle within the public or private wave and the 8.6 year peak at exactly the stage that it switches to the public from private wave and visa versa. Is the difference monumental or a subtle difference. Cheers R ANSWER: […]

US is now Funding Studies on Civil Unrest

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Your work on the cycles of war has been duly noted in government. Governments are starting to take notice and have begun to fund studies of protest groups. Even the Guardian is reporting this trend. In the United States it is called the “Minerva Research Initiative,” and it has been around since […]

Consumption Tax – Will It Ever Return?

COMMENT: Dear Martin, One of the knocks against a consumption tax has always been its potential effect on the deficit. It seems that argument is now irrelevant in the age of QE. This is the perfect time to move to a consumption tax (esp. w/ IRS scandal) GB REPLY: We did a lot of research into […]

The Theory Behind NEGATIVE Interest Rates

QUESTION: Not sure if this is even possible. Can the consumer savings interest rates go to a level at or below Zero that will drag down the lending interest rate lower? Thus making borrowing even cheaper to stimulate the economy with more cheaper debt and punish savers. Will our designed economic system sustain this thinking […]

Population Growth – Really a Problem?

I was asked my opinion about David Suzuki’s warning about overpopulation growth. It was brilliantly done and mathematically it is correct. His math explanation is applicable to the Sovereign Debt Crisis and how it will become a Phase Transition. Nevertheless, when applied to anything there is a self-defeating check and balance that I am surprised […]