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Market Talk – July 29, 2019

ASIA: China has condemned the recent protest in Hong Kong labelling the act as a “serious damage to the rule of law.” There are still talks of the possibility of China bringing military presence in the region. Meanwhile, Chinese civil rights are being put into question after a Chinese court sentenced a civil rights activist […]

Market Talk – July 22, 2019

ASIA: Mass protests occurred over the weekend in Hong Kong. The public was forewarned of the protests through social media as locals were advised to stay clear of protestors. Overall, China was pleased with the handling of the protestors by local authorities. The Foreign Ministry said local authorities should use all necessary measures to “safeguard […]

The Worst Heatwave was the 1930s

QUESTION: Marty, wasn’t the Dust Bowl the worst heatwave in history? DL ANSWER: Yes, you are correct. Despite the hype this weekend, the heatwave is nowhere near historical records. The peak was the 1930s which created the Dust Bowl. The agenda is clear and these people will use every heatwave to end civilization as we […]

Why Are Equities so Disconnected from Economics?

Normally, equity valuations reflect the present value of future cash flows that are primarily a function of current cash flows, growth expectations, and then the discount rate. Most fundamentalists will look at the cash flow generation in both the short and long-term. With equity valuations at their record highs, investors, in theory, are showing confidence […]

Market Talk – July 11, 2019

ASIA: President Trump tweeted today that China has let us (the U.S.) down by not purchasing American agricultural products as promised. This could impact the possibility of an amicable trade agreement. The positive reports indicating progress seem to have no positive end goal. Trump concluded his tweet with “hope they will soon,” a more optimistic […]

BOJ Trapped – How will the Nightmare End?

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda publicly stated that it may maintain ultra-low rates for a further period of well over a year. However, he also warned against the idea of propping up the economy through unlimited money printing to finance government spending. That may sound nice, but the Bank of Japan is trapped. […]

Market Talk – July 9, 2019

Market Talk – July 9, 2019 ASIA: The U.S. approved a 2.2 bn USD sale of arms to Taiwan, despite China forewarning them not to do so. China is now demanding that the U.S. cancels the deal, calling the U.S. actions a “crude interference” and further stating that it is harming its sovereignty. Elsewhere, U.S. […]

When Bonds Become Money

QUESTION: You said the “crash is in the debt markets”. Can you please explain how that will evolve? Liz M. ANSWER: Once upon a time before 1971, there used to be a difference between debt and cash. Government bonds were not acceptable for collateral. You could not borrow against them. You had to liquidate them. […]

Market Talk – July 2, 2019

ASIA / AUSTRALIA: The government of China has told Hong Kong the actions of the protesters who stormed and vandalized Hong Kong’s legislature was “totally intolerable.” Meanwhile, the UK has warned China that serious consequences will occur if it breaches an agreement guaranteeing freedoms in the city. Regarding the US-China trade deal, Peter Navarro, a […]

Custodial Risk in the Post MF Global Era

QUESTION: Martin: You have occasionally made short-quick comments that have made me loose sleep ! One of your past comments quipped that we equity/bond investors should entertain the idea of having the actual certificates to our stock/bond investments (which are typically digital entries held at brokerage houses) mailed directly to us instead of having them […]