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The Battle Between Nominal & Virtual

QUESTION: Dear Marty, With regard Gold, on May 2, 2103 you wrote “Don’t forget, gold has yet to test the 1980 high adjusted for inflation which standards at about $2300 level”. On June 20, 2013 you wrote “A weekly closing beneath that level opens the door to a test of the 939.50 level”. Your adjusted for […]

Why Is the Dow Vulnerable To A Correction?

I previously warned that there was a possibility that November would produce the breakout in nominal terms, but there was still a risk that we may decline into Jan/Feb to retest support first. This type of pattern would warn of a Cycle Inversion and this is what I am concerned about. The main Global Correlation […]

The Ultimate Mind Game – To Crash or just Correct

QUESTION: Hi Martin, Thanks for your great work, it is a pleasure to read your articles and your explanations about gold, government debt and the stock market. Your last article has me confused, however. I have learned from your articles that a crash in the stock market can only occur when the retail investors are […]

Gold – Hedge Against Making Money?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I really appreciate your comment “– YOU ALWAYS ASSUME YOU ARE WRONG. Why? That forces you to constantly double-check everything four times.” Thank you for causing me to question my assumptions regarding the markets and specifically PM’s.  I can see know that I was holding gold for all the wrong reasons while […]

Paper v Physical

QUESTION: Hi Mr. Armstrong, Almost daily one reads from the gold media about the discrepancy between paper and physical gold. The gold bugs make their case by saying, that despite the weak price of paper gold, the demand for physical gold has never been better. To me it is just a bunch of hooey. If […]

2013 – The Year of Political Change

QUESTION: What do you see for Russia and China? Are they rising as it appears even militarily in addition to economically? ANSWER: In truth, the year 2013 was the precise turning point for the USA and the exposure of the NSA has been right on target. Furthermore, the entire debt ceiling crisis has led to […]

Gold – Beating a Dead Horse

QUESTION:  Hello Mr. Armstrong, I understand your thoughts on manipulating against a trend, but with gold being halted for the 4th time in 3 months by large sales orders placed during illiquid hours, does there come a time when you can say, “OK, something fishy is going on here.”? Banks have been caught manipulating energy, aluminum and […]

Capital Flows & Currency Flows

QUESTION: A number or people have asked where to get capital and currency flow data. ANSWER: The capital flows you can obtain from OECD. You have to take the Capital Account and Current Account. We get the raw data that is faster. The Capital Account reflects capital inflows typically for investment, stocks, bonds, real estate, […]

Private People are Better Care-Takers than Academics or Government.

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong- First, thank you for all the research you provide the investment community. I have been duly cautious thanks to your web site — note  I first learned of you through …  web site & and article in The New Yorker. If there has been any lesson to date over the past […]

STAGFLATION = INFLATION + DEFLATION

QUESTION: Martin, I think I fully understand your argument that Hyperinflation can hot occur in an established economy/society and that  currents events are leading, almost inevitably to deflation but, in the same way as the interest rate cycle is turning up, for the majority of us, certainly in the UK, basic costs, e.g food/energy, are […]