COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong,   I’m a 30yr old treasury trader. I trade billions a week/month with the biggest of the big from hedge funds to mostly primary dealers, I do technical analysis for them and I trade for myself but Im writing you because you have inspired me and influenced me throughout my career. […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for all the information you provide on your blog. Looking at a chart you posted on the real estate cycle shows the peak in 2007 then a drop and a bit of a rebound into 2015, followed by a huge drop afterwards.  Am I correct in believing we will see real […]

COMMENT: You just wrote in your definition of Hyperinflation “They debased coinage routinely, which is why Jean Baptiste Say (1767-1832)  argued money has never been “tangible” or a store of value. So simply making money out of gold or silver does NOT prevent the very evils the gold promoters attribute to fiat.” Thank you so […]

QUESTION:  Dear Mr Armstrong, Thank you for kindly answering my question on data. No doubt you are aware of Ray Kurzweil and the Singularity Theory. The deflationary impact of technological change, nanotechnology, quantum computers, etc etc seems to be accelerating exponentially. This must be causing a crushing impact on historical cycles. Can your model realistically […]

QUESTION: Martin, I think I fully understand your argument that Hyperinflation can hot occur in an established economy/society and that  currents events are leading, almost inevitably to deflation but, in the same way as the interest rate cycle is turning up, for the majority of us, certainly in the UK, basic costs, e.g food/energy, are […]

QUESTION: It seems some people play with the definition of hyperinflation and try to claim that is just 25% or more. This just does not seem right. Can you elaborate? ANSWER: Real hyperinflation is in the thousands of percent, We saw inflation hit 25% numerous times including going into 1980. The dollar did not die. […]

Alistair Cooke was a great historian. He saw cycles also within history. This is a short clip from 1973 explaining that indeed it is the same cycle over and over again. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wz6hmGiOn2I

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; you are probably the first pioneer in AI. My professor at … mentioned you often. My question is straight forward. Do you believe your system has evolved along the same path as the human mind and if so can it achieve self-awareness and perhaps consciousness? ANSWER: I take it the sudden rush […]

The preliminary evidence that continues to come in implies that fracking is causing earthquakes. I reported on this after some first hand investigation with people directly effected. Now, Reuters is reporting that the same trends in Pennsylvania appear to be showing up in Oklahoma. A study seems to be underway. This could have an impact […]

A speech delivered by Larry Summers at the IMF Research Conference on Nov. 8, 2013, has caused a real stir and is being hailed as brilliant, succinct, and a ground-breaking presentation that explained what many say is the most pressing economic matter of our time. The speech is being widely praised of course by Paul […]