QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, Firstly, I would like to thank you for discussing economic and political matters in an honest and frank manner.  It is difficult in the present world to find individuals with integrity, and I am aware that you have sacrificed a great deal in order to maintain yours.  As a student of […]

We are at the 1927 Phase of events that is important to understand. There has historically always been a difference in economics trends between Europe and America. This became self-evident back in 1720 that was the Mississippi and South Sea Bubbles. One of the earliest forecasts that our computer made back in 1980 was that […]

The first Daily Bearish Reversal in the Dow Jones Industrials lies at 16459. We need a closing beneath that for a pause and a close beneath 16131 for anything more prolonged. Yesterday was the Directional Change that produced a temp high. The next turning point is due tomorrow. The key weeks ahead at 05/26 and […]

  The Dow Jones Industrials have in no way made a major all-time high despite all the prognostications of a major crash. As stated at the World Economic Conference, yes we see a correction near-term with volatility starting to rise in June into next January. The oscillator is at the top and is starting to […]

  We can see from the daily chart in the Dow Jones Industrial Index that there is a rather flat topping pattern. This suggests that we should see new highs and that in no way has this been a nice clean isolated high that would signal the collapse of the markets as so many keep […]

I have warned that China’s exports were an illusion and that there was a huge carry trade borrowing dollars in Hong Kong at 1% and depositing the money in China getting 6%. But trade tracks money, not goods, so the illusion that China was still expanding was a good one – but still just an […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I have followed you since your 1985 conference in Princeton. It was your advertisement in the Economist that caught my eye when you bluntly stated that the deflation was over and a major change in trend was at hand. I watched you forecast the takeover boom and I was shocked by your […]

The Cycle of War is turning up in 2014 and this cycle is already having a profound impact both internationally as well as internally around the globe. This cycle has been extremely accurate and has been established using a database that has indexed the war cycle distinguishing domestic conflicts (revolutions) from international war. This index […]

The rout in the US share market has many talking heads patting themselves on the back. But this is by no means a major high. The Cash SP500 had finally broken out above the Breakout Channel. It is typical to come back and retest it before advancing. The cash closed at 179029 and the channel […]

The Financial Crisis of 1971 was the culmination of a series of events that began during the early 1960s. Politicians set the gold ratio to the dollar at $35 an ounce that was decided in 1934 by Franklin D. Roosevelt. However, politicians have a vest self-interest in always pretending they do a good job. Unfortunately, […]