Our Cycle of War uses the Wheeler Index. However, there were some major problems with overlooked key events. So we corrected the data and extended it for the period following his death. We then created a parallel index correlated to economics. The result was an apparent series of cycles and a correlation with the economy […]

A weak session for Equities in Asia (Nikkei -2.7%), Europe (DAX -1.97%) and the US (DOW -0.5%)had Fund Managers searching for both answers and safe-havens. One market that benefited was the Bond Market with US Treasuries and Bunds both pushing yields back lower. The US 10yr managed a break below the 2.10% yield to a daily […]

The rumor mill has been nonstop. The crushing blow to Europe will be the failure of Germany’s biggest bank: Deutsche Bank. Just about every circle is quietly discussing how the bank is facing bankruptcy. The rumors have flown since March when Deutsche Bank failed the U.S. regulatory stress test, which was followed by the resignation […]

Alexis Tsipras hailed a victory for his left-wing Syriza party after winning a second general election in less than 9 months. However, the many Greeks I have met with say they expect nothing to change. Before the vote, I reported that the Greeks I spoke with said that they did not expect anything to change because the previous government […]

In Asia, the Hang Seng could not climb out of the red all day and eventually closed down –— 0.75%. As always, the Shanghai had a volatile session, initially opening higher, but spent the balance of the day making headway to close at the day’s high of 3157 (+1.91%). The Nikkei was closed for Respect for the Aged Day. Nikkei futures […]

QUESTION:  Mr Armstrong, interesting article today, the story of the store of value (at least long term) has always confused me. One can look at saving accounts also as an asset as it yields the interest payment and one relinquishes the access to the money. No difference to bonds. But your article causes some questions: […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Do you believe that religion should play any role in government? ANSWER: Religion has historically been the greatest tool for war and justification for killing others yet we claim to punish people for murder. If you kill someone in the name of the State or what you claim is God’s will, you are creating […]

QUESTION: Dear Martin: I hope you are doing well. In the movie of James Bond, named “Quantum of Solace”, (filmed in some areas of the Chilean desert), the Bolivian and corrupt general requested his money in Euros, because “the U.S. dollar is NOT the same than before!”. Many asset managers, private investors, men and women […]

Asia produced a mixed session for equity markets today with all majors closing in the red. Not too much gossip as most players were digesting the ADP report, guessing China’s next move (with dealers still bidding on long-end Treasuries), and anticipating Friday Non-Frams. Europe saw a more positive note closing with small gains, but it was the U.S. market […]

So far, the markets are generally positioning themselves for a turn at the end of September. The Dow has traded sideways since Thursday, trying to cling to the rebound. We need a closing today ABOVE 17007 to firm up the market, and a closing below 16632 will warn that the Dow is weak going into […]