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A Significant Change in Trend

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in March 2014 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit actually  decreased from $41.9 billion in February (revised) to $40.4 billion in March as exports increased more than imports. This recovery in the US economy is showing signs of shifting […]

Conspiracy – Or Just One Step at a Time?

QUESTION: You say there was no CIA plot in Ukraine and I can see that not even Britain was willing to send troops to Ukraine because of this popular story of a CIA instigated revolution. The feeling in Europe is precisely that. To defend Ukraine would be another Iraq and America cannot be trusted. Whilst […]

Lagarde’s IMF should be Outlawed – the Real Terrorist Organization

How does a lawyer get in charge of an economic institution? Easy – another lawyer appoints her. Lagarde, Obama’s crony, should be stripped of her position and the IMF should be shut down. Lagarde’s IMF is now demanding that Ukraine must hold on to the Eastern provinces of Ukraine or this insane woman has dictated that […]

Gold – Update

While the gold promoters continue to argue this is wrong and gold will soar to thousands of dollars, the trend is not yet ready for prime time. On a nearest futures basis, a monthly closing below 1251 will signal a drop is at hand. Our support still lies at 1155 and 904 so nothing has […]

How far in the future does your computer model project?

QUESTION: How far in the future does your computer model project? ANSWER: One of the fascinating aspects about modeling the world economy is you rapidly discover that the complexity is enormous, yet the outcome is far more predictable Long-Term than Short-Term. This may seem illogical at first, but once you comprehend the dynamics of the system […]

Hylton v. United States – 3 U.S. 171 (1796)

Hylton v. United States – 3 U.S. 171 (1796) Case U.S. Supreme Court Hylton v. United States, 3 U.S. 3 Dall. 171 171 (1796) Hylton v. United States 3 U.S. (3 Dall.) 171 ERROR TO THE CIRCUIT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF VIRGINIA Syllabus February Term, 1796 On the 4th of February, a commission, bearing […]

Why Politicians Cannot Manage Economies

In Venezuela,  President Nicolas Maduro is boosting Venezuela’s minimum wage to defend workers’ salaries against inflation running at nearly 60 percent annually. He said that the 30 percent increase for wages and pension payments will take effect Thursday, in honor of the May 1 international workers day. It follows a 10 percent boost in January. Here […]

Capital Flows

Real Estate is the choice at this time to get capital off the grid. We are seeing Chinese still buying Australian Property for now and wealthy Russians are looking at Putin raising taxes and the rubble of the ruble as a justification to get capital out of banks and into property. Even the wealthy Ukrainians […]

The Complexity of War & Debt – a New Factor Entirely

  The title of the next book that needs to be written is not War & Peace, but War and Debt. The interesting complexity of continually borrowing with no intention of ever paying anyone back is a totally modern development post-WWII. This has simply never been done before and governments have no clue what to […]

Investors Dumping Russia

The first quarter figures are in. International investment in Russia has collapsed. At least $64 billion has been sold in Russia as capital flees. This has to a largest extent helped the Euro as Europeans have been bringing their money homes. This trend will continue and will impact most of the Eastern bloc as capital […]