Hungary’s Viktor Orban is fighting declining birth rates with a “population first” agenda that will make parenthood more affordable. “We are building the world’s first family-centered economy,” Orban proclaimed. One of the first steps will be eliminating taxes for mothers. Mothers with one child will be exempt from paying income tax until they turn 30, […]

QUESTION: How come nobody in Trump’s team can not explain to Trump that the Trade War with China will push the rates up? It looks very logical to me that if you are aggressive to China, they will continue to sell off bonds, and the sale of USA bonds will push rates higher. If they […]

Socrates has honed in on 2025 becoming a year of great stagflation in the United States. The Federal Reserve has finally admitted that the data is undeniable—the United States will experience stagflation.   The economy is declining but prices are rising. Most understand inflation, especially in the post-COVID world, but few understand stagflation. Stagflation is […]

While the press bashes Trump over the tariffs and trade war, they continue to ignore the facts and will always take the opposite position from Trump. If Trump said he wanted everyone to live an extra 5 years to help the economy because of declining birth rates, the Press would advocate mass suicide like Jim […]

I draw the line with Trump when it comes to the Federal Reserve. The President nominates the Chair of the Federal Reserve, and the Senate confirms them. The term for the Chair is four years, but they can be reappointed. For example, Jerome Powell was nominated by Trump and then reappointed by Biden. But can […]

The U.S.-China trade war is an ongoing economic conflict that began in January 2018, characterized by the imposition of tariffs and trade barriers by both countries. Recently, tensions escalated as the U.S. raised tariffs on Chinese goods to 145%, prompting China to retaliate with tariffs of 125% on U.S. imports, affecting global supply chains and […]

  Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve would have more of a reason to slash interest rates—Trump’s longstanding desire. Trump has stated that the markets are undergoing an “operation” of sorts, but I would not […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you have said that we have lost manufacturing because of taxes rather than tariffs. I believe you also said that a trade deficit is not a bad thing under your capital flow analysis. Can you please explain this? The press seems to say the opposite, but they are political fake news. Thank […]

QUESTION: Do you buy this claim that Trump is crashing the US stock market by 20% to force the Fed to lower rates so the money will go into Treasuries? Is he breaking the London metals dealers’ hold to suppress the gold price? Lastly, do you buy this idea that Trump and his Secretary of […]

For all the criticism of Trump and the risk of a global trade war, as Macron wants to unleash a trade war to elevate France to the top of the EU, if we just look at the data, we can see why Trump has taken this approach. Even those Republicans like Rand Paul joining the […]